SPX vs Delta Cycles

Today's day session range estimate is 1350-1360. A rally from the November 25 low at 1147.50 which matches the size of the October rally would bring the ES to 1370. The May 2011 top was at 1373. After that top is exceeded a drop of 50-70 points again becomes likely. But even so I expect the market to move well above the 1400 level over the next few months.

http://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2012/02/guesstimates-on-february-27-2012.html

 

When a CME hits the Earth's Magnetic Field | Al Larson

A coronal mass ejection (CME) hit Earth's magnetic field at 0617 UT on Jan. 22nd. At first the impact did not appear to be a strong one: the solar wind speed barely lifted itself to ~400 km/s when the CME passed by. Now, however, in the wake of the CME, a dense and increasingly geoeffective solar wind stream is blowing arround Earth, setting the stage for possible auroras on the night of Jan. 22nd.  

Reference:

Al Larson aka Hans Hannula, Astrophysics & Chaos (Mar 30 1999).

 

S&P 500 Price, Inflation Adjusted 1881 - 2012

 

Data courtesy Standard & Poor’s and Robert Shiller.

Natural Trading Days for 2012

... derived from the Equation of Time & the Declination of the Sun

Astronomical cycles such as the Mercury Cycles, the cycle of the star Sirius, the Lunar Cycles, the Earth/Sun Cycles and the Equation of Time (EOT) can be used for timing potential turn dates in the stock, forex and commodities markets.

Earth in Perigee = Jan 05 
EOT @ minimum  = −14 min 15 sec  = 11 February 
SPRING EQUINOX = March 20
EOT @ zero = 15 April
EOT @ maximum = +03 min 41 sec = 14 May
EOT @ zero  = 13 June 
SUMMER SOLSTICE = June 20
Earth in Apogee  Jul 05
EOT @ minimum = −06 min 30 sec = 26 July
EOT @ zero = 1 September 
FALL EQUINOX = September 22
EOT @ maximum = +16 min 25 sec = 3 November 
WINTER SOLSTICE = December 21
EOT @ zero = 25 December

Major Stock Indices vs Delta Cycles

Juglar & Kitchen vs DJI

UBS created an interesting chart using the Juglar cycle, Kitchin cycle, and Dow Jones Industrial Average. According to Wikipedia: The Kitchin cycle is a short business cycle of about 40 months discovered in the 1920s by Joseph Kitchin. The Juglar cycle is a fixed investment cycle of 7 to 11 years identified in 1862 by Clement Juglar.