2024 in the Four Year Election Cycle │ Dimitri Speck

 

Dow Jones, 4-year cycle, calculated over 121 years.

2024 is an election year. The election cycle suggests a weak first half of the year,  and a good second half. The election year gets off to a weak start. The left quarter of the chart shows the typical performance of the Dow Jones in election years. As indicated by the red arrow, these typically posted losses in the first half of the year. After that, things look much better, as indicated by the green arrow.

Quoted from:
Seasonax (Dec 13, 2013) - 4-Year Election Cycle: How will 2024 go?

2024 US Stock Market Outlook │ Larry Williams

 

Larry Williams' 2024 projection for US Stocks:

 

First week of January to last week of February - UP

 Last week of February to last week of April - DOWN

 Last week of April to last week of Juli - SIDEWAYS-TO-UP

First day to last day of August - UP

First week to third week of September - DOWN  

  Third week to fourth week of September new high of the year - UP

Fourth week of September to first week of November - SIDEWAYS-TO-DOWN  

 First week of November to first week of December - UP

 First week to third week of December - DOWN

 Third week to last trading day of December printing the yearly high - UP

 

The December 2023 Low is a key price level in Q1 of 2024. 

 

Larry Williams identified June 2024 in the current decennial pattern 

 as "the sweet spot with 90% accuracy" to buy and hold until December 2025.

 

 

Reference:

Larry Williams (Dec 15, 2023) - 2024 Market Outlook. (video)

 MRBullMktEver (Dec 18, 2023) @ X

The Best Seasonal Time of the Year | Feb 15 - May 10

Feb 15 - May 10 (Source: Nautilus Research)

First Quarter 2017 | Presidential Cycle + Seasonal Pattern + Decennial Cycle of the DJIA (HERE)

Natural Gas

In December 2005 Natural Gas traded at USD 15.78, and is now at its 17-year low at USD 1.79.
Natural Gas has been in a downtrend over the last two years and lost 73% of its value.
The average seasonal low should print in the first week of January January 2016.
The 4 Lunar Month cycle projects lows for Dec 20 (Sun), Dec 29 (Fri), and Jan 5 (Tue).