Showing posts with label Metonic Cycle. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Metonic Cycle. Show all posts

Thursday, April 9, 2026

Bradley Cowan’s Lunar Cycle Projection Methodology Applied to the S&P 500

One of Bradley F. Cowan's methodologies for identifying cycles in financial markets and projecting future turning points employs synodic lunar periods (the time it takes the Moon to align with the Sun relative to the Earth). 

Major low in the S&P 500 (SPY/ES) on Monday, March 30 at 20:20 EDT (Hurst 20-week cycle low),
followed by one synodic lunar cycle projection (red arrow) extending to Wednesday, April 29 09:04. 
 
While the synodic lunar month averages 29.53058886 days (≈ 29 days, 12 hours, 44 minutes, and 2.88 seconds), orbital eccentricity causes individual periods to vary from 29.26 to 29.80 days, a difference of up to 12 hours and 57 minutes. 
 
Synodic Lunar Periods for New York City in 2026 (EST/EDT). 
 
Cowan's technique anchors the start date and time of the synodic lunar cycle to a confirmed major market top or bottom, e.g. to the major low on Monday, March 30, 2026 at 20:20 EDT. Subsequent cycle projections are then generated at exact 360-degree intervals forward from that anchor to April 29 (Wed) 09:04, May 28 (Thu) 21:48, June 27 (Sat) 10:32, July 26 (Sun) 23:16, etc.
 
Anchored to the S&P's major low on Monday, March 30 at 20:20 EDT, the 1st, 2nd, 4th, and 8th harmonics
of one synodic lunar cycle generate the blue summation or composite projection line to April 29 (Wed) 09:04.
 
Anchored to the S&P's major low on Monday, March 30 at 20:20 EDT, the 1st, 2nd, 4th, and 8th harmonics of the
8.4-week cycle (2-lunar month or 59-day cycle) generate the blue composite projection line for April and May.
 
Anchored to the S&P's major low on Monday, March 30 at 20:20 EDT, the 1st, 2nd, 4th, and 8th harmonics of the
 17-week cycle (= Intermediate Term Delta cycle = 4-lunar month or 118-day cycle = one third of the lunar year)
generate the blue composite projection line to July 26 (Sun) 23:16The June 18 high should
be lower than the May 8 high, and the July 26 low should be lower than the March 30 low.
 
Bradley Cowan's synodic lunar cycle projections in stocks.
 
In his books "Four Dimensional Stock Market Structures and Cycles" (1993) and "Pentagonal Time Cycle Theory" (2009), Cowan further elaborates on this "anchored" lunar and planetary cycle projection methodology. However, unlike the highs and lows shown in the blue composite projection lines in the charts above, Cowan's methodology utilizes 45-degree synodic lunar cycle offsets (= 8th harmonic ≈ 3.6913 calendar days or 3 days, 16 hours, 35 minutes, and 28.3 seconds = April 03 (Fri) 12:55, April 07 (Tue) 05:31, April 10 (Fri) 22:06, etc.) to project potential turning points only rather than specific highs and lows, higher highs and higher lows, and lower highs and lower lows. 
 
Sidereal lunar cycle projections.
 
In 2021, a certain Mario of "4X Other Way" presented anchored projections of future turning points using the 27.321661-day sidereal lunar period (≈ 27 days, 7 hours, 43 minutes, and 11.5 seconds; the time it takes the Moon to orbit the Earth relative to the distant 'fixed' stellar background; to fixed stars such as Aldebaran, Altair, Deneb, Rigel, or Sirius). Now, should the lunar cycle be synodic or sidereal? Both cannot be simultaneously correct or exact—at best, only one of them works.
 
» Usually there will be an eclipse near the same degree of the zodiac once every 19 years [...] In this cycle the Sun makes a complete circuit of the sky and reaches the same Node at the same place on the ecliptic. This length of time is 6,585.32 solar days, which is 48 years and 11.33 days. The shortest time required for the Sun to travel from and return to the same node is 346.6 solar days, an interval known as an Eclipse Year. [...]  Nineteen of the eclipse years contain 6,585.4 days, which is precisely 223 synodic months. This is when the Nodes themselves become important in the predictions on the stock market. «

Tom McClellan observes that the 2026 price structure closely mirrors 2025, with the tightest alignment achieved by shifting the data 343 days to synchronize even minor fluctuations. This offset approximates the above mentioned Eclipse Year (346.62 days)—the interval required for the Sun to return to the same lunar node (the intersection of the Moon's orbit with the ecliptic). Because this draconic cycle is shorter than the solar year, it governs eclipse seasons, which recur about every 173 days and drift earlier each calendar year. The cycle is driven by the westward precession of the Moon’s orbital nodes, completing a full rotation roughly every 18.6 years and thereby defining the 346.62-day periodicity. However, intermediate- and longer-term analogs are generally unstable and break down at some point. If Tom McClellan’s "Stock Market Matching the Year Ago" analog continues to hold, it implies a sustained bullish trend into the summer of 2026. This conflicts not only with intermediate-term cycles but with typical seasonal weakness from May to October—especially in a presidential cycle’s second year. 
See also:

Saturday, March 3, 2018

S&P 500 Index vs Astronomical Momentum Forecast Model | March 2018


This Astronomical Momentum Forecast Model (AMFM) was inspired by the work of L.H. Weston, W.D. Gann and Chris Carolan. More than 120 years of US-stock market and detrended momentum data derived from a Williams %R oscillator were used, assuming this would reflect the overall sentiment and mass mood during the period. One fundamental concept of mundane astrology considers sentiment and mass mood to be conditioned and modulated by a complex set of nested, overlapping and repeating astronomical cycles, most important solunar cycles. These cycles are ranging from several decades to days and even minutes (Callipic Cycle, Metonic Cycle, Mythraic Cycle, Solar Cycles, Lunar Cycles, Planetary Hours, Muhūrta, etc.). They can be calculated into the past and future and hence be put into practical use. Considering the general nature, pros and cons of market momentum indicators, the AMFM is able to project market sentiment several decades into the future (see also HERE). Of course work on this model is experimental, not perfect and in progress. However, the current model presented here indicated a momentum peak in October 2017, a negative divergence at the January 27 major high, and suggests a decline from there into a major low around mid-March, followed by a rally into early May, a retest of the March-low by mid-June, another rally into early October, and a decline into end of December.

Thursday, March 2, 2017

Monday, January 9, 2017

SPX vs 4.5 Degree Steps of Lunar Node to Lunar Apogee | 80th Harmonic

Upcoming aspects in this 18 Year Cycle:
Feb 04 (Sat) = 85.5 degrees, Mar 14 (Tue) =  90 degrees, Apr 13 (Thu), May 07 (Sun), May 26 (Fri),
Jun 19 (Mon), Jul 16 (Sun), Aug 22 (Tue), Sep 25 (Mon), Oct 21 (Sat), Nov 12 (Sun), Dec 02 (Sat),
Dec 26 (Tue), 2018 Jan 29 (Mon) = 144 degrees. See also HERE

Sunday, January 8, 2017

SPX vs 15 Degree Steps of Lunar Node to Lunar Apogee | 24th Harmonic

Upcoming aspects in this 18 Year Cycle:
Jan 12 (Thu) = 165 degrees, Mar 14 (Tue) = 180 degrees, Apr 28 (Fri), Jun 04 (Sun), Jul 16 (Sun),
Sep 17 (Sun), Oct 28 (Sat), Dec 02 (Sat), Jan 15, 2018 (Mon).
David McMinn (2016): 9/56 Year Cycle: Lunar North Node - Apogee Angles [5 p.]