Showing posts with label Long Range Weather Forecasting. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Long Range Weather Forecasting. Show all posts
Sunday, February 26, 2017
Droughts and Floods vs Jupiter-Saturn Cycle and Lunar Declination Cycle
Kevin Long (Jul 7, 2011) - Planetary and lunar cycles play an important part in shaping the climate, and also Australia’s flood and drought cycles are influenced by these forces. The Central Victorian rainfall records reveal that the 18.6 year lunar declination cycle and the 19.86 year synodic cycle of Jupiter-Saturn can each enhance or diminish average rainfall over prolonged periods resulting in extreme flood and extreme drought cycles. When these two cycles are closely in-phase with each other and are supported by the El Nino or the La Nina cycle, extreme droughts and extreme floods are likely to occur. This was the case during the early months of 2011 and enhanced by a very strong La Nina cycle during the preceding 9 months. Another major drought period is scheduled to occur around the middle of this lunar cycle (2020).
The above graph shows the long-term rainfall record for Bendigo in Central Victoria, Australia. The Central Victorian climate is particularly sensitive to any changes in average air movements (air tides). This is due to the generally flat terrain of the area, which means the effects of the cosmic cycles are more prominent than in most other places in the world. This can be seen to occur with about 80% reliability during the last 66 years. The dominating effects are most obvious when a four-year rolling average line is used (thick line). The spacing of the recent droughts to flood periods appears to closely follow the “9.3 year rule” (i.e. half of the 18.6 year moon cycle). Peaks and troughs relative to the Bendigo’s long-term average of 544 mm are:
1944 Severe drought (284 mm)
1954-56 Typical three years of major floods (average 737 mm)
1967 Severe drought (278 mm)
1973-75 Wettest ever three year flood period (average 861 mm).
1982 Driest year on record (206mm)
1992-93 Two years of flood period (averaging 729 mm per year
2002 After 9 years of declining average rainfall, 2002 delivered only 271mm
2010 Eleven consecutive months of above-average rainfall set a new Bendigo record of 1061 mm.
Labels:
Astrometeorology,
Astronomy,
Climatology,
Declination,
Jupiter - Saturn Cycle,
Kevin Long,
Long Range Weather Forecasting,
Lunar Node Cycle,
Solar Cycle
Wednesday, August 17, 2016
Inigo Owen Jones | The Weather Prophet
Inigo Owen Jones | See also HERE & HERE |
The Australian long-range weather forecaster Inigo Owen Jones
(1872-1954) is well written into 20th century folklore in the
Australian bush. His forecasts, issued from 1925 to his death, were
highly regarded by many Australian farmers, the general public and some
of the media. His theory is based on the idea that the solar system is a
vast electromagnetic body that is controlled by the magnetic fields of
the planets. Jupiter
is 1300 times larger than the Earth and has 12 moons, and the rotation of the
vast orb takes ten times longer than Earth. This all combines to create a
magnetic field much greater than that of the Earth. Inigo Jones
discovered that when the major planets, e.g. Jupiter, moved towards the
point of celestial longitude known as eighteen hours of right ascension,
which points to the fixed star Vega, it caused sunspot minima. He also
found that on each such occasion there was a more or less severe drought
in eastern Australia. The working hypothesis from his observations is
that the seasons are controlled by the magnetic fields of the four major
planets and the Moon. There are longer droughts when there are more planets pointing towards Vega and floods when they are 180 degrees from Vega.
Droughts cancel out floods if the planets are opposite each other at
these points. Sunspot cycles are on average the same length as the cycle
of Jupiter. Around the globe it is possible to show that greater sunspot activity causes more precipitation. Put
simply, Inigo Jones believed
that cyclical variations in the activity of the Sun - visible as
sunspots - controlled the Earth’s climate, and that these
variations were themselves largely determined by the orbits of Moon,
Jupiter,
Saturn, Uranus and Neptune. He
considered five planetary-solar cycles of 35 years, 36 years, 59 years,
71 years and 84 years, and on looking back at the Australian Growing
Season rainfall of 35, 36, 59, 71 and 84 years previously, he gained an
appreciation of the expected rainfall for the forecast season or year in
question.
Australian Rainfall Cycles |
If
one wants to know what the weather would be like on 1 January next
year, one would calculate the positions of the planets on that day and
then look back through the record of weather observations to a time when
the planetary positions were the same. If the locations of the planets
matched, then so would the weather – more or less. Or perhaps less than
more, for what seemed to set Jones apart from other weather prophets
were the levels of complexity he added to this basic cyclical system. It
is worth noting that to make predictions with this system one needs a
very, very long, unbroken series of weather observations. Jones was fond
of quoting the opinion of Queensland University’s professor of
mathematics that a full test of his theory could not be made without 300
years of data.
Inigo Owen Jones (1938): Why I build the Crohamhurst Observatory (HERE) |
Labels:
Electric Universe Theory,
Inigo Owen Jones,
Long Range Weather Forecasting,
OT,
Sunspot Cycle,
Vega
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