Monday, December 30, 2013

Solar Tides & Markets

Astrophysics & Chaos [Mar 30, 1999]
"The Solar Energy System does affect markets. The Sun gives off radiation which varies by about 2 percent. These variations are caused by tidal forces that the revolving planets exert on the gases in the Sun.

These tides cause vortexes in the Sun’s surface leading to solar flares, coronal holes, and magnetic storms. The energy changes from these are carried to Earth on an ionized stream of particles called the Solar Wind.

When the Solar Wind reaches Earth it is deflected around the Earth by the Earth’s magnetic field. 


This creates a magnetosphere around the Earth. At the poles ionized particles can penetrate the Earth’s atmosphere. Changes in the solar radiation cause changes in the voltage in the ionosphere.

This in turn causes changes in the electrical currents flowing through people standing on the Earth. These emotional swings account for about 40 percent of price motion.
"
 

Al Larson a.k.a. Hanns Hannula [extracted from his "Cash in on Chaos Newsletter" @ www.moneytide.com - more HERE & HERE]


Hans Hannula (1991): A Lunar Chaos Theory; p. 14


Wednesday, December 18, 2013

Skyscraper Indicator | Excuse me, while I kiss the sky ...

Cycles analyst Edward Dewey (1895-1978) was the chief economics analyst for the US Department of Commerce when he developed the "Skyscraper Indicator" in the 1940s: It correlates human optimism to the number of high-rise buildings under construction. When people are very optimistic, they tend to express their feelings in massive construction projects, especially very tall buildings, because they have a need to build toward the sky! Since this extreme optimism is reached at major market peaks, in the economy, severe economic downturns usually follow; not just declines in real estate prices. 

The world’s current tallest building, the Burj Khalifa in Dubai (828 m), nicely illustrates this process: It was built as a monument to the Gulf emirate’s boom in the middle years of last decade and opened in late 2009, just as the emirate plunged into financial crisis. These are the highest buildings in 2013:

World's Tallest Buildings 2013



















And these are the tallest buildings currently under construction and expected to be complete before 2020:

Skyscrapers under Construction






















It doesn't need a prophet to tell where the next bubbles are about to pop: Of all of the world's skyscrapers under construction, China is home to 53% of them and by 2016 China's highest buildings will exceed the 'One World Trade Center' (417 m) in New York by 200 meters. The boom is on though in mid 2013 the construction of the planned 838 meter Sky City in south-central China was halted by the authorities for not having a building permission. A similar craze for high rise has gripped South Korea and India. India just finished building two skyscrapers and has 14 skyscrapers currently under construction. However, having survived the Arab Spring miraculously, it is this decrepit royal kleptocracy in Saudi Arabia that is now giving thanks to each other by decorating Jeddah with a 1,007 meter high 'Kingdom Tower'.

Let's have a look at what happened during recent high times in different places: The construction of the Taipei 101 (508 m) began in 1999 and was completed in 2004. The duration coincided without the recession in the early 2000s and the tech bubble while in 2010 the completion of the Burj Khalifa coincided with the current global financial crisis. The Asian economic crisis, currency devaluation and speculation in stock and property coincided in 1997-1998 with the completion of the Petronas Towers (452 m), the tallest buildings in the world at the time. Now the Great 18-Year Real Estate Cycle will again be due to peak and pop around 2016. 


World's Tallest Buildings 2020 - Excuse me, while I kiss the sky ...

Friday, December 13, 2013

S&P500 vs Planets out of Bounds

Calculated and charted with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution























When the declinations of Mercury, Venus and Mars are exceeding the extremes of the Sun's declination (= ± 23.27 degrees geocentric), the events are often correlating with market turns (see also HERE).  

20 May 2013- 13 Jun 2013 - Mercury OOB

24 May 2013- 19 Jun 2013 - Venus OOB
29 Jun 2013 - 3 Aug 2013 - Mars OOB
10 Oct 2013 - Dec 2013 - Venus OOB
16 Dec 2013 - 8 Jan 2014 - Mercury OOB

[Eastern Standard Time (EST) -0500 UTC]

Planets are out of bounds when in the yellowish shaded areas. Credits: Café Astrology

Wednesday, December 4, 2013

DJIA 2013-2014 vs 1929

Calculated and charted with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution. For the methodology see HERE
Tom DeMark detected this 2013-2014 analog with 1929. It points to a very important market top on January 14, 2014. However, in a recent interview Tom DeMark was expressing his frustration about his signals not working due to constant FED manipulations. Stan Harley has figured on January 10, 2014 as an important top based on Fibonacci cycles. Based on George Lindsay's techniques, Ed Carlson targets the first half of January as the later of two likely ultimate top dates for this uptrend: "The current LLH interval points to a top on 1/2/14."

Geocentric and Heliocentric Bradley Indices 2014

In the 1940's Garth Allen - better known as Donald Bradley (1925-1974) - developed the Bradley Siderograph to forecast the financial markets (stocks, bonds, commodities). He assigned numerical values to certain geocentric and heliocentric planetary constellations for every day, and the sum is the geocentric or heliocentric Bradley Siderograph or Bradley Index. Sergey Tarassov believes Donald Bradley's book "Stock Market Prediction" is the best on financial astrology: "He has done an excellent job, especially taking into account the fact that there were no PC in 1940s. First of all he has demonstrated that astrology really works. Second he has made this fact understandable to all people, not for small astrological community only. Each word in this book has some sense in comparison to many modern sources of financial astrology." However, the Bradley Indices do not predict the direction but only turning points within a time window of +/- 4 calendar days. 


[Eastern Standard Time (EST) -0500 UTC]

Geocentric Bradley Index 2014
2013-11-04 (Mon) = High
2013-12-02 (Mon) = @ 0
2014-01-01 (Wed) = Major Low
2014-01-09 (Thu) = High
2014-01-23 (Thu) = Low
2014-02-04 (Tue) = High
2014-02-19 (Wed) = Low
2014-03-21 (Fri) = High
2014-04-04 (Fri) = Low
2014-04-28 (Mon) = High
2014-05-06 (Tue) = Low
2014-05-21 (Tue) = @ 0
2014-06-20 (Fri) = High
2014-06-27 (Fri) = Low
2014-07-15 (Tue) = Major High
2014-07-29 (Tue) = Low
2014-08-05 (Tue) = High
2014-09-10 (Wed) = Low
2014-09-17 (Wed) = High
2014-09-22 (Mon) = @ 0
2014-10-08 (Wed) = Low
2014-10-15 (Wed) = High
2014-11-20 (Thu) = Major Low
2014-12-09 (Tue) = High
2014-12-26 (Fri) = Low
2015-02-16 (Mon) = @ 0
2015-03-06 (Fri) = High
2015-03-11 (Wed) = Low
2015-04-03 (Fri) = High
 
Heliocentric Bradley Index 2013
2013-11-01 (Fri) = Major High
2013-12-03 (Tue) = @ 0
2014-01-01 (Wed) = Low
2014-01-07 (Tue) = High
2014-01-23 (Thu) = Major Low
2014-02-25 (Tue) = High
2014-03-07 (Fri) = Low
2014-03-21 (Fri) = High
2014-04-04 (Fri) = Low
2014-04-28 (Mon) = High
2014-05-06 (Tue) = Low
2014-05-21 (Wed) = @ 0
2014-06-20 (Fri) = High
2014-06-27 (Fri) = Low
2014-07-15 (Tue) = Major High
2014-07-29 (Tue) = Low
2014-08-08 (Fri) = High
2014-08-18 (Mon) = Low
2014-08-21 (Thu) = High
2014-09-23 (Tue) = @ 0
2014-10-08 (Wed) = Low
2014-10-15 (Wed) = High
2014-11-21 (Fri) = Major Low
2014-12-09 (Tue) = High
2014-12-26 (Fri) = Low
2015-02-11 (Wed) = @ 0
2015-03-04 (Wed) = High
2015-03-12 (Thu) = Low
2015-04-03 (Fri) = High
2015-04-13 (Mon) = Low
2015-04-24 (Fri) = Major High

Geocentric and Heliocentric Bradley Indices 2014
2013-11-01 (Fri) = Major High (helio)
2013-11-04 (Mon) = High (geo)
2013-12-02 (Mon) = @ 0 (geo)
2013-12-03 (Tue) = @ 0 (helio)
2014-01-01 (Wed) = Major Low (geo + helio)
2014-01-07 (Tue) = High (helio)
2014-01-09 (Thu) = High (geo)
2014-01-23 (Thu) = Low (geo) + Major Low (helio)
2014-02-04 (Tue) = High (geo)
2014-02-19 (Wed) = Low (geo)
2014-02-25 (Tue) = High (helio)
2014-03-07 (Fri) = Low (helio)
2014-03-21 (Fri) = High (geo + helio)
2014-04-04 (Fri) = Low (geo + helio)
2014-04-28 (Mon) = High (geo + helio)
2014-05-06 (Tue) = Low (geo + helio)
2014-05-21 (Tue) = @ 0 (geo + helio)
2014-06-20 (Fri) = High (geo + helio)
2014-06-27 (Fri) = Low (geo + helio)
2014-07-15 (Tue) = Major High (geo + helio)
2014-07-29 (Tue) = Low (geo + helio)
2014-08-05 (Tue) = High (geo)
2014-08-08 (Fri) = High (helio)
2014-08-18 (Mon) = Low (helio)
2014-08-21 (Thu) = High (helio)
2014-09-10 (Wed) = Low (geo)
2014-09-17 (Wed) = High (geo)
2014-09-22 (Mon) = @ 0 (geo)
2014-09-23 (Tue) = @ 0 (helio)
2014-10-08 (Wed) = Low (geo + helio)
2014-10-15 (Wed) = High (geo + helio)
2014-11-20 (Thu) = Major Low (geo)
2014-11-21 (Fri) = Major Low (helio)
2014-12-09 (Tue) = High (geo + helio)
2014-12-26 (Fri) = Low (geo + helio)
2015-02-11 (Wed) = @ 0 (helio)
2015-02-16 (Mon) = @ 0 (geo)
2015-03-04 (Wed) = High (helio)
2015-03-06 (Fri) = High (geo)
2015-03-11 (Wed) = Low (geo)
2015-03-12 (Thu) = Low (helio)
2015-04-03 (Fri) = High (geo + helio)
2015-04-13 (Mon) = Low (helio)
2015-04-24 (Fri) = Major High (helio)