The Wang Yi - Jake Sullivan Talks in Full

Sullivan - laughing stock of the world - wasn't even invited by Beijing. So why did he show up?

Reference:
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China (August 28, 2024) - Wang Yi and U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan Hold Strategic Communication.
The White House (August 28, 2024) - Readout of National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan’s meeting with Chinese Communist Party Politburo Member, Director of the Office of the Foreign Affairs Commission, and Foreign Minister Wang Yi.

Shen Yi (August 28, 2024) - On US Foreign Policy, US-China Relations and Economy. (video)

 » For the United States, the big cycles look mostly unfavorable. «

Ray Dalio “Power Index” for great powers and empires over time.

America's Final War | Andrei Martyanov

"Warfare is a geopolitical tool of the first order; only wars of scale can measure the real strength of nations." For decades, American claims of hegemony, and by extension, those of the West, have been based on what has now proved to be a carefully constructed mythology of economic and military supremacy.

 » Barack Obama allowed Russia to steal American hypersonic technology. This is why Russia
is two generations ahead of the US in hypersonic technology, while the United States still
cannot produce even 'slow' hypersonic weapons. «

 

This is Andrei Martyanov’s fourth book addressing this issue, now as it concerns the war in Ukraine. In America’s Final War, he lays out in detail the underpinning causes and extent of its self-deception. Washington’s eight years of preparing Ukraine and its armed forces for war with Russia was a mistake of historic proportions due to its misperception of American military power based on its 1991 Gulf War victory against a minor military player. Washington believed its own propaganda about crippling sanctions on Russia, the viability of its Ukrainian proxy army, and the economic and military weakness of Russia, spelling doom for the American empire and its “rules-based order.”

 The Sarmat II ICBM travels at Mach 20.7 (25,000 km/h) and has a range of up to 18,000 km.

In comparison, the United States is actively working on its own hypersonic
weapons, which aim to travel at speeds greater than Mach 5.

Martyanov lays out Washington’s utter incompetence and shocking military amateurism. But then, he claims, the US doesn’t do strategy; it does business plans. Through 2022-2023, Russia’s Special Military Operation (SMO) exposed US and NATO forces as legacy armies stuck in the 1990s, still viewing the world from that vantage point. The massive destruction of the West’s high-cost weaponry ensued, annulling their vaunted superiority. Western armaments, from anti-tank Javelins to APC Bradleys to air defense complexes such as the Patriot PAC3 or NASAMS, performed dismally and proved unready for what has become the largest military conflict in Europe since WWII. By 2023, the Kiev regime could no longer exist without the West’s support, both financial and in war materiel. By 2024, Russia will have not just exhausted Ukraine but also demilitarized NATO as a whole, exposing the industrial and military impotence of the US and its European vassals.

 

 The White Man's Burden is over.

The finance and tech-based economy is not a real economy; expeditionary warfare and doctrine are not real war. The global balance of power has shifted to Eurasia. Western Europe has become a collection of weak and fast-deindustrializing economies which will increasingly become irrelevant against the background of the explosive economic, technological, scientific, and military development in Eurasia. The world has noticed what has been exposed, and because of that, life as we knew it is no more. The rule of the West of the last half-millennium is over.

 

Reference:

Andrei Martyanov (August 15, 2024) - America's Final War.

Andrei Martyanov (April 2, 2024) - Russia and war as a continuation of politics. (video)

 

See also:

Manat_F (August 23, 2024) - About the Kursk disaster of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

Andrei Martyanov (August 22, 2024) - Russia Obliterates Ukrainian Forces and Seizes Territory in Shocking Advance. (video)

Martin Armstrong (May 1, 2024) - The Kremlin's Last Warning.

TPR (March 23, 2014) - March 18, 2014 - A Pivot of History & the Ascent of a Multi-Polar World System.

On Realism and War with China | John Mearsheimer

Lex Fridman: The communication gap between China and the United States seems to be much greater than that of what was the former Soviet Union and the United States.

 

Mearchiavelli, Machiavelli's revenant.

 

John Mearsheimer: It’s an interesting question. A lot of people describe the Cold War as an ideological competition above all else.

Communism versus liberal democracy or communism versus liberal capitalism, whatever. I actually don’t believe that. The Soviets were realists to the core. Stalin was a realist par excellence, and ideology did not matter much in Stalin’s foreign policy. And if you look at Soviet foreign policy after World War II, throughout the Cold War, they were realists to the core. And in those days the Americans were realists. Sure, a lot of liberal ideology floating around out there, but the Americans were realists. One of the reasons we avoided a shooting match between the United States and the Soviet Union from 1947 to 1989 was because both sides understood the basic balance of power logic.

 

The US-China competition is somewhat different. But first of all, the Chinese are realists to the core. I’ve spent a lot of time in China. I am basically a rock star in China. The Chinese are my kind of people. They are realists. They speak my language. It’s the United States that is no longer very realist. American leaders have a very powerful liberal bent and tend not to see the world in realist terms.

 

That’s fascinating. So the Chinese are pragmatic realists and think of the world as a competition of military powers?

 

Yeah, you are actually right. And I think we will avoid war. The problem with the Americans is, it’s not just their liberalism. It’s the possibility that we will pursue a rollback policy. During the Cold War the American grand strategy towards the Soviet Union was: containment, containment, containment. We now know from the historical record that the United States was not only pursuing containment. We were trying to rollback Soviet power to put it bluntly. We were trying to wreck the Soviet Union. And I would not be surprised moving forward with regard to China if the United States pursues a serious rollback policy.

 

So you’re saying throughout history the United States was always pursuing rollback policies? 

Look, you don’t respect the power of other nations. You fear the power of other nations.

 

Will there be a war with China in the 21st century?

 

I don’t know. But my argument is yes, there will be war with China. 

 

Quoted from:
Lex Fridman interviews John Mearsheimer - Nov 17, 2023. (transcript) (video)

 

 See also:
John Mearsheimer (2001) - The Tragedy of Great Power Politics.