S&P 500 Index vs 18.61 Year Lunar Node Cycle │ March - April 2024

 

» I’m not trying to predict the future; I am trying to accurately and quickly depict the present. 

I’m not trying to predict what people will do, but rather identify what they are doing right now. «  
Chris Camillo, 2023

 

 

See also:

Previous Projections.

TPR (2015) - S&P 500 vs True Lunar Node's Speed and the Eclipse Crash Window.

S&P 500 Index vs 18.61 Year Lunar Node Cycle │ January 2024

 

» The lunar node, quite abstractly speaking, is the point of intersection of the solar and the lunar orbits. There are, therefore, two nodes in opposite positions in the heavens: an ascending node or lunar north node, and a descending node - the lunar south node. The solar and the lunar orbits are not, in effect, in the same but in different planes, enclosing a certain angle. Thus there arise the two opposite points of intersection. The peculiarity of these two points of intersection is that they do not stand still but slowly move. The plane of the lunar path rotates in relation to the plane of the solar path; so the two nodes move a round. They move around the Zodiac in a contrary direction to the rotation of the planets, i.e., from Aries backward through Pisces, Aquarius, etc. A complete revolution of a lunar node takes place in 18 years and 7 months; after this time, therefore, the node — the ascending node, for example — is once again in the same position in the Zodiac as it was before. The ascending node is, thereby, the mathematical point that (at any given time and again after 18 years and 7 months [= 6,798.383 CD] the lunar orbit rises above the solar orbit, while at the opposite point the descending node sinks below it. «

Willi O. Sucher, 1937.

 

See also:

TPR (Dec 21, 2023) - S&P 500 Index vs 18.61 Year Lunar Node Cycle: Projection into April 2024.

 

S&P 500 Index vs 18.61 Year Lunar Node Cycle │ Projection into April 2024

 

Dec 21, 2023 (Thu) = May 10, 2005 (Tue)

 

 

 In bull markets, New Moons are bottoms, and Full Moons are tops. 

Jan 3 (Wed) 22:30 = 270° = Last Quarter    
Jan 11 (Thu) 06:57 = 0° = New Moon    
Jan 17 (Wed) 22:52 = 90° = First Quarter    
Jan 25 (Thu) 12:53 = 180° = Full Moon    

S&P 500 Index vs 18.61 Year Lunar Node Cycle | August 2019

Projected low = Aug 24 (Sat), high = Sep 17 (Tue).

S&P 500 vs 18.61 Year Cycle | Sideways to Down into Jan 03 - 09 (Thu-Wed)

The more precise 18.6 year projection HERE is suggesting a Dec 28 (Fri) High and a Jan 05 (Sat) Low.

S&P 500 Index vs 18.61 Year Lunar Node Cycle | Nov 27 (Tue) Low

This 2000-2018 Analog projects some sort of a low on Nov 27 (Tue),
some sort of a rally into Dec 09 (Sun), another decline into
Dec 22 (Sat), a high on Dec 28 (Fri), and a low on Jan 05 (Sat).

S&P 500 Index vs 18.61 Year Nodal Cycle | Aug 27, 2018 = Jan 14, 2000

Jan 14, 2000 (Fri = Major High in DJIA) + 6,800 CD = Aug 27, 2018 (Mon)

A high should print around Aug 30 (Thu) ± 1 CD. Aug 30 will be also
195 Solar Degrees of geocentric longitude from the Major Low on Feb 09 (Fri)
and 1,440 Lunar Degrees from the Low on May 03 (Thu).

S&P 500 Index vs Mercury and Venus and Moon Declinations | June 2018

Mercury's declination is out of bounds since June 04 (Mon) and reached its maximum together with the
Moon on June 15 (Fri). The Lunar North Node (or Rahu) will follow in June 17 (Sun). The Sun will reach
its annual maximum declination (Summer Solstice) at 23.45 degrees on June 21 (Thu) 06:07 a.m.
The Miles Wilson Walker's Declination Composite will change the trend on June 22 (Fri).
Mercury will be parallel with the Sun on Jun 24 (Sun).

The S&P 500 versus the True Lunar Node's Speed

 Market CITs are likely when the Lunar Node’s speed (degrees of longitude per day) is at a minimum, maximum, or near zero. The Eclipse Crash Window opens and closes approximately 21 days before and 21 days after solar and lunar eclipses.  The table on the left shows the nodal speed at its minimum, maximum, and near zero during the next 30 days. The Sun will conjunct the Lunar Node (North Node) on Sep 24 (Thu).

DJIA vs Lunar North Node in Zodiac Signs | Louise McWhirter

The mathematically calculated Lunar Nodes are sensitive points in space where the Moon’s orbit around the Earth intersects the ecliptic - the Earth’s orbit around the Sun. The Ascending Node is where the Moon crosses from south of the ecliptic to north of the ecliptic. The Descending Node is where it crosses from north of the ecliptic to south of the ecliptic. In Western astrology the Ascending and Descending Nodes are known as the "North Node" and the "South Node". 

 

Only the North Node is usually marked in horoscopes, as the South Node is by definition at the opposite point in the chart. In Vedic astrology, the North and South Nodes are called Rahu and Ketu respectively, and both are marked in the chart. Nodes always move retrograde and are considered natural malefics. 

 

Astrologically the Nodes are thought to powerfully influencing both the affairs of nations and of people. Eclipses occur only near the Lunar Nodes: Solar eclipses occur when the passage of the Moon through a Node coincides with the New Moon. Lunar Eclipses occur when passage coincides with the Full Moon. The plane of the lunar orbit precesses in space and hence the Lunar Nodes precess around the ecliptic, completing a revolution (called a Draconic or Nodal Period, the period of nutation) in 6798.383 days or 18.612 years. The Nodes need 1.55 years to pass through one zodiac sign.

 

In her book 'Astrology and Stock Market Forecasting' published almost 80 years ago, financial astrologer Louise McWhirter described a theory of the business cycle. She claimed the low point of the depression was reached in summer of 1933 (Lunar North Node in Aquarius) and predicted the next peak in economic activity would occur in November 1942 (NN in Leo). Her prediction for recovery in 1942 coincided with the massive economic stimulus spending set in motion by the build-up for World War II. Looking at 100 years of stock market prices she consistently found the North Node in the sign of Aquarius during periods of low economic activity. At the halfway point in the 18.6-year cycle, the North Node is moving into the sign of Leo, where economic high points have historically been recorded. After this, the long-term trend moves lower as the North Node slowly and systematically makes its way back to the sign of Aquarius, where the cycle begins anew (see also HERE).

Enlarge

 

Using McWhirter’s method, one would have expected the lowest economic period between January 2008 and August 2009 (NN in Aquarius), and then gradually improving from below normal levels to normal levels between August 2009 and August 2012 (NN in Capricorn, Sagittarius and Scorpio). The period between September 2012 and February 2014 was projected to be an above normal period for economic performance (unfortunately the red line of the averaged composite in the above chart doesn't clearly reflect this pattern). 

Though a considerable market correction between now and Q1 2016 is likely (HERE & HERE), a larger ensuing double-dip recession wouldn’t fit into the McWhirter-pattern (HERE). Instead the general upward trend should continue into the major peak-out between May 2017 and November 2018 (NN in Leo - HERE), followed by collapsing and declining markets into the 2020s (HERE).

The S&P 500 versus the Rhythm of the True Lunar Node

Financial markets correlate with the 4–14 day cycle of the retrograde–stationary–direct motion of the Lunar True Node (North Node). This cycle can be illustrated by charting the geocentric longitude and speed of the Node against, for example, the S&P 500 (where "speed" refers to geocentric motion in degrees of longitude per day).

 The blue dotted diagonal is the longitude of Lunar Mean Node.
The blueish verticals indicate the changes in the motion of the Lunar True Node.

 

Approximately every 86.5 days, a so-called “Moon Wobble” occurs when the Sun is conjunct, opposite, or square (0°, 90°, 180°, 270°) to the Lunar Node. The Node begins to wobble about two weeks before the exact alignment and remains unstable until roughly one week afterward. When combined with solar and lunar eclipses, this wobble effect may be extended.

As the Sun approaches conjunction and opposition with the True Lunar Node, its motion appears to slow significantly (as indicated by the bluish shaded areas). This period is considered a potential crash window in financial markets. 

 

The plane in which the Moon orbits the Earth is inclined at 5°09′ to the plane of the ecliptic, and this plane rotates slowly over a period of 18.61 years. Over this 18.61-year nodal cycle, the amplitude of the lunar declination gradually increases.  The maximum monthly lunar declination north and south of the equator varies between 18°18′ and 28°36′. Maximum values of lunar declination occurred in 1969, 1987, 2006, 2025, and 2043, while minimum values occurred in 1978, 1997, September 2015, 2034, and 2053.

 

The plane of the lunar orbit precesses in space, completing one revolution in 6,798.3835 days, or 18.612958 years. The Lunar Node enters a new zodiac sign (30°) approximately every 1.551 years, or about 18.613 months. This corresponds to 1.55 years, 80.9 weeks, or 566.53 calendar days, which can be divided by eight to yield a 10.12-week cycle, equivalent to roughly 55 trading days.

 

2015 in J.M. Funk’s "56-Year Cycle of Prosperity and Depression"

In 1932, J.M. Funk (1892-1941), an American aviation engineer, introduced his concept of a Cycle of Prosperity and Depression, proposing a 56-year cycle in US economic activity. Although this concept garnered some attention during his lifetime, it was largely overlooked by mainstream economists and academia. Funk considered the cycle so significant that he delivered numerous lectures and published a pamphlet, The 56-Year Cycle in American Business Activity, to promote his theory. While the cycle might have faded into obscurity, it was revived through the writings of financial astrologer LCdr. David Williams (1947, 1959, 1982), who extensively discussed Funk's work, helping to bring the theory to a broader audience. Funk was one of the few individuals to predict both the economic upheavals of the early 1930s and the subsequent recoveries in 1933 and 1935. David Williams recounts: 

"During the mid-1930’s, a Middle Western cable manufacturer came into the author’s office in New York and presented him with a pamphlet on Philocracy, written in 1932 by J. M. Funk of Ottowa, Illinois in which the latter propounded a theory of Economic Cycles, which he stated are, “a series of events (produced by ‘cause and effect’) which recur in the same order.” [...] Funk stated: “A knowledge of the present and history is therefore a key to the future. Until Government Standards are based upon the recognition of exterior forces (which govern human conduct) history will repeat itself. THE CHART WILL PREDICT THE FUTURE because the human make-up includes, aspiration, greed, intemperance, fickleness, etc., which traits are governed by endurance; endurance is governed by exterior forces which fluctuate in rhythm and tempo as constantly as the Sun in its journey through the heavens.” The author redrew Funk's chart [...], which was used to illustrate a lecture delivered April 16, 1947 at the Henry George School of Social Science, New York. The results show conclusively that regardless of wars, rebellions, population changes, industrialization, technological, and monetary changes, American business has been dominated by a 56-year rhythm. In each 56-year period three major panic periods occur at 20-20-16 year intervals. While other panic periods intervene, no discernible pattern is evidenced."

 Reference:
J.M. Funk (1932) - The 56-Year Cycle in American Business Activity. Privately published. Ottawa. IL.

LCdr. David Williams (1947) - Rhythmic Cycles in American Business. 

LCdr. David Williams (1959) - Astro-Economics.
LCdr. David Williams (1982) - Financial Astrology.

 

 » [J.M. Funk] claims that February 6, 1933, will be the date for a definite improvement

in business and general economic conditions in the United States. «

  

 La Salle Post Tribune

Monday, January 9, 1933
 

Depression Ends February 6 Says Ottawa Man Here

'Philocracy' is the title of an address that will be made before the Illinois Valley Manufacturers' Club and Chamber of Commerce membership Tuesday noon by J.M. Funk of Ottawa, statistician, inventor, and manufacturer, who has reduced the cycles of prosperity and depression to a mathematical basis and claims that February 6, 1933, will be the date for a definite improvement in business and general economic conditions in the United States. 

 

 The stock market actually reached what is today considered the low point of the 

Great Depression in the Dow Jones Industrial Average on Wednesday, February 8, 1933.

Manufacturers' Club Hears Unusual Economic Analysis Given by J.M. Funk

It is not a mystic or fortune-telling device but a practical aid to business, with a dramatic appeal that carries with it a message of courage and optimism. In adopting the title of 'Philocracy,' the inventor explains that the new thought being advanced by the "technocrats" and "economists" leaves the average citizen and businessman in a state of confusion, while 'Philocracy' is based on facts and strives for sound and reasonable conclusions. The cyclical regularity of prosperity and depression is demonstrated as occurring every fifty-six years, regardless of every obstacle and in spite of them. Reports from Ottawa men who have heard this address explain 'Philocracy' as one of the most interesting and fascinating propositions they have studied. It is said to be entirely different from all other forms of thought on business. Mr. Funk especially invites the interest of men and women who are students of government, business, philosophy, and higher mathematics to check his conclusions against the historical records of this nation over the past one hundred and fifty years. He encourages them to observe the sequence of parallels that apply to business, just as they do to bridge building, steam engines, airplanes, or any other type of engineering.

 

 James Morris Funk, 1933.

The nation's depression will officially end on February 8, with a minor reaction, followed by a major reaction on March 19, J.M. Funk, Ottawa disciple of 'Philocracy,' told members of the Manufacturers' Club and the La Salle Chamber of Commerce at a joint luncheon meeting today. Basing his statement on a formula he had prepared using every possible figure in the economic structure of the nation, Funk declared that periods of depression follow in regular intervals of 56 years. With that information in hand, Funk predicted that 1949 would be a panic year, due to the fact that bonds, debentures, war costs, and other payments were coming due that year.

 

Proved by Charts, Claims Funk

“The chart,” Funk declared, “proves beyond question that humanity does and will not profit by experience; that everything in economics is governed by cause and effect, action and reaction. The chart further proves that panic and depression are the result of production setting a pace that consumption cannot follow. It will be noted that after 56 years each economic event is repeated. Bound up in this lapse of time are indicated the governing forces of human endurance, both mental and physical, which are then manifested by new living standards, customs, and manners. A study of the year-to-year accumulation of surplus production will demonstrate that these cycles repeat, proving that economic patterns are consistent over time. The economic cycle is a chain of unbroken cause and effect events, which, when transposed into common expressions, occur in the order: Depression produces thrift; thrift produces confidence; confidence produces investment; investment produces activity, and activity is prosperity; continued prosperity produces easy credit, easy credit produces over-production; over-production produces fictitious sales and such fictitious sales produce fictitious collateral; fictitious collateral produces an economic structure of fictitious paper value. When the structure is so recognized, it is abandoned. Panic prevails and depression is produced. The depth of depression depends upon the magnitude to which the fictitious condition expanded. Until a financing basis is inaugurated to govern each endeavor, the scientific diversification is workable. The demand for referendums is heeded and facilitated. So long as the organized minorities control legislation, the political payrolls are in excess of services required or efficiency rendered, labor, organized or otherwise, is unscientifically compensated. So long as there be dabbles in countries of different general standards, so long as bonds and debentures are destined to mature regardless of coincidence with other maturities, so long as the government competes with business, then, just that long will memory repeat itself."

 

Covered 118 Years

Funk took his figures over a period of 115 years. First, he noted when the first panic was noted. The panics of 1873 and 1920 followed at 56-year intervals. He said that a depression was due in 1913 but was forestalled by the war and the consequent expenditure of moneys by foreign countries for war munitions. "Depressions," Funk said, "are periods of industrial stagnation when surplus productions are used. We may expect the peak of our market prices in October, 1936, the same as the peak was reached in 1897 before the 1903 crash. In 1817, when canal construction was being financed, leaders described the expenditure of money as wild orgies of speculation; again in 1873, when much money was spent in financing the construction of transcontinental railroads, the same expression was used, and in 1929, William Randolph Hearst expressed himself similarly." Funk was accompanied to the meeting by L. C. Carroll, secretary of the Ottawa Chamber of Commerce, who introduced the speaker. His statements produced an unusual effect on the gathering, who came to attend in a doubting frame of mind, but left with entirely different feelings.

SPX vs North Node | Louise McWhirter's Theory of Stock Market Forecasting

Louise McWhirter presented her theory in 1938 in "Astrology and Stock Market Forecasting" (p. 7-8) as follows:

Whenever the North Node passes through Scorpio and Libra [2012-2015], there is a transition period as the curve passes from normal, going from normal to high.

[…] The high point of business volume is reached when the North Node transits Leo [2017-2018]. As the North Node goes through Cancer and Gemini, business volume is above normal, but slowly going to normal.

[…] Taurus [2003-2004] is the transition point or normal point as the curve goes from normal to below normal in business volume.

[…] When the North Node enters Aquarius [2007-2008], the low point of business activity has been reached. As the Node transits Capricorn [2009] and Sagittarius [2011], the normal position of the business curve is below normal going to normal.

[…] This is the natural position of the curve without the presence of secondary factors which can distort the curve favorably or unfavorably from one to twenty percent.

[…] The following secondary factors tend to lift the Business Curve:

(1) Jupiter conjunction the North Node. [2009, 2016, 2023]
(2] Saturn trine, sextile, or semi-sextile Uranus. [2002-2003, 2016-2017, 2025-2026]
(3) Jupiter in Gemini or Cancer. [2000-2005, 2030-2035]
(4) Jupiter conjunction, sextile or trine Saturn and Uranus, when in aspect to each other.
(5) The North Node in Gemini. [2013, 2016]
(6) Favorable aspects to Pluto. [2013, 2016]

[…] The following secondary factors have been found to depress the Business Curve:

(1) Saturn conjunction, square or opposition the North Node. [2013, 2016]
(2) Saturn conjunction, square, opposition, or semi-square Uranus. [2012-2013, 2021]
(3) Saturn in Gemini. [2000-2003, 2030-2032]
(4) Uranus in Gemini. [2025-2033]
(5) Uranus square, conjunction, or opposition the North Node. [Jan 2015, Jun 2018]
(6) Unfavorable aspects to Pluto.” [Jan 2015, Apr 2019]

As the Node moved through Capricorn (2010) and Sagittarius (2011) the general economy approached a very high level of activity in Scorpio (2012), and should peak as the Node passes through the sign of Leo (2017). 

However, W.D. Gann associated the period of the Node in Libra (2015) also with stock market panics (HERE). Moving through the signs of Cancer (2018) and Gemini (2020), the economic activity is still positive but beginning to slow to more normal levels. 

The above chart of the SPX and the North Node in the zodiac signs clearly shows that in the past this basic theory was not always properly reflected in the stock market's movements. This has to do with other important astronomical cycles, e.g. the 19.86 Year Jupiter-Saturn Cycle, 19 Year Metonic Cycle, the different natured 18.61 Year Lunar Declination Cycle, the 18 Year Saros Cycle or the varying lengths of the Solar Cycle. Additional important "secondary factors" could be the amazing activities of central banks, especially during the past 40 years. Nevertheless, empirical research discovered a multitude of other interesting economic sub-cycles of 17 to 20 years length, never out-ruled by any human intervention. The Wave Length Index of the Foundation for the Study of Cycles lists the following:

 

Foundation for the Study of Cycles (1964): Catalogue of Cycles - Part I.

SPX vs Mars - North Node Cycle

13.12.2011 01:05 (Tue)   MAR 270° NN
14.01.2012 01:44 (Sat)   MAR 279° NN
13.02.2012 23:25 (Mon)   MAR 279° NN
19.03.2012 15:57 (Mon)   MAR 270° NN
30.04.2012 19:11 (Mon)   MAR 270° NN
30.05.2012 02:54 (Wed)   MAR 279° NN
19.06.2012 12:39 (Tue)   MAR 288° NN
06.07.2012 00:39 (Fri)   MAR 297° NN
20.07.2012 19:46 (Fri)   MAR 306° NN
03.08.2012 07:46 (Fri)   MAR 315° NN 

16.08.2012 06:12 (Thu)   MAR 324° NN
28.08.2012 12:04 (Tue)   MAR 333° NN
09.09.2012 07:19 (Sun)   MAR 342° NN
20.09.2012 20:55 (Thu)   MAR 351° NN
02.10.2012 10:59 (Tue)   MAR 000° NN
14.10.2012 14:12 (Sun)   MAR 009° NN
26.10.2012 15:57 (Fri)   MAR 018° NN
07.11.2012 17:08 (Wed)   MAR 027° NN
19.11.2012 14:30 (Mon)   MAR 036° NN
01.12.2012 09:01 (Sat)   MAR 045° NN
12.12.2012 22:09 (Wed)   MAR 054° NN
24.12.2012 03:05 (Mon)   MAR 063° NN
03.01.2013 09:56 (Thu)   MAR 072° NN
14.01.2013 00:05 (Mon)   MAR 081° NN
24.01.2013 14:18 (Thu)   MAR 090° NN
03.02.2013 04:56 (Sun)   MAR 099° NN
13.02.2013 01:24 (Wed)   MAR 108° NN
23.02.2013 12:24 (Sat)   MAR 117° NN
05.03.2013 17:44 (Tue)   MAR 126° NN
15.03.2013 22:57 (Fri)   MAR 135° NN

Calculated and charted with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution.

Moon Wobbles