Sunday, January 22, 2012

When a CME hits the Earth's Magnetic Field | Al Larson

A coronal mass ejection (CME) hit Earth's magnetic field at 0617 UT on Jan. 22nd. At first the impact did not appear to be a strong one: the solar wind speed barely lifted itself to ~400 km/s when the CME passed by. Now, however, in the wake of the CME, a dense and increasingly geoeffective solar wind stream is blowing arround Earth, setting the stage for possible auroras on the night of Jan. 22nd.  

Reference:
Al Larson aka Hans Hannula, Astrophysics & Chaos (Mar 30 1999).
 

Tuesday, January 10, 2012

Natural Trading Days for 2012

... derived from the Equation of Time & the Declination of the Sun

Astronomical cycles such as the Mercury Cycles, the cycle of the star Sirius, the Lunar Cycles, the Earth/Sun Cycles and the Equation of Time (EOT) can be used for timing potential turn dates in the stock, forex and commodities markets.

Earth in Perigee = Jan 05 
EOT @ minimum  = −14 min 15 sec  = 11 February 
SPRING EQUINOX = March 20
EOT @ zero = 15 April
EOT @ maximum = +03 min 41 sec = 14 May
EOT @ zero  = 13 June
 
SUMMER SOLSTICE = June 20
Earth in Apogee  Jul 05
EOT @ minimum = −06 min 30 sec = 26 July
EOT @ zero = 1 September
 
FALL EQUINOX = September 22
EOT @ maximum = +16 min 25 sec = 3 November 
WINTER SOLSTICE = December 21
EOT @ zero = 25 December



Monday, January 9, 2012

Juglar Investment Cycle and Kitchin Business Cycle vs. DJIA

UBS created an interesting chart using the Juglar cycle, the Kitchin cycle, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The Kitchin cycle is business cycle of roughly 3 to 4 years (about 40 months), first described by Joseph Kitchin in a 1923 paper. He identified it from analysis of price, interest rate, and industrial output data, attributing the fluctuations to lags in information and inventory adjustments. The Juglar cycle is a fixed-investment cycle lasting about 7 to 11 years, first identified by Clément Juglar in his 1862 work "Des crises commerciales et de leur retour périodique en France, en Angleterre et aux États-Unis." It is often considered the classical business cycle, reflecting waves of capital investment and credit expansion/contraction.