SPX vs Delta - VIX - Tides - Astro-Indicators - EW

Roadmap:

2012-06-26 (Tue) = High
2012-06-27 (Wed) = Low
2012-07-03 (Tue) = High
2012-07-04 (Wed) = Low
2012-07-30 (Mon) = High
2012-08-08 (Wed) = Low
2012-08-29 (Wed) = High

The Option Strategist Weekly Updater 6/22/12  
http://www.optionstrategist.com/blog/2012/06/weekly-commentary-6222012  
The stock market had just about everything going for it in technical terms this week, but then the fundamentalists delivered a nasty blow today (Thursday, June 21st). Technically $SPX is just below the support level of 1330-1340.
Equity-only put-call ratios remain on buy signals, despite Thursday's large decline.
Market breadth was very poor on Thursday. As a result, both breadth oscillators registered sell signals.
Volatility indices ($VIX and $VXO) were the last indicators to turn positive earlier this week. That occurred when $VIX fell below 21 on Monday and then proceeded to drop to 17 by mid-week. As we have been saying for some time, $VIX above 21 is bearish for stocks, while $VIX below 21 is bullish.
In summary, the technical indicators remain bullish, except for breadth. We are going to give the upside the benefit of the doubt. But if $SPX should decline further, or if $VIX should close above 21, or if the put-call ratios should roll over, then we would have to relinquish our currently bullish stance. 

Tony Caldaro's Weekend Ppdate (June 23, 2012) 

http://caldaro.wordpress.com/2012/06/23/weekend-update-350/

The recent rally from SPX 1267 to 1363 started off impulsively as it was unfolding. We were expecting the rally to reach either the 1363 or 1372 pivots in a five wave sequence ahead of the FOMC meeting. The pattern, unfortunately, looked like three waves on tuesday as the FOMC began. After tuesday’s high, and wednesday’s volatility, the market sold off on thursday to SPX 1324. This selloff overlapped the first rally from SPX 1267 to 1329/36. This made the entire June rally look corrective. As a result we have labeled the SPX 1267 low as a wave A, and the recent rally as a wave B. The most probable scenario suggests a wave C is underway to either retest the June lows or make a lower low in early July.

Elliott Wave Update ~ 22 June 2012 

http://danericselliottwaves.blogspot.de/2012/06/elliott-wave-update-22-june-2012.htmlIt would be ideal for the wave structure if Monday made a quick lower low beneath Thursday's low prior to any retrace into 1346 - the bottom of wave i. This would complete a small 5 wave pattern down from the recent rally high peak of 1363.46.

SPX vs 354 CD Cycle = June 22-25 High

The S&P 500 is in line with the 354 CD Cycle, and a major HIGH is due around June 22-25. 

Also looking back one and four lunar months, especially on the last STD Green Week (see here: May 21-25, 2012), a choppy sideways-action is expected for this STD Wednesday and Thursday.

www.danericselliottwaves.blogspot.com

STD Green Week (June 18-22)

Last week was a perfect Short Term Delta Red Week in an up bias.

This week is a STD Green Week, because Monday, June 18th will be a STD Green Day (see HERE).  

STD Green Days 66% of the time look like N's (or inverted N's). Look for a top around 11:00 and a down move into 13:00. So one might sell/buy a confirmed intraday top/low around 11:00 - 11:30. Not sure if afternoon green 15:00 CITs are as or more a reliable buy/sell but watch out to be out before 15:00 for the closing up- or down-leg of the "N".

Green Weeks are usually almost the same as Red Weeks = directional. However, Green Weeks often have CITs on early Tuesdays and on Thursdays. If Tuesday is biased up, then the odds increase for Wednesday and Thursday to be up as well. Tuesday to Thursday usually will reverse Monday's net move. 

New Moons oftentimes mark CITs, and Tuesday, June 19th, could be either the High or the Low of next week. The same day will be marked by the Moon's declination reaching max north, and a Berg Astro-Indicator CIT.
 
And last not least, a Green Friday should look like the Green Monday.
 

SPX vs SUN 120° SATURN = June 13 HIGH ?

Calculated with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution

Delta-Pattern on Track

Also see HERE + HERE.

www.astrocycle.net

STD Red Week (June 11-15)

A normal Red Week will have Monday down into the close +/- and the rest of the week up with the red Friday either being up or being a normal H to L.  
 
Red Weeks are 65% chance of Tue-Fri running opposite of Monday's close. If Monday closes up then there's a 65% chance Tuesday - Friday will be down. 35% chance that the week will continue the direction set by Monday.

The chart below shows back increments of 4 weeks from today (= red Monday - see also HERE and HERE) highlighting recent red week-price patterns. 
 

Delta Update

www.time-price-research-astrofin.blogspot.com

Tidal CITs @ Willets Point [NYC] 
2012-04-18-19 (Wed-Thu)
2012-04-27-29 (Fri-Sun)
2012-05-07 (Mon)
2012-05-13-14 (Sun-Mon)
2012-05-18 (Fri)
2012-05-21-22 (Mon-Tue)
2012-05-24-25 (Thu-Fri)
2012-05-29 (Tue)
2012-06-05 (Tue)
2012-06-13-14 (Wed-Thu)
2012-06-16 (Sat)
2012-06-23-26 (Sat-Tue)
2012-06-28-29 (Thu-Fri)
2012-07-04 (Wed)
2012-07-12-13 (Thu-Fri)
2012-07-22-23 (Sun-Mon)
2012-07-28 (Sat)
2012-08-02 (Thu)
 
www.time-price-research-astrofin.blogspot.com

Intermediate-Term Delta-Count (ITD):
2012-04-02 (Mon) = ITD #(9) = HIGH = MTD #10 = LTD #7 = SLTD #3 ?
2012-04-23 (Mon) = ITD #(11) = LOW = MTD #11 = LTD #8
2012-05-01 (Tue) = ITD #(11 x) = HIGH = MTD #12 ?
2012-05-04 (Fri) = ITD #(11 y) = LOW
2012-05-07 (Mon) = ITD #1 HIGH = MTD #12 ?
2012-05-18 (Fri) = ITD #(1) = LOW
2012-05-29 (Tue) = ITD #2 HIGH
2012-06-04 (Mon) = ITD #3 LOW = MTD #1 ? = LTD#8 ? = SLTD #4 ?
2012-06-11 (Mon) = ITD #4 HIGH [+/- 2 TD]
2012-06-18 (Mon) = ITD #5 LOW [+/- 2 TD] = MTD #1 ? = LTD#8 ? = SLTD #4 ?
2012-06-29 (Tue) = ITD #6 HIGH [+/- 2 TD] = MTD #2 ?
2012-07-09 (Mon) = ITD #7 LOW [+/- 2 TD]
2012-07-23 (Mon) = ITD #8 HIGH [+/- 2 TD] = MTD #2 ? = SLTD #3 ?
2012-08-01 (Wed) = ITD #9 LOW [+/- 2 TD]
2012-08-06 (Mon) = ITD #10 HIGH [+/- 2 TD] = MTD #2 ? = SLTD #3 ?

Astro-Events, Tides & Delta combined: 
2012-06-10 (Sun) = AI 9
2012-06-10 06:55 (Sun) = MAR 0 SAT [helio]
2012-06-10 21:49 (Sun) = MER 180 NEP [helio]
2012-06-11 05:41 (Mon) = Third Lunar Quarter
2012-06-11 (Mon) = ITD #4 HIGH ?
2012-06-12 (Tue) = Bradley CIT [geo & helio]
2012-06-12 (Tue) = CIT of (Decl MER+MAR-VEN) = MWW-CIT
2012-06-13 (Wed) = Tidal CIT
2012-06-13 (Wed) = AI 0
2012-06-13 07:03 (Wed) = SUN 120 SAT = Level 2
2012-06-15 20:43 (Fri) = Moon @ Apogee
2012-06-16 (Sat) = Tidal CIT
2012-06-16 21:05 (Sat) = MER @ 178 [helio] = MWW-CIT
2012-06-17 00:00 (Sun) = SUN 180 Galactic Center
2012-06-18 18:20 (Mon) = MER 180 URA [helio]
2012-06-18 (Mon) = ITD #5 LOW [+/- 2 TD] = MTD #1 ? = LTD#8 ? = SLTD #4 ?
2012-06-19 10:02 (Tue) = New Moon
2012-06-20 18:08 (Wed) = Summer Solstice
2012-06-20 05:18 (Wed) = VEN 0 PLU [helio]

NOTE: Robert Hitt suggests the low of next week as early as late Wednesday "at a level that would generate fear but NOT a low below June 4th" [ www.astroecon.com ]. This would then become ITD #5 LOW and determine June 4th as ITD #3 LOW = MTD #1 + LTD#8 + SLTD # (see above chart). 

www.marketanthropology.com

www.ChartLinesTrading.com

www.alphee.com 

 

www.mrci.com

www.ccstrade.com 

 

See also HERE.

 

354 CD Cycle vs SPX - RUA - VLIC

 

STD Blue Week (June 4-8)

June 17th = SUN 180° Galactic Center = LOW ?

Delta: Full Moon LOW - June 11 HIGH - June 18 LOW ?

The Inversion-Zone between ITD #11 and #2 ended with a ITD #2 High and the Full Moon #3 LOW on June 4. Now a rally into June 8-11 followed by another decline into June 18 is likely.

SLTD-Projection & 1972 - 2012 Analogy (40 Year Cycle)

Red MTD # 11 LOW + Blue ITD #2 LOW = 2012-05-18 (Fri)
Red MTD # 12 HIGH + Blue ITD #3 HIGH = 2012-06-01-04 (Fri-Mon)
Magenta SLTD # 4 LOW + Black LTD #8 LOW + Red MTD #1 LOW + Blue ITD #4 LOW = 2012-06-08 (Fri)
Light Blue SSLTD #16 HIGH ? + Magenta SLTD # 5 HIGH + Black LTD #9 HIGH + Red MTD #2 HIGH + Blue ITD #1 HIGH = 2012-08-29 (Wed)
Magenta SLTD # 6 LOW = 2013-02-27 (Wed)
Light Blue SSLTD #16 HIGH ? + Magenta SLTD # 7 HIGH = 2013-06-03 (Wed)

Time + Price = June 4th HIGH in SPX ?

S&P 500 - NYMO + % Stocks above 50MA

http://solarcycles.net/2012/05/24/update-5/

John Hampson's Update: Percentage of stocks above the 50MA shows how extreme oversold we just reached, but again from that kind of level we have previously seen v-bounces or more extended basing, lasting from a couple of weeks to a couple of months.

Source: IndexIndicators

But hopefully the message is clear: from such extreme readings in Nymo, % stocks above 50MA and CBI (which hit 11 on Friday), the nominal bottom was close.

My models show downward pressure into the end of next week. What happens the last couple of days of this week I therefore consider to be key. If stocks can rally further away from their lows then I would expect Euro and oil to reverse and join them and for a v-bounce low to be happening, with some consolidation only into the end of next week. If pro-risk alternatively falls and takes out last week's lows then I will be looking to attack on the buy side again once we see the Nymo divergence and that would most likely after the end of next week once positive pressure emerges.

STD Green Week (May 21-25)

2012-Feb-27 (Mon) = Green = 10.30H, 11.15L, 12.20H, 2.00L, 3.40H or Inverse
2012-Feb-28 (Tue) = Red = (9:55-10:10H), 79% 10:20L, 11:40H, 68%/32% Inversion, 13:00L, 14:00H, 15:10L
2012-Feb-29 (Wed) = Blue = (9.40H), 10.00-30 Low, 12.40H, 1.40L, 3.00-30H
2012-Mar-01 (Thu) = Orange = (9.40L), 10.00H, 11.00L, 12.30H, 2.30L, 3.20-50H
2012-Mar-02 (Fri) = Green = 10.30H, 11.15L, 12.20H, 2.00L, 3.40H 

Yesterday was a SU day closing near the day's high.

Tuesday’s bias is an Inversion day with 79% chance for a 9:55 - 10:10 LOW and a 11:40 HIGH +/-30. There will be another Inversion with 68% chance for a last hour LOW and 32% chance for a last hour HIGH. The 15:10 CIT should be a LOW = (9:55-10:10H), 79% 10:20L, 11:40H, 68%/32% Inversion, 13:00L, 14:00H, 15:10L

[ We are currently in a ITD-inversion window ]

http://time-price-research-astrofin.blogspot.de/2012/05/delta-tides-may-1st-to-august-1st-2012.html

2012-05-18 (Fri) = Tidal CIT
2012-05-18 (Fri) = AI 0
2012-05-19 02:22 (Sat) = MER 180 MAR [helio]
2012-05-19 11:35 (Sat) = Moon @ Apogee
2012-05-20 18:47 (Sun) = New Moon = Solar Eclipse
2012-05-20 21:08 (Sun) = MER 180 SAT [helio]
2012-05-21-22 (Mon-Tue) = Tidal CIT
2012-05-21 (Mon) = ITD #(1-x) HIGH [+/- 2 TD] = MTD #12 ?
2012-05-23 10:14 (Wed) = VEN 180 JUP [helio]
2012-05-24-25 (Thu-Fri) = Tidal CIT
2012-05-25 (Fri) = ITD #2 LOW [+/- 2 TD]
2012-05-25 (Fri) = AI 0
2012-05-25 11:31 (Fri) = MER 0 JUP [helio]
2012-05-26 03:47 (Sat) = MER 180 VEN [helio]
2012-05-27 11:08 (Sun) = MER 180 EAR [helio]
2012-05-27 16:19 (Sun) = SUN 0 MER
2012-05-28 (Mon) = Bradley CIT [geo & helio]
2012-05-28 15:16 (Mon) = First Quarter
2012-05-29 (Tue) = Tidal CIT
2012-05-30 10:24 (Wed) = VEN 120 URA [helio] = MWW-CIT
2012-05-30 20:40 (Wed) = MER @ 88 [helio] = MWW-CIT
2012-06-01 (Fri) = ITD #3 HIGH [+/- 2 TD] = MTD #12 ?

May 22 = ITD & MTD LOW ?

http://astrocycle.net/index.php?URL=AC_May18lp.php&A=1

http://www.cyclelt.com/INT.htm

http://time-price-research-astrofin.blogspot.de/2012/05/alphee-lavoie-nn-forecast-for-dji.html
http://time-price-research-astrofin.blogspot.de/2012/05/delta-tides-may-1st-to-august-1st-2012.html 

http://chartsedge.com/

The Moon cycles turned Bearish again for a possible Eclipse Panic Low near the 21st

---

The dual Moon cycles shown as white and yellow lines on the charts are gradually going back in phase for the Summer and this makes trading the Moons more reliable as Price is more likely to follow the lines in the periods when they are both going down or up together. We can see this with the early April and early May declines matching the period when both lines were going down together, but the Eclipse of May 20th is causing a Panic low like the November 25th eclipse suggesting a large rebound into the Moon in Leo of the 25th as seen in the charts below and a sharp rebound back to 1340-50 is quite possible this week.

STD Red Week | May 14-18

Delta - Tides - Astro-Events

2012-05-11 (Fri) = ITD #(1) = LOW [+/- 2 TD]

2012-05-13-14 (Sun-Mon) = Tidal CIT

2012-05-13 08:27 (Sun) = SUN 0 JUP = Level 2
2012-05-13 13:33 (Sun) = JUP 180 EAR [helio]
2012-05-15 03:51 (Tue) = MER @ 358 [helio] = MWW-CIT
2012-05-15 09:27 (Tue) = VEN (R) = Level 1
2012-05-16 10:55 (Wed) = MAR 120 PLU = Level 2
2012-05-16 15:15 (Wed) = MER 0 URA [helio]
2012-05-18 (Fri) = Tidal CIT

2012-05-21 (Mon) = ITD #(1-x) = HIGH [+/- 2 TD] = MTD #12 ?

See also HERE

Eris | The 10th Planet

Eris (formerly known as UB 313 or Xena, dubbed the 10th planet in the media) has first been first spotted in 2003. In 2005 astronomers have discovered that Eris is actually larger in size than Pluto. Eris has very similar astrological qualities than Jupiter. That means Eris is not a planet of discord, but a planet of good fortune and success. In fact, Eris is the next best thing in astrology after Jupiter. Eris is even better than Venus. One reason for this is that Eris moves much slower than Venus. Therefore the beneficial influence of Eris is much longer lasting than the beneficial influence of Venus. Venus is combination with Jupiter creates highs on hourly charts. Eris in combination with Jupiter creates highs on daily and weekly financial charts. See also:

Markus Rose: The 10th Planet "ERIS"
Eris Ephemeris from 1900 to 2030 (Eris' position is currently @ 21Ar44'42" = 21.25°)

SE_Aspectarian - Astrological Aspectarian (freeware) to calculate aspects of Eris to other planets e.g.

Venus 000° 21.250       02/26/2012 14:43

Sun 000° 21.250           04/10/2012 17:43

Mercury 000° 21.250    05/03/2012 21:29

Mars 180° 21.250         08/09/2012 15:55

Mercury 180° 21.250    09/29/2012 17:08

Sun 180° 21.250           10/14/2012 04:50

Venus 180° 21.250       11/14/2012 22:59

STD Blue Week (May 7-11)