US War Against the World, and the Future International Order | Jiang Xueqin

The US war on Iran has entered a temporary pause, with no major events reported in the days following the Islamabad negotiations. This lull suggests the 'ceasefire' functions as a strategic reset rather than a resolution. 

"O Owner of Time, the time is at hand." 

 

Ceasefire Functions as Strategic Reset and Preparation for Prolonged Global War of Attrition

The US, having been placed on the defensive during the active phase, is using the cease fire to reposition forces, reassess tactics, and prepare for the next phase of operations. Behind-the-scenes movements include the Indonesian Defense Minister's visit to Washington, and the signing of an agreement granting US access to Indonesian airspace. This cooperation advances US influence over the Strait of Malacca, the world's largest maritime chokepoint and the route for roughly 80 percent of China's oil imports. 

» Do you think Scott Bessent wants oil prices to fall? To crash? Maybe down to $20 a barrel? Do you think the energy giants would be happy with that? No, they would be furious because the cost of production in the US is around $30 a barrel. Do you think Bessent hasn’t thought about this? Of course, he has. He likely predicts, just as I do, that oil prices could rise to $150 a barrel. That’s why I said Bessent shouldn’t have made these statements public—they act as a warning signal about a potential US military operation. It suggests that the US might be preparing to take action against Iran and, in doing so, potentially shut down the entire Persian Gulf. « Lu QiYuan, 2024.

Such control would counter Iranian dominance in the Strait of Hormuz and could disrupt East Asian economies if access were restricted. Further reinforcement comes from the deployment of the aircraft carrier George H.W. Bush, accompanied by approximately 10,000 Marines, raising total US troop strength in the theater to 60,000 and signaling readiness for potential ground operations. Domestically, President Trump has requested a $1.5 trillion Pentagon budget for the coming fiscal year, automatic draft registration for young men begins in December, and major US automakers have been directed to initiate war-munitions production. 

»  A worldwide naval confrontation centered on energy and trade access. «

 

These steps indicate preparation for a prolonged war of attrition. Complementing this posture, the announced naval blockade focuses on the Indian Ocean, avoiding direct exposure to Iranian missiles near the Strait of Hormuz while effectively enforcing a global embargo on vessels deemed to support Iran, including Russian 'shadow-fleet tankers' and Chinese shipping. The conflict is thereby expanding into a worldwide naval confrontation centered on energy and trade access.

Three Competing Models for the Future International Order

The unfolding events point toward three distinct and competing models for the future international order: (1) The Technate: Focused on North America; (2) Pax Judaica: Focused on the Levant and Israel; and (3) The Third Rome: Alexander Dugin's model, where Moscow unites the Eurasian continent to create a new era of world peace.

» The US will treat the Western Hemisphere as its own territory. «

The trajectory suggests the end of the current era of relative global stability. A sustained global conflict would compel US re-industrialization to support overseas operations, positioning the US as the central supplier of resources and manufactured goods while other regions confront disruption and scarcity. Trump's long-standing mercantilist stance—evident since the 1980s in calls to seize Iranian assets—underpins this shift from a finance-oriented economy to one rooted in resources and production. Observers note that over 127 vessels are now rerouting toward the Gulf of Mexico, consistent with a deliberate strategy to redirect trade flows. President Trump has consistently advocated monetizing US naval power by imposing tariffs on maritime trade instead of providing unrestricted protection.

Russia is positioned within the expanding naval confrontation through its shadow-fleet tankers, which fall under the scope of the US global blockade. The broader context of energy-access competition places additional pressure on European and Eurasian supply lines, though specific Russian responses remain tied to the ongoing US commitments in the Iran theater.

The Technate of America

The broader US strategy aligns with the Technate of America concept, a 1930s proposal for transforming the US into a self-sufficient continental fortress governed by technocratic principles. This model envisioned a unified territory incorporating Canada, Mexico, Greenland, Colombia, and Venezuela, managed through data-driven decision-making by engineers and scientists rather than traditional democratic or financial systems. 

 

1940 Technate of America Map: From the Arctic to the Amazon — Nazi-scale Lebensraum,
master-race ideology, and still active on the US empire's agenda today. Next stop: Cuba.

  

Recent US actions reflect elements of this vision. Venezuela has been positioned as a primary US proxy in South America, with the Trump administration's National Security Strategy treating the entire Western Hemisphere as US territory—a modern corollary to the Monroe Doctrine. 

» There's an additional strategy: The US could swiftly vassalize Mexico, rapidly industrialize it, and use it to complete a North American internal economic circulation. [...] In fact, the most direct and simplest way for the US to reindustrialize would be to militarily occupy Mexico and use it as a substitute for China in its economic system. « 

Lu QiYuan, 2024.

This framework prioritizes access to Venezuelan oil and the Argentina-Bolivia-Chile Lithium Triangle, critical for advanced technologies. Related initiatives include annexing Greenland, pressure on Canada, special-forces operations against Mexican cartels, and indications of military action against Cuba in the coming month.

» Venezuela remains a major obsession for the US. The US is expected to escalate sanctions and covert actions to oust the Maduro government in order to gain access to the world's largest reserves of hydrocarbons, as well as to gold, bauxite, iron ore, uranium, diamonds, and rare-earth elements [...]. Bolivia, which has the world's largest lithium reserves, will be treated in a similar fashion. Washington think tanks still consider Brazil a "swing state," and controlling Brazil's policies remains central to US efforts to limit and sabotage BRICS in the region. « Pepe Escobar, 2024.

These policies echo the Technate's emphasis on resource security, onshoring manufacturing, and continental self-sufficiency. The nations involved in recent US disputes—Canada, Greenland, Nicaragua, Honduras, Cuba, Venezuela, Colombia, and Mexico—correspond precisely to the geographic scope outlined in the original Technate map. Elon Musk has expressed support for aspects of this framework; his grandfather was an early proponent of the movement.

Elite Civil War and Internal Tensions

The current global instability stems from an intensifying internal contest within the US between nationalist and globalist factions. Opposition to Trump's strategy is anticipated from entrenched globalist elements, including the City of London and Wall Street, which continue to influence the European Union, NATO, and segments of the US deep state. These actors may respond with economic sabotage, engineered recessions, and organized anti-war protests directed at the national draft. 

Historian Peter Turchin's analysis of elite overproduction provides context: empires decline when excess elites act as societal parasites, and the US now confronts precisely such dynamics. Emerging technology and artificial-intelligence leaders from Silicon Valley are challenging the traditional financial elite amid unprecedented levels of debt and political polarization. This domestic clash of political factions underscores the risk of extended internal conflict within the US. Comparable nationalist-globalist divides are also evident in China, Russia, Iran, and Europe. 

Reference:
Danny El-Ayoubi (April 16, 2026) - Jiang Xueqin Warns: The End of The World Has Begun. Here's Why. (video)

  

Alongside universities, libraries, museums, mosques, synagogues, churches, hospitals and schools,
more than 100 major Iranian historical and cultural sites were destroyed in recent U$raHell attacks.

 

World War Trump.
[ Jiang Xueqin, April 21, 2026 ]

See also:

 Jiang Xueqin and Alexander Dugin (April 13, 2026) - Eschatology and Geopolitics. (video)

How America Became a Financialized Rentier Economy | Jiang Xueqin

From 1950 to 1980, America’s economy was mainly focused on manufacturing. Manufacturing made up 40% of GDP, generated 40% of profits, and employed 30% of the workforce. If you were a factory worker between 1950 and 1980, life was good. You worked 40 hours a week, had health insurance, could buy a home, and your wife didn’t have to work. Families raised three to four kids, owned two cars, took vacations every year, dined out weekly, and retired with solid pensions. 

» The US economy has shifted from production to speculation. «

 

After 1980 came the Reagan Revolution and the rise of neoliberalism, an economic philosophy centered on free markets and deregulation. Since then, the US economy has been financialized. Today, financial services account for 22% of GDP, while manufacturing has fallen from 40% to just 10%. Financial services now generate 40% of all corporate profits but employ only 5% of the workforce.

These numbers reflect a radical transformation of American society. From 1950 to 1980, workers had political power. As a confident middle class, they joined unions and participated in politics. Today, most of that power has shifted to Wall Street and to the professional-managerial elite—highly educated, coastal, Ivy-League graduates clustered in New York, Washington, Boston, and San Francisco. This elite, multicultural and financially dominant, has become the most powerful political bloc in America. As a result, government policy increasingly favors them at the expense of workers. That’s the first major shift: political influence moving from labor to finance.

Education reflects this change. In the 1950s and 1960s, graduates of top schools often aspired to be professors, scientists, entrepreneurs, or corporate executives. Today, nearly all want to go to one place: Wall Street. Why? Because that’s where the money is. The brightest PhDs in statistics and artificial intelligence—who might otherwise be developing breakthrough technologies at IBM—are instead running hedge-fund algorithms, speculating with other people’s money.

The US economy has shifted from production to speculation. Financial services don’t create goods; they move money around to make more money. It’s not productive—it’s speculative. And America’s smartest minds are devoted to it. This shift has made the economy far more unstable. In 2001 came the dot-com crash. In 2008, the subprime mortgage crisis. More recently, multiple banks collapsed in a single week.

Why? Bubbles. Housing, stocks, and other assets are all overpriced. People gamble on the assumption prices will always rise. When bubbles burst, the result is volatility, instability, and uncertainty. That’s bad for the economy. Inequality has also surged. The top 1% now capture a vastly greater share of wealth, and the gap keeps widening.

In short, financialization has been destructive. It has made politics more divisive, the economy more volatile, and redirected the nation’s best talent into speculation rather than innovation. Young people today struggle to own homes. Many rent indefinitely, with little hope of upward mobility. This is the rentier economy: when ownership is out of reach, people are locked out of building wealth. Instead of producing, many speculate—buying Bitcoin or chasing bubbles.

Reference:

Jiang Xueqin (September 24, 2025) - Why Young Americans Can’t Buy Homes Anymore. (video)

Civilization End: The Decline and Fall of the American Empire | Jiang Xueqin

Americans want to feel virtuous. But as America becomes poorer and more desperate, this virtue will fade away, and the raw, brutal power of America will express itself throughout the world.

Jiang Xueqin, a Yale graduate with a B.A. in English Literature, is a Beijing-based former Deputy Principal at Tsinghua University High School, and education reformer. Today, he independently teaches anthropology, philosophy, history, and geopolitics to Beijing high school students and runs an English YouTube channel on "Predictive History," using historical patterns, game theory, and geopolitics to forecast global events.

This will eventually lead to the final conflict — the war between Iran and the United States. Iran has been preparing for this for a long time, and ever since 1979, America has been preparing too. This conflict will be World War III, and I cannot overstate how brutal this conflict will be. 

 

It will bring fundamental changes to the world, and our lives will never be the same again. Everything we have known in the past will be gone forever, and we must prepare for a new future. I know this is depressing. This last year we have gone into the heart of darkness of humanity, and the world looks more and more terrible. But remember this — and this is my final message to you: 

 

The greatest minds of humanity — Homer, Dante, Immanuel Kant — have all told us the same thing. They have all revealed one secret of the universe, one message: imagination is the animating force of the universe, and love is the unifying force of the universe.

What this means is this: in the darkest times, when all hope seems lost and there is only despair, any of us can rise up, stand up, and be the light to lead us forward. That is the task ahead of us if we are to save us. So remember this: we all have the capacity to imagine, and we all have the capacity to love. That is what makes us human. In the worst times, we must defend our own humanity.

Quoted from:
Jiang Xueqin (June 12, 2025) - Civilization End: The Decline and Fall of the American Empire. (video) 

  

The Messianic Callings of Donald Trump, Benjamin Netanyahu, and Ali Khamenei:

What's inside the minds of the chosen ones. 

 

See also:
Jiang Xueqin (October 3, 2025) - America is an Anti-Civilization. (video)