2026 Hurst Cycles Playbook for the S&P 500 | Namzes

Following the November 21 (Fri) 40-week cycle low and the December 19 (Fri) 40-day cycle higher-low confirmation, the S&P 500 is now in a new 40-week cycle uptrend. Though the next 40-day cycle pullback is expected in late January, the rising 20-week cycle should drive the S&P 500 higher toward around the February 20 (Fri) option expiration.

Q1 rally, mid-year correction, July and October windows for yearly low, rally in Q4. 

 
Building on prior calls like the accurate November 2025 low, the chart above illustrates July 2026 as an ideal nested low for multiple cycles (20-week, 40-week, possibly 18-month and 3.5-year or 42-month).

Reference:
Namzes (January 5, 2026) - 2026 Hurst Cycles Playbook for the S&P 500.

 

 [ Note: A November 21, 2025, 40-week cycle low would render prior TPR Hurst cycle analyses

and longer-term phasing (e.g., HERE, HERE, and HERE) largely incorrect and obsolete. ]

 

Midterm Years, January 3, 2026.

  

» The 21 November low was the 40-week trough. « 
Christopher Grafton, January 9, 2026.

See also:

Namzes (January 10, 2026) - VIX Cycles.

Namzes (December 31, 2026) - US Stock Market Forecast: 25% Bear Market and Recovery.

"Space-Time Forecasting of Economic Trends" | Muriel and Louis Hasbrouck

The Space-Time Structure, pioneered by the multidisciplinary partnership of Muriel and Louis Hasbrouck, functions as a sophisticated theoretical framework that interprets economic fluctuations through natural wave patterns and solar-electromagnetic forces. Muriel Elizabeth Bruce Hasbrouck (1890-1981), a Canadian scholar of comparative philosophy, intellectually shaped by Walter Russell's cosmogony, and author of the personality study "Pursuit of Destiny," provided the foundational insight into human behavior. 

 

Each 35.8-year cyclic wave from C crest to C crest is divided into 12 periods, covering about 3 years each (2.983 years, 35.796 months, or 1,089.51 days). The C to D period represents uncertainty and fear (as in 1930–1933). D to E brings temporary recovery (as in 1936). F to G is a time of reconstruction wherein psychological factors of the new trend appear (as in 1940–1953). From G, the pull from the peak ahead at C is clearly evident. Minor adjustments at A and B often are misread as threatening a depression (as in 1957 and 1962).

Her 1940 discovery, co-developed with her husband Abraham Louis M. Hasbrouck (1890-1979), established a predictive index for timing radio transmission disturbances—initially tested with Bell Telephone Laboratories—which later expanded to forecast earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, solar flares, and even missile launch failures in the early 1960s. They changed tracks when Louis noticed that many of the dates that Muriel generated coincided with stock market moves. Their scientific rigor was balanced by Louis, a Yale-educated Canadian World War I pilot and World War II officer with a deep background in finance. Having mastered investment at Bonbright and Company before becoming an independent counsel, Louis dedicated himself from 1930 onward to uncovering the natural laws underlying market fluctuations and shifting economic trends.  

 » Economically, it is a WAVE PATTERN of changing trends in collective instinct. «

 

Together, they conceptualized the universe as operating via rhythmic energy waves that constitute a persistent "Field" surrounding Earth. This field is continuously modulated by solar activity, planetary movements, and geomagnetic disturbances, creating a "wave pattern in time" that evokes biological and psychological responses in all living entities. Unlike mechanical or deterministic models, these waves do not repeat in identical cycles; rather, each represents a unique evolutionary progression within natural and human systems. Louis and Muriel Hasbrouck’s Space-Time Forecasting is a long-range economic and market forecasting system based on the premise that future conditions influence the present, rather than markets being driven solely by past data. 

 

The system holds that the Sun is a pulsating electromagnetic source whose energy radiates rhythmically through space, forming a dominant 35.8-year wave with embedded subcycles—most notably a nine-year rhythm divided into building, peak, and declining phases corresponding to economic expansion, inflation, and contraction. Planetary bodies do not cause events directly and are not interpreted symbolically; instead, their electromagnetic fields modulate and channel the solar field, altering the timing and intensity of energy reaching Earth. These interactions generate wave-like disturbances that affect all terrestrial systems, including collective human psychology.

Space-Time Trend Waves represent the changing flow of human energy and motivation at the socio-economic level. Each Wave follows an orderly, recognizable course from one peak of prosperity (C) to the next in about 36 years. Each Wave is divided into 12 interim phases averaging 3 years each, which can be qualitatively evaluated.

 Legend:

C Wave Crest, Prosperity Peak, followed by REVERSAL to D.
D to E Temporary Recovery.
F to G Start of rise toward next peak, with intimations of qualities of the new, incoming trend (as from 1941 to 1953).
G Activation of new trend toward next peak C.
A & B Minor interruptions of upward trend (as in 1957 and 1962).
C Wave Crest, Prosperity Peak.

History shows that during the reversal of trend following each Wave crest (C) new attitudes develop—social, political, and economic. This, as the Space-Time Structure of History reveals, is an important key to the evolution of civilization. Not only history, but modern science today substantiates the application of the Space-Time Structure as a unified field involving a natural linkage between space, time, and human behaviour. A "new hypothesis" in physics declares that such a linkage exists, that the mind of man and the wave properties of the electron are two extremes of the same thing, and that the "wave of the future" can be perceived in the evolutionary structure of the field.

Human behavior, mass sentiment, and markets are treated as electrical systems embedded within this solar-planetary field, making financial markets sensitive indicators of underlying energetic conditions. The Hasbroucks do not predict specific events or prices; they forecast conditions—states of economic pressure, instability, or expansion—analogous to weather forecasting, with events arising only when conditions reach critical thresholds. 

 

Time and space are considered inseparable, and the Space-Time Wave is visualized as a trend-like heartbeat whose expansions, contractions, and inflection points signal systemic transitions such as monetary regime changes. The system is presented as a bridge between electromagnetic field theory and empirical economic pattern recognition, rejecting traditional astrology and claiming validation solely through long-term forecasting consistency rather than short-term speculation.

The 35.8-year Saturn-Neptune cycle exactly matches the crest-to-crest Hasbrouck cycle.

In practical application, the structure identifies predictable cycles—often spanning approximately 35.8 years between peaks—which are further segmented into twelve distinct periods labeled A through G. These phases allow for the identification of critical turning points, such as the 1929 crash or mid-1960s economic shifts, serving as an early warning system for socio-economic disruptions.

 

Despite its predictive nature, the framework rejects fatalism, viewing each wave as a "new adventure" for human advancement rather than an inevitable repetition. By blending elements of physics, psychology, and investment finance, the Space-Time Structure offers a holistic methodology for navigating perpetual change, providing a roadmap for decision-making in finance, policy, and personal strategy.

 

 Muriel and Louis Hasbrouck, 1976.

 

Based on the structure of the 35.8-year Hasbrouck cycle, which spans from one prosperity crest (point C) to the next and is divided into 12 periods of approximately 2.983 years each, the period from early 2026 to around 2037 (around the maximum of solar cycle 26) corresponds to the latter stages of the current cycle commencing at the 2001 crest (around the maximum of solar cycle 23). 

 

 2025 prediction of solar cycles 26 and 27 based on LSTM-FCN.

Drawing from historical analogies (e.g., the 1929–1965 cycle), this timeframe aligns with the transition from reconstruction to the final upward phases leading to the projected 2037 crest. The phases are characterized below in approximate 3- to 5-year segments, reflecting grouped periods with their economic and psychological attributes:

■ 2026–2029 (G to A phase, continuation of upward trend): This segment follows the activation point (G, around 2025), marking the sustained initiation of a new upward economic trajectory. It is characterized by strengthening trends, emerging optimism, and progressive recovery from prior reconstruction, with psychological factors fostering confidence and innovation toward the next peak.
■ 2029 (A, minor interruption): A brief adjustment period interrupting the upward momentum, akin to historical pauses (e.g., 1957). It involves temporary setbacks, increased caution, or minor economic corrections, driven by psychological shifts toward reevaluation without derailing the overall ascent.
■ 2029–2034 (A to B phase, further progression): Building on the prior interruption, this phase entails continued advancement with incremental adjustments. Economic growth resumes with refined strategies, supported by adaptive psychological responses that emphasize stability and gradual expansion amid evolving trends.
■ 2034 (B, second minor interruption): Similar to the first interruption but later in the cycle (e.g., analogous to 1962), this involves another short-term disruption. It features heightened uncertainty or corrective measures, with psychological elements promoting resilience and preparation for the final push.
■ 2034–2037 (B to C phase, final lead to crest): The concluding segment propels toward the prosperity crest (C, around 2037). It is defined by accelerating upward momentum, culminating in peak prosperity, with psychological drivers of enthusiasm and anticipation facilitating robust economic expansion and trend fulfillment.

For real? In Canada, Bhutan, and Zimbabwe? Time will tell.

 

Reference:

Muriel B. and Louis M. Hasbrouck (1967) - Space -Time Forecasting of Economic Trends. 

Louis M. Hasbrouck (1959) - How to Predict Earthquakes.

Institute of CosmoEconomics (1974) - The Hasbrouck Articles.

 

» Magnus Dominus noster, et magna virtus eius et Sapientiae eius non est numerus: 
laudate eum coeli, laudate eum Sol, Luna et Planetae, quocunque sensu ad percipiendum, 
quacunque lingua ad eloquendum Creatorem vestrum utamini: Laudate eum 

Harmoniae coelestes, laudate cum vos Harmoniarum detectarum arbitri. «

 

Great is our Lord and great His virtue and of His wisdom there is no number:
 praise Him, ye heavens, praise Him, ye sun, moon, and planets, use every 
sense for perceiving, every tongue for declaring your Creator. Praise Him, 
ye celestial harmonies, praise Him, ye judges of the harmonies uncovered.

 

Harmony of the World, Johannes Kepler, 1619.   

 

See also: 

Alexander L. Chizhevsky (December 14, 2025) - Mass Excitability during Solar Cycle 25 (2019–2030). 

Vladimir A. Belkin (December 8, 2025) - "Cosmic Cycles of Global Conjuncture" and Outlook into 2035.
Aleksander Valkov (December 7, 2025) - Helioeconomics: Solar Cycles and World Economic Rhythms.

Shuguang Zeng et al. (2025) - Prediction of solar cycles 26 and 27 based on LSTM-FCN. 

Frank Hoogerbeets (2023) - Geometry and Dynamics of the Solar System.

Valentino Straser and Kazunori Miura (2020) - Electric Earthquakes? The case of Hyogo Ken Nambu (Japan).

Larry Berg (1988) - Planetary Harmonics.
John H. Nelson (1974) - Cosmic Patterns: Their Influence on Man and His Communication.

2026 Gold Forecast | Namzes

Back in February 2024, our main call was to watch for Gold to break the 2,080–2,100 level, which would trigger a trend move; it has since moved up over 2x. Short-term moves are hard to call and cycles are not stable, so I focus on mini-trend moves where I can hold a position for several months. We are now approaching a potential multi-month peak, which will be followed by a sizable pullback.

 

 Updates to the 2025 Gold Forecast.

The main idea for 2026 is a peak in Q1 around February, followed by a 20%+ decline toward mid-summer in July and a subsequent resumption of the bull market. 

  

 Peak in February. 20%+ decline through July. Bull market resumption.

 

In the chart above the composite projection is shown in orange, with seasonality displayed in the middle. The 18-month cycle in the bottom panel is due for a low between April and August; while this long cycle has wide dispersion, the best guess is that an initial low occurs in April with the final low in July. 

 

 

 

I found the three most similar cycles and displayed them in the chart above with a composite line in pink. While this is a small sample size, it serves as a decent reference point.

 

Reference:

Namzes (January 8, 2026) - 2026 Gold Forecast.

Gold Midterm Year Seasonal Pattern (1975-2024).

See also:

Namzes (January 11, 2025) - 2025 Gold Forecast. 

Namzes (December 31, 2025) - 2026 US Stock Market Forecast: 25% Bear Market and Recovery.

Jeffrey A. Hirsch (December 29, 2025) - 2026 Midterm Election Year Seasonal Patterns. 

After Maduro, Might Makes Right | Alexander Dugin

What does the kidnapping of the president of a sovereign country mean? Like in the era of barbarian kingdoms, Maduro was brought in and paraded through the streets of New York like a captive enemy for the amusement of the crowd. Many note that this is reminiscent of Rome in its twilight years.

 » "Reshuffling of the deck" and global conflict. The world will never be the same again. «

 

[...] And what does all this mean? [...] International law no longer exists. Appealing to the UN, asking the West to pay attention to violations of certain principles, agreements, or provisions that contradict the letter and spirit of the law — all of this is now completely futile. 

 

[...] The idea that there are certain norms and rules that can be negotiated should be left in the past once and for all. There is no international law. There is only the law of force. In a sense, it has always been this way — this is nothing new. It’s just that, at certain times, after each "reshuffling of the deck" and global conflict, when spheres of influence are redistributed, the great powers assert their right to sovereignty.  

 

» International law is always a balance of power between the victors. « 

This was the case in the First and Second World Wars. When fascist Europe became a separate entity in world politics, it demanded that the world submit to it. The world rebelled, and that power is no more. But any international law is always a balance of power between the victors. That’s the point. For more than a century, nation-states have not been sovereign actors establishing world order; world relations are shaped by ideological blocs.

[...] Trump said nothing conceptually new, but he de facto scrapped the Yalta peace, the bipolar system, the UN, and even the very idea of globalization hitherto. His position is simple: "My interests are the interests of the world hegemon. Obey me." 

 

 » In the end, these infamous and lost thieves, like wretched fruit hanging from this tree... « 

The Miseries and Misfortunes of War by Jacques Callot, 1633.

 

In fact, humanity is now in a state of fundamental humiliation. Trump simply called a spade a spade. Globalists used to soften this humiliation by pretending to listen to your opinion and allowing you to participate in the process. Now that multilateralism is over, only the right of force remains, and this is an irreversible process. The world will never be the same again.

We are in the midst of a protracted, long-running Third World War, where international law simply does not exist. It will exist sometime in the future, based on the outcome of this conflict. [...] Trump is casting an arrogant challenge: "If you are winners, then win. Like me, for example. Where is your Zelensky?" 

 

 » If you are winners, then win. Where is your Zelensky? «

 

From this point of view, only when you parade Zelensky, the terrorist Malyuk, the terrorist Budanov, or Zaluzhny through Moscow in a cage, and the crowd of "Russian Romans," the inhabitants of the Third Rome, shout "shame, murderers" at them, only then will they talk to you. Perhaps on some holiday: Labor Day or Friendship of Peoples Day. Only then will we be accepted into the club of great powers. But for now, no. We are trying to convince Trump with documents that hundreds of Ukrainian drones wanted to destroy the Russian president, and the response we get is something like, "I don’t believe it. First, you set it up yourselves; second, it’s a pity it didn’t work out; and third, I know that we sent them so that your life wouldn’t be too sweet."

[...] We must defend ourselves in the war with the West, because that is where the initiative to revoke our right to sovereign policy comes from. It is time to abandon illusions about "Western partners" or "shared values." Trump is right to drop the mask of hypocrisy and nonsense about human rights: for him, America comes first. We are in a shootout: shoot or you will be killed. Trump did not even start World War III — he simply confirmed its existence.

» In this game without rules, Russia must win by any means necessary. «

 

[...] Only war decides everything — that’s the issue. And here the question of resources arises. Apparently, we are much better off with them than we thought: over four years of war, the people have demonstrated an incredible will for sovereignty. But now, in Ukraine, the question is not about the use of sovereignty, but about its acquisition. So far, it is not enough. Sovereignty is when you draw red lines and punish those who cross them. And when we demonstrate the Burevestnik, Poseidon, or Oreshnik, but nothing happens, it ceases to count in this world of shows and short cycles.

We have put everything at stake — the existence of Russia and our people — to prove our sovereignty. [...] In this game without rules, Russia must win by any means necessary. There are no taboo topics: we can abolish the Constitution, declare a state of emergency, do away with all conventions, and do whatever is necessary to survive. If we observe propriety and lose, it will not count in our favor. But if we succeed, no matter what, the victors will not be judged. Only the defeated are judged: if we slip up, they will hold a new Nuremberg trial over us.

» Tremble, nations, and submit, for God is with us. «  

 

This is the seriousness of 2026: it is a year of war and extraordinary measures. Peaceful life is being completely erased, like a wet rag wiping outdated formulas off a blackboard. Everything we counted on no longer works. We are in a cowboy saloon where a shootout is taking place without rules or regulations.

 

 [...] Now, thanks to Trump and his new doctrines, the situation has changed. Trump says, "I will conquer you all, I will shoot without warning." And look what he’s doing: he really is shooting. [...] We must act just like the strongest players — the West or Trump. Do as Trump does, but with completely different content, goals, and objectives. 

 

» There is no other way out. «

 

Methodologically, there is no other way out. China has achieved its goals through economics, but in a military confrontation, the question remains open: the Chinese are not the most warlike people, and there is a huge pro-Western elite there. We have not been able to compete economically, but our strengths are warrior bravery, courage, and faith. God is on our side: "Tremble, nations, and submit, for God is with us."

Quoted from:
Alexander Dugin (January 7, 2026) - After Maduro, Might Makes Right: Trump Sets the New Terms of Sovereignty.

 

 » The era of redrawing maps of influence. EU is "carefully monitoring." «

Went from scramble for Africa to scramble for Europe and Latin America real quick.

 

Neolib Zionist supremacist Jake Tapper (CNN host) and neocon Zionist supremacist Stephen Miller (Trump's

Deputy Chief of Staff for Policy), fighting over how to execute the takeover of Venezuela, January 5, 2026.