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Monday, November 11, 2024

Geocentric and Heliocentric Bradley Barometers │ Turning Points in 2025

Geocentric and Heliocentric Bradley Indices for 2025 (EST/EDT).
 
Q4 2024.
 
Q1 2025.
 
Q2 2025. 
 
Q3 2025.  
 
Q4 2025.  

The Bradley Barometer (also known as Bradley Siderograph or simply Bradley Index) is a financial astrology indicator created by Donald Albert Bradley (1925-1974) in the 1940s. Bradley developed a barometer that combines planetary transits. By assigning positive values to favorable transits and negative values to unfavorable ones, he created a weighted net sum oscillator graph.


The equation for the 
Bradley Barometer indicator is calculated as follows:

[ (5) × (Long Term Value Sums + Declination Value Sums) ] + Middle Term Value Sums

The factor of five in the formula gives greater weight to (1) planetary aspects considered "Long Term" and (2) declinations. The Middle Term values represent planetary aspects that are important but receive less weight than the Long Terms. There are a total of 36 planetary aspects considered in the Barometer, broken down as follows:
  • Long Term Aspects: 10 of the 36 aspects are classified as Long Term. These aspects generally involve the slower-moving outer planets (e.g., Jupiter, Saturn), and Bradley believed they should carry greater weight.
  • Middle Term Aspects: 26 of the 36 aspects are classified as Middle Term. These aspects include the Sun and the faster-moving planets, from Mercury to Mars.
  • Short Term Aspects: None of the 36 aspects are classified as Short Term. Bradley considered aspects involving the Moon to be Short Term, affecting only a few hours. Therefore, Short Term aspects are not incorporated in the Bradley Barometer, as they are not expected to influence medium- to long-term market behavior.
The slower-moving planets with longer synodic periods (e.g., Jupiter and other outer planets) compose the Long Term aspects, and these receive five times the weight of the Middle Term aspects. A synodic period between two planets is the time it takes for them to return to the same relative position in the sky (i.e., their conjunction).
 
The original geocentric Bradley Barometer takes planetary declination into account—planets higher in the sky above the horizon are given more positive values, while those lower in the sky, below the horizon, are assigned negative values. According to Donald Bradley, "The value of the declination factor is half the algebraic sum of the given declinations of Venus and Mars—northern declination considered positive and southern declination negative." It is also important to note that Bradley used a multiplier when calculating the value of declinations for the overall barometer.

Regarding this multiplier, Bradley stated that the Long Term and declination factors "may be given considerably more weight by multiplying them by 3, 4, or 5 times, depending on experimentation." Therefore, in computing the Bradley Barometer, one adds together (1) the sum of all the planetary aspects of the Middle Terms, and (2) the Declinations and Long Term Factors, adjusted by a multiplier, such as 3X, 4X, or 5X. 

 
The heliocentric index is an adaptation of the original geocentric Barometer concept, using heliocentric planetary positions instead. 
 

Although there is no known physical correlation between these celestial movements and market behavior, the Bradley Barometer has been shown to correlate well with market turning points. However, regarding the limitations of his astro-indicator, Donald Bradley himself remarked the following:
 
"At no time must the reader gain the impression that a siderograph, as such, is a prediction of what the stock market will actually do. Nevertheless, observation proves that basic reversals in collective attitudes, clearly predicted by the line, are inevitably mirrored in stock averages. A limitation of the siderograph is that it cannot be construed as a forecast of secular trends. In statistical terminology, 'lines of regression' fitted to the market course and to the potential should not be expected to completely agree, for reasons obvious to anyone with keen business sense or commercial training."

Bradley indices are often misinterpreted, with many linking the slopes directly to market trends. Tops and bottoms can signal potential turning points in price, whether a peak or a trough. The importance of these turn dates is not dependent on the magnitude of the change before or after the turn, meaning that even moderate shifts can be just as significant as larger ones.

Abbreviations: geo = Geocentric Bradley Index; helio = Heliocentric Bradley Index; (L) = low; (H) = high. Expect the exactitude of turning points to be within ±1 day.

Geocentric Turning Points: 
2024 Dec 08 (Sun) = geo (L)    
2024 Dec 18 (Wed) = geo (H)    
2024 Dec 27 (Fri) = geo (L)    
2025 Feb 02 (Sun) = geo (H)    
2025 Feb 21 (Fri) = geo (L)    
2025 Mar 24 (Mon) = geo (H)    
2025 Apr 30 (Wed) = geo (L)    
2025 May 04 (Sun) = geo (H)    
2025 May 14 (Wed) = geo (L)    
2025 May 27 (Tue) = geo (H)    
2025 Jun 14 (Sat) = geo (L)    
2025 Jun 16 (Mon) = geo (H)    
2025 Jun 17 (Tue) = geo (L)    
2025 Jul 05 (Sat) = geo (H)    
2025 Jul 19 (Sat) = geo (L)    
2025 Jul 20 (Sun) = geo (H)    
2025 Jul 30 (Wed) = geo (L)    
2025 Aug 13 (Wed) = geo (H)    
2025 Sep 03 (Wed) = geo (L)    
2025 Sep 11 (Thu) = geo (H)    
2025 Oct 08 (Wed) = geo (L)    
2025 Oct 28 (Tue) = geo (H)    
2025 Nov 08 (Sat) = geo (L)    
2025 Nov 22 (Sat) = geo (H)    
2025 Dec 22 (Mon) = geo (L)    
2026 Jan 19 (Mon) = geo (H)    

Heliocentric Turning Points:    
2024 Dec 03 (Tue) = helio (H)    
2024 Dec 09 (Mon) = helio (L)    
2024 Dec 12 (Thu) = helio (H)    
2024 Dec 15 (Sun) = helio (L)    
2024 Dec 16 (Mon) = helio (H)    
2024 Dec 19 (Thu) = helio (L)    
2024 Dec 20 (Fri) = helio (H)    
2024 Dec 22 (Sun) = helio (L)  
 
2025 Jan 10 (Fri) = helio (H)
2025 Jan 22 (Wed) = helio (L)
2025 Feb 01 (Sat) = helio (H)
2025 Feb 06 (Thu) = helio (L)
2025 Feb 08 (Sat) = helio (H)
2025 Feb 16 (Sun) = helio (L)
2025 Feb 20 (Thu) = helio (H)
2025 Feb 21 (Fri) = helio (L)
2025 Feb 22 (Sat) = helio (H)
2025 Feb 26 (Wed) = helio (L)
2025 Mar 01 (Sat) = helio (H)
2025 Mar 05 (Wed) = helio (L)
2025 Mar 10 (Mon) = helio (H)
2025 Mar 15 (Sat) = helio (L)
2025 Mar 19 (Wed) = helio (H)
2025 Mar 20 (Thu) = helio (L)
2025 Mar 25 (Tue) = helio (H)
2025 Mar 28 (Fri) = helio (L)
2025 Mar 29 (Sat) = helio (H)
2025 Apr 04 (Fri) = helio (L)
2025 Apr 09 (Wed) = helio (H)
2025 Apr 20 (Sun) = helio (L)
2025 Apr 29 (Tue) = helio (H)
2025 May 15 (Thu) = helio (L)
2025 May 18 (Sun) = helio (H)
2025 May 20 (Tue) = helio (L)
2025 May 28 (Wed) = helio (H)
2025 Jun 01 (Sun) = helio (L)
2025 Jun 04 (Wed) = helio (H)
2025 Jun 05 (Thu) = helio (L)
2025 Jun 06 (Fri) = helio (H)
2025 Jun 20 (Fri) = helio (L)
2025 Jul 01 (Tue) = helio (H)
2025 Jul 04 (Fri) = helio (L)
2025 Jul 11 (Fri) = helio (H)
2025 Jul 20 (Sun) = helio (L)
2025 Jul 29 (Tue) = helio (H)
2025 Aug 01 (Fri) = helio (L)
2025 Aug 03 (Sun) = helio (H)
2025 Aug 05 (Tue) = helio (L)
2025 Aug 09 (Sat) = helio (H)
2025 Aug 11 (Mon) = helio (L)
2025 Aug 14 (Thu) = helio (H)
2025 Aug 16 (Sat) = helio (L)
2025 Aug 18 (Mon) = helio (H)
2025 Aug 20 (Wed) = helio (L)
2025 Aug 25 (Mon) = helio (H)
2025 Aug 29 (Fri) = helio (L)
2025 Aug 31 (Sun) = helio (H)
2025 Sep 01 (Mon) = helio (L)
2025 Sep 02 (Tue) = helio (H)
2025 Sep 05 (Fri) = helio (L)
2025 Sep 11 (Thu) = helio (H)
2025 Sep 14 (Sun) = helio (L)
2025 Sep 21 (Sun) = helio (H)
2025 Sep 24 (Wed) = helio (L)
2025 Sep 26 (Fri) = helio (H)
2025 Oct 02 (Thu) = helio (L)
2025 Oct 05 (Sun) = helio (H)
2025 Oct 15 (Wed) = helio (L)
2025 Oct 24 (Fri) = helio (H)
2025 Oct 29 (Wed) = helio (L)
2025 Oct 30 (Thu) = helio (H)
2025 Nov 02 (Sun) = helio (L)
2025 Nov 06 (Thu) = helio (H)
2025 Nov 07 (Fri) = helio (L)
2025 Nov 09 (Sun) = helio (H)
2025 Nov 13 (Thu) = helio (L)
2025 Nov 14 (Fri) = helio (H)
2025 Nov 16 (Sun) = helio (L)
2025 Nov 20 (Thu) = helio (H)
2025 Nov 25 (Tue) = helio (L)
2025 Nov 29 (Sat) = helio (H)
2025 Dec 05 (Fri) = helio (L)
2025 Dec 10 (Wed) = helio (H)
2025 Dec 23 (Tue) = helio (L)
2025 Dec 25 (Thu) = helio (H)
2025 Dec 27 (Sat) = helio (L)
2026 Jan 02 (Fri) = helio (H)
2026 Jan 08 (Thu) = helio (L)
2026 Jan 16 (Fri) = helio (H)
2026 Jan 17 (Sat) = helio (L)
2026 Jan 21 (Wed) = helio (H)
2026 Jan 25 (Sun) = helio (L)
2026 Jan 26 (Mon) = helio (H)
2026 Jan 31 (Sat) = helio (L)


Geocentric and Heliocentric Turning Points:    
2024 Dec 03 (Tue) = helio (H)    
2024 Dec 08 (Sun) = geo (L)    
2024 Dec 09 (Mon) = helio (L)    
2024 Dec 12 (Thu) = helio (H)    
2024 Dec 15 (Sun) = helio (L)    
2024 Dec 16 (Mon) = helio (H)    
2024 Dec 18 (Wed) = geo (H)    
2024 Dec 19 (Thu) = helio (L)    
2024 Dec 20 (Fri) = helio (H)    
2024 Dec 22 (Sun) = helio (L)    
2024 Dec 27 (Fri) = geo (L)    
2025 Jan 10 (Fri) = helio (H)    
2025 Jan 22 (Wed) = helio (L)    
2025 Feb 01 (Sat) = helio (H)    
2025 Feb 02 (Sun) = geo (H)    
2025 Feb 06 (Thu) = helio (L)    
2025 Feb 08 (Sat) = helio (H)    
2025 Feb 16 (Sun) = helio (L)    
2025 Feb 20 (Thu) = helio (H)    
2025 Feb 21 (Fri) = helio (L)    
2025 Feb 21 (Fri) = geo (L)    
2025 Feb 22 (Sat) = helio (H)    
2025 Feb 26 (Wed) = helio (L)    
2025 Mar 01 (Sat) = helio (H)    
2025 Mar 05 (Wed) = helio (L)    
2025 Mar 10 (Mon) = helio (H)    
2025 Mar 15 (Sat) = helio (L)    
2025 Mar 19 (Wed) = helio (H)    
2025 Mar 20 (Thu) = helio (L)    
2025 Mar 24 (Mon) = geo (H)    
2025 Mar 25 (Tue) = helio (H)    
2025 Mar 28 (Fri) = helio (L)    
2025 Mar 29 (Sat) = helio (H)    
2025 Apr 04 (Fri) = helio (L)    
2025 Apr 09 (Wed) = helio (H)    
2025 Apr 20 (Sun) = helio (L)    
2025 Apr 29 (Tue) = helio (H)    
2025 Apr 30 (Wed) = geo (L)    
2025 May 04 (Sun) = geo (H)    
2025 May 14 (Wed) = geo (L)    
2025 May 15 (Thu) = helio (L)    
2025 May 18 (Sun) = helio (H)    
2025 May 20 (Tue) = helio (L)    
2025 May 27 (Tue) = geo (H)    
2025 May 28 (Wed) = helio (H)    
2025 Jun 01 (Sun) = helio (L)    
2025 Jun 04 (Wed) = helio (H)    
2025 Jun 05 (Thu) = helio (L)    
2025 Jun 06 (Fri) = helio (H)    
2025 Jun 14 (Sat) = geo (L)    
2025 Jun 16 (Mon) = geo (H)    
2025 Jun 17 (Tue) = geo (L)    
2025 Jun 20 (Fri) = helio (L)    
2025 Jul 01 (Tue) = helio (H)    
2025 Jul 04 (Fri) = helio (L)    
2025 Jul 05 (Sat) = geo (H)    
2025 Jul 11 (Fri) = helio (H)    
2025 Jul 19 (Sat) = geo (L)    
2025 Jul 20 (Sun) = geo (H)    
2025 Jul 20 (Sun) = helio (L)    
2025 Jul 29 (Tue) = helio (H)    
2025 Jul 30 (Wed) = geo (L)    
2025 Aug 01 (Fri) = helio (L)    
2025 Aug 03 (Sun) = helio (H)    
2025 Aug 05 (Tue) = helio (L)    
2025 Aug 09 (Sat) = helio (H)    
2025 Aug 11 (Mon) = helio (L)    
2025 Aug 13 (Wed) = geo (H)    
2025 Aug 14 (Thu) = helio (H)    
2025 Aug 16 (Sat) = helio (L)    
2025 Aug 18 (Mon) = helio (H)    
2025 Aug 20 (Wed) = helio (L)    
2025 Aug 25 (Mon) = helio (H)    
2025 Aug 29 (Fri) = helio (L)    
2025 Aug 31 (Sun) = helio (H)    
2025 Sep 01 (Mon) = helio (L)    
2025 Sep 02 (Tue) = helio (H)    
2025 Sep 03 (Wed) = geo (L)    
2025 Sep 05 (Fri) = helio (L)    
2025 Sep 11 (Thu) = helio (H)    
2025 Sep 11 (Thu) = geo (H)    
2025 Sep 14 (Sun) = helio (L)    
2025 Sep 21 (Sun) = helio (H)    
2025 Sep 24 (Wed) = helio (L)    
2025 Sep 26 (Fri) = helio (H)    
2025 Oct 02 (Thu) = helio (L)    
2025 Oct 05 (Sun) = helio (H)    
2025 Oct 08 (Wed) = geo (L)    
2025 Oct 15 (Wed) = helio (L)    
2025 Oct 24 (Fri) = helio (H)    
2025 Oct 28 (Tue) = geo (H)    
2025 Oct 29 (Wed) = helio (L)    
2025 Oct 30 (Thu) = helio (H)    
2025 Nov 02 (Sun) = helio (L)    
2025 Nov 06 (Thu) = helio (H)    
2025 Nov 07 (Fri) = helio (L)    
2025 Nov 08 (Sat) = geo (L)    
2025 Nov 09 (Sun) = helio (H)    
2025 Nov 13 (Thu) = helio (L)    
2025 Nov 14 (Fri) = helio (H)    
2025 Nov 16 (Sun) = helio (L)    
2025 Nov 20 (Thu) = helio (H)    
2025 Nov 22 (Sat) = geo (H)    
2025 Nov 25 (Tue) = helio (L)    
2025 Nov 29 (Sat) = helio (H)    
2025 Dec 05 (Fri) = helio (L)    
2025 Dec 10 (Wed) = helio (H)    
2025 Dec 22 (Mon) = geo (L)    
2025 Dec 23 (Tue) = helio (L)    
2025 Dec 25 (Thu) = helio (H)    
2025 Dec 27 (Sat) = helio (L)    
2026 Jan 02 (Fri) = helio (H)    
2026 Jan 08 (Thu) = helio (L)    
2026 Jan 16 (Fri) = helio (H)    
2026 Jan 17 (Sat) = helio (L)    
2026 Jan 19 (Mon) = geo (H)    
2026 Jan 21 (Wed) = helio (H)    
2026 Jan 25 (Sun) = helio (L)    
2026 Jan 26 (Mon) = helio (H)    
2026 Jan 31 (Sat) = helio (L)    
 


The New Moon typically marks the beginning of a cycle, while the Full Moon signifies its completion.
In bull markets, New Moons are often bottoms, and Full Moons are tops.
In bear markets, New Moons are often tops, and Full Moons are bottoms.

Major news releases (NFP, CPI, PPI, PMI, FOMC, etc.) and options expiration dates (especially Quad and Triple Witching) can delay or disrupt typical cyclical market behavior and astro signals.
 
Price always moves from Consolidation to Expansion, never from Consolidation to Reversal or from Consolidation to Retracement. After an Expansion, two possible scenarios can occur: either a Retracement or a Reversal, followed by another Expansion or Consolidation.
 

Thursday, March 21, 2024

The 500 Year Cycle | Raymond H. Wheeler

The 1000 year cycle tends to break down into halves of about 500 years each. Centering on the dates of 375 BC, 30 AD, 460 AD, 955 AD, and 1475 AD, climate was dry and colder than usual. The warm periods were short and were often disrupted by drops in temperature. Midway between these dates, the warm periods stretched out; the interruptions were not as long, and the cold periods shortened. The result is an intermediate cycle averaging 510 years in length.
 
 » Mass migrations were extensive, and all the ancient civilizations collapsed. «
Vandals sacking Rome, 455 AD.

The beginning of the first of these 500-year rhythms marks an important place in the history of climate. Prior to 575 BC, climatic cycles were longer and more extreme than they have been since then. In the two centuries immediately following, from 450 ta 320 BC, it was warm much of the time. Two 100-year cycles were almost fused into one. The cold period between them, at 420 BC, was very short. After that, the cold periods lengthened. By the end of this 500-year period, at the time of Christ, there was an exceptionally long cold period.

The cold phase centering on 460 AD, at the end of the next 500-year cycle, was also exceptionally cold. Mass migrations were extensive, and all the ancient civilizations collapsed. There was a long-term downward trend in rainfall. Although there were long cold phases in the 600s and 700s, they were frequently interrupted by silts to the warm side and did not seem to be exceptionally bad. The cold phases of the 800s and 900s were extremely severe, causing many migrations, primarily from the northern countries — especially when conditions began to deteriorate approaching 955, near the end of the 500-year rhythm.
 
 » Civilizations broke up and new ones took their places. «
 Migrants storming European Union borders, 2024 AD.

Subsequently, temperatures warmed suddenly. The 1000s were so warm that trees grew in Greenland. This was the period when Vikings crossed the Atlantic, One of the most severe hot droughts in history occurred in the 1130s. The 13th century saw a long warm period. Then climate began to deteriorate again. While the 14th century was warm much of the time, there were frequent and sharp drops in temperature; often it was very stormy. During several winters, the straits between Denmark and Sweden froze over solid enough to support horses and sleds, Greenland began to freeze. In the 15th century, there was no long warm period.

The next 500-year rhythm terminated at 1475. Subsequently, temperatures warmed up again. The 17th century was so warm that the next 100-year cycle had but a short cold phase, centering on 1655, and this was quickly interrupted by a shift back to the warm side. During the 19th and 20th centuries, climate deteriorated again.

 
» The 500 year period beginning at 1475 is drawing to a close. «
 Migrants breaching US southern border, 2024 AD.
Climate change? Sure.

Events of great importance occur every 500 years. Midway between 575 BC and 460 AD, the Roman Empire began its decline as Christianity rose. There were no strong European civilizations for a long time. On the other hand, there were very strong Asiatic empires such as that of the Huns. Midway between 460 and 1475, in the 9th and 10th centuries, a vast change occurred, again involving mass migrations, These events divided the Middle Ages into two halves. In the first half, there were brilliant empires like those of Justinian with its capital at Constantinople, Charlemagne in the West, and the Arabs in the East. The Arabs moved into Spain and India, developing brilliant civilizations at Cordoba and Bagdad. But all this came to an end. These civilizations broke up and new ones took their places. Following 975, the feudal period developed, with the growth of principalities that were to form modern European states. Amazing empires were built by the Mongols in Asia, the Incas in South America, and the Mayas in Central America. In India and Japan, new empires were born. The Balkans achieved their Golden Ages during this period.

All this came to an end in the 15th century. The Medieval economy, customs, and modes of thought disappeared. With the new 500-year climatic cycle came the Renaissance, the Reformation, and the building of modern nations — first under absolute monarchs, then under constitutional governments. This most recent 500-year cycle has witnessed the awakening of modern art, science, and economics. In these more advanced civilizations, the common people have, for the first time in history, come into their own under democratic political and economic systems.

 » The same types of events occurr with almost clock-like regularity. «

The 500 year period beginning at 1475 is drawing to a close. We are now witnessing many of the same types of events that have occurred under similar circumstances with almost clock-like regularity five times before in history. These events are of the utmost significance for the businessman and student of today — and tomorrow.
 
Quoted from:
Raymond H. Wheeler (1943) - The 500 Year Cycle. 
With a Forecast of Trends Into the 21st Century.
 
  » A 500-year cycle is now terminating, which belonged to Europe.
The next 500-year cycle will belong to Asia.
«
Raymond H. Wheeler, 1951.

See also:
Raymond H. Wheeler (1943) - The 100 Year Cycle - Climate, Regime Change and War.
Donald A. Bradley (1943) - Cycles Write World History.

Sunspots, Lunar Cycles and Weather Cycles | Louis M. Thompson

The occurrence of an 18- to 20-year cycle in weather in the U.S. Midwest is no longer controversial. The controversial issue is the cause. This article will present both sides of the issue, and will indicate why we will know more about the cause after the 1990s.


[...] The sunspot cycle has been associated with the “20-year drought cycle” in the western U.S. since about 1909, when A.E. Douglass started publishing his tree-ring studies. This scientist became so well known that he was able to establish the Laboratory for Tree Ring Research in Tuscon, Arizona, in 1938. 
 

[...] The sunspot cycle has averaged about 11 years since 1800. As the sun rotates on its axis, it makes a complete turn in about 27 days. Large and persistent spots appear to move from left to right for about two weeks, disappear, and return after about two weeks. The leading edges of spots or clusters of spots have a negative charge in one 11-year cycle and a positive charge in the next cycle. Hence, the term “double sunspot cycle.”


The conventional wisdom is that the drought cycle of about 20 years occurs near the end of the negative cycle and at the time of low solar activity. The drought periods of the 1910s, 1930s, 1950s, and 1970s occurred at the end of the negative cycle. The drought periods did not consistently follow that pattern from 1800 to 1900, although the severe droughts of the 1820s and 1840s occurred at the end of the negative cycle.

Quoted from:
Louis M. Thompson (1989) - Sunspots and Lunar Cycles: Their Possible Relation to Weather Cycles.
In: Cycles, September/October 1989, Foundation for the Study of Cycles.
 
See also:
William Stanley Jevons (1875) - Sunspots and the Price of Corn and Wheat.

Monday, December 11, 2023

Geocentric Bradley Barometer │ Turning Points in 2024


2023 Nov 13 (Mon) = High
2023 Dec 17 (Sun) = Low
2023 Dec 22 (Fri) = High
2024 Jan 04 (Thu) = Low
2024 Jan 13 (Sat) = High
2024 Jan 22 (Mon) = Low
2024 Jan 29 (Mon) = High
2024 Feb 09 (Fri) = Low
2024 Feb 13 (Tue) = High
2024 Feb 25 (Sun) = Low
2024 May 26 (Sun) = High
2024 Jun 11 (Tue) = Low
2024 Jun 29 (Sat) = High
2024 Aug 19 (Mon) = Low
2024 Aug 29 (Thu) = High
2024 Sep 07 (Sat) = Low
2024 Sep 14 (Sat) = High
2024 Sep 19 (Thu) = Low
2024 Sep 27 (Fri) = High
2024 Oct 01 (Tue) = Low
2024 Oct 05 (Sat) = High
2024 Oct 27 (Sun) = Low
2024 Nov 02 (Sat) = High
2024 Nov 13 (Wed) = Low
2024 Nov 25 (Mon) = High
2024 Dec 08 (Sun) = Low
2024 Dec 18 (Wed) = High
2024 Dec 26 (Thu) = Low

[ calculated and charted for New York City (EST / EDT) with Timing Solution ]

The very well‐known financial astrology indicator known as the Bradley Barometer [or Bradley Siderograph] was created by Donald Bradley in 1947. The theory was that what is happening up in the sky affects human behavior on earth, so Bradley created a barometer that was a combination of transits. By assigning positive values to positive transits and negative values to negative transits he created a weighted net sum oscillator graph. The Bradley also includes the declination of planets. The higher in the sky that a planet appears above the horizon, the more positive the value. The lower in the sky that a planet appears below the horizon, the more negative the value. This Bradley Barometer graph correlated well to the markets even though there was no known physical correlation. The Bradley does very well in forecasting the headwinds or tailwinds of long‐term market moves that can occur over many months […] In recent years, it has shown quite a number of failures. This may be due to a variety of factors. If the Bradley Barometer measures the natural organic flow of the market, then there are certainly external artificial influences that can diminish its effectiveness. Some of these factors may include high‐frequency trading and/or government interference through central bank stimulus. Artificial inflation will cause a market to rise regardless of transits. The market will still oscillate, but with an upward bias. Another important angle to consider about the Bradley is that it designed to be taken in the context of what is happening in the market. The Bradley Barometer is an oscillator. We all know that the market does not oscillate back and forth all the time.

Over the past century, the market has trended higher. However, in between, there are cyclical bull markets and bear markets and sometimes there are consolidation periods. Everything forecast must be taken in its relative context to current market conditions. In a bull market, the down periods in the Bradley may simply mark sideways consolidation periods. It is useful to think of negative planetary transits in the face of a bull market as being nothing more than headwinds that are just a pause in the uptrend. It also follows that in a bull market the periods of the Bradley may mark the largest bull runs. In bear markets, the positive runs in the Bradley model serve as just pauses in the selling. The negative drops in the Bradley mark periods of intense selling in the market. In neutral markets, the Bradley tends to mirror market movement like an oscillator. nevertheless, the Bradley is a very popular model to this day, and many financial astrologers still use it as a backbone to get an overall picture of what the market is doing or what it made do in the future.

 
ooo0ooo
 
Also consider:
New Moons typically mark beginnings of cycles, and Full Moons mark completions. 
In bull markets, New Moons are bottoms, and Full Moons are tops. 
In bear markets, New Moons are tops, and Full Moons are bottoms. 
More often than not, stocks will rise from around the 7th to around the 14th calendar day of a month, 
fall from the 14th to the 20th, and rise from the 20th to the 25th.
Major Red News Releases (NFP, CPI, PPI, PMI, FOMC etc.) and Options Expiration Dates (especially Quad and Triple Witching)
may delay or cancel typical cyclical market behavior and astro signals.

Friday, September 8, 2023

Cycles Write World History | Donald A. Bradley

Research embracing many fields of scientific pursuit and all available historical records proves that the climate of the earth as a whole goes through long cycles. World-climate shifts from cold to warm periods and from wet to dry periods with amazing regularity. Dry periods accompanied by colder weather take place about every 170 years, every third such “cold drought” being severe in its effects.

"The turning points between old and new civilizations occur when 
cold-dry times reach their maximum severity."

Professor Raymond H. Wheeler, eminent psychologist of the University of Kansas, heads this study project which finds an important correlation between world climate and political history. Dr. Wheeler's analysis of an immense accumulation of data shows that great international changes occur on these shifts from warm to cold and vice versa. Nations deteriorate on the shift from warm to cold, the study reveals. What is probably most fascinating among the findings is that totalitarianism is representative of world-wide political sentiment during warm periods. Democracy is vivified and sought after by men during cold periods. Intervals of cold droughts usually coincide with eras of civil wars. International wars are fought, for the most part, during warmer times. The Wheeler project has identified basic mass-psychological patterns with every climatic condition found in the global weather cycle. Public attitudes and popular ideas are directly colored by the general nature of the world-climate prevailing at any time.
 
Raymond H. Wheeler and his 'big book'.
 
Astrology offers a logical explanation for this 170-year rhythm in world activities. It is hardly a coincidence that every cold-drought is synchronized with one of the solar system's major planetary configurations. Called a great mutation in astrological parlance, a conjunction of the planets Uranus and Neptune occurs every 171 years, on the average. These conjunctions are within effective orb for 15 years before and after their central date of coming-together in the sky. This Uranus-Neptune cycle leaves a continuous impression on the unwinding scroll of world history in inciting those conditions in human and natural affairs described.

Central conjunctions of Uranus and Neptune took place in the A.D. years of 
110, 281, 453, 624, 796, 967, 1139, 1310, 1481, 1653 and 1824 [1906-10, 1993, 2078-81, 2165]

[The years cited mark the general centers of the 30-year influence at work. They are computed for the conjunctions in mean heliocentric longitude, and not for the apparent (geocentric) times of occurrence. The time-margin allowed for this difference is nearly a whole decade.]

Each of these epochs is at or near the dead center of a period of serious cold drought recorded in the annals of history and science. It is no surprise to the astrologer that lowered mean temperature, lack of much rainfall, political stress and civil war itself should be typical of our earth’s response to these vibrations. Uranian influences alone have long been recognized as revolutionary in action. Neptune is peculiarly associated with meteorological matters, and also with canons of idealistic thought. Astrologers are generally agreed that Neptune is the planet of “isms” and ideologies which provoke national and international changes of attitude. Uranus is disruptive in action and progressive in the long run. Neptune, on the other hand, is said to determine world sentiments which have an emotional base. Conjunctions of these divergent forces bring about the years of famine and civil strife which make and break the great economic and political structures we call nations.

The primary precipitation-and-temperature cycle is obviously connected with a particular interplanetary periodicity. There are dozens if not hundreds of other cycles in man’s social and natural environment which can be traced to similar causes. Relations of two or more planets to each other as viewed from the earth are called aspects. The positions of any moving heavenly body across the great star-sprangled backdrop of the sky are called transits. In astrology, we make use of the term transit to mean the location of a planet by the sign of the zodiac it occupies. Aspects and sign-transits of the various planets are the fundamental causes of cycles on earth. Although not actually zodiacal factors, the declinations of certain planets and changes in the elements of planetary orbits are found to be strong components in the astrological theory of world cycles.

Above and beyond true physical phenomena is the strange tendency of world affairs toward cycles which reflect the general connotations of successive zodiacal signs. This is apparent if one reconsiders the famous historical analyses of Oswald Spengler in the light of astrology. Spengler’s anthropomorphic outlines of spiritual, cultural and political “contemporary epochs” seem to follow a fascinating zodiac of characteristics, commencing each broad swing in mankind’s affairs with typical Aries qualities, and culminating it, after ten more eras, with Piscean attributes. The reason for this inclination is inexplicable, at the present, as no astronomical connection has been discovered.

Mention of such interesting matters lays the groundwork for our immediate subject — that of applying astrology as a calculable gauge of contemporary economic conditions.

Tuesday, October 11, 2022

Astrological Methods of Forecasting the DJIA | Carol S. Mull

Carol S. Mull (1989) - Humankind moves through periods of optimism, expansion, anxiety, depression and panic, as dictated by the magnetic winds that govern the universe. These cycles affect market trading and can be forecast by observing and analyzing planetary phenomena. There are at least twenty different planetary, solar, or lunar movements that affect the market in a significant way. I know of no computer program that utilizes more than five or six of them. Below is a summary of the most useful, listed from those with the shortest effect through those lasting decades.
 
Cafe Astrology .com - This Month’s Ephemeris

A FEW HOURS OR MINUTES
Planet to Midheaven: You may have noticed that the DIJA will move up or down at about the same time each day for a week or more. This is because the planet and its aspects that is directly overhead the market location at any given time-of-day will affect the mood of the trader. Hence, if Saturn is crossing the Midheaven of the New York Stock Exchange location of Manhattan Island in New York at about 1:00 p.m., the market may have opened up, but will tend to drop from noon until 1:00 p.m., and may then turn up again. This trend will continue for about a week, with the timing being a little later each day until it finally moves beyond the time of the market closing. Jupiter in the same position will bring a rise in market prices. Neptune over the market Midheaven will bring increased trading in oil stocks. Uranus over the Midheaven will produce an erratic market. 
 
Planetary Hours Calculator

I know a daytrader who runs an astrological chart on his computer every fifteen minutes for New York City and then acts accordingly. This planet-to-Midheaven indicator is good for the hourly wobbles in the market and should always be considered against the general trend. 
 
Solar, Lunar and Planets Ephemerides - Rise - Midheaven Transit - Set

Sun and Moon Aspects
: The astrological aspects that are easiest to learn and use are those between the Sun and the Moon. These can be found in an Almanac, ephemeris or astrological calendar. The Sun and Moon are conjunct at the New Moon and, unless overshadowed by heavier aspects, the market can be expected to move upward at that time.
 
Monthly Lunation Cycle 8 Lunar Sun-Moon 45° Phases

The Sun and Moon are in square aspect (90°) at the first quarter and the last quarter and a bear market is the normal result. The Sun and Moon are in opposition (180°) at the Full Moon, which usually brings a somewhat bullish market, but is not as positive as the New Moon. Sun/Moon trines (120°) come halfway between the opposition and the first quarter or last quarter. They are indicators of bull markets.

Eclipses are really just super New or Full Moons and unless aspected, produce little market change at the time. However, they sensitize a certain degree in the sky and whenever another planet comes into aspect with that point, LOOK OUT. The Noon or Mercury to that point will produce an erratic unpredictable market. When Mars comes into aspect with that point, the market is likely to fall sharply.

TimeAndDate.com - Eclipses and Transits Visible in New York

The Total Picture - Positive or Negative: A tool used by several financial astrologers is to tally all the aspects in the sky on a given day. This method is described by both LCdr. David Williams in his book, Financial Astrology, and by Donald Bradley in his book, Stock Market Prediction, but most users put their own construction on the methods described by Williams and Bradley.

The usual method is to list the aspects that are within a degree of orb on a given day over New York City within market hours, plus the more important ones that fall after or before the market is open. A numerical value is then assigned to each aspect. Conjunctions are ten; sextiles are 3; trines 10; squares 8, and oppositions six. In general, conjunctions, sextiles and trines are positive, whiles squares and oppositions are negative but this can be overridden by the nature of the planets involved. Saturn and Mars are always negative. Jupiter, Venus and Sun are always positive.
 
Geocentric and Heliocentric Bradley Indices

When the list is complete, add your negative column and then your positive column. If you have -86 and +13, you should definitely expect a down-day at the market. Plus 72 and minus 14 would indicate a bull market. This same method of tallying aspects can be used on a hourly basis or even fifteen minutes.

A FEW DAYS
Moon’s Daily Motion: The average daily motion of the Moon is 13.17749 degrees, but it fluctuates from 11.54’ to 14.36’, gaining in daily speed for nine to thirteen days and then losing speed for nine to thirteen days, depending on the season of the year. Whenever the Moon is gaining in daily speed the market tends to move upward; whenever the Moon is losing daily velocity, the market tends to move downward. This can account for small wobbles on a general trend line. (I find it of interest that this average thirteen day motion correlates with the Mayan calendar of thirteen day cycles, which they grouped into 260 day cycles (13x20). I am working on an overall plan to tie the market to the Mayan calendar, but it is not complete.)
 
Sun-Moon Daily Arc Move on Sphere = Longitude Speed

Sunspots
: Periods of solar prominence (sunspots) pour forth energy, causing all earthly activities to increase, including stock market trading. The usual result of this stimulus is a major market turning point, either up or down. Increased sunspot activity occurs whenever the planets Mercury, Venus, Mars, and Jupiter are on the same side of the Sun as the Earth. The greatest influence of all this tidal-like force occurs when Jupiter and Venus are in a heliocentric line-up with the Earth at 0°, 45°, and 90°, but lesser activity produces the well-known Dow cycles of 89 weeks, 124 weeks, and 208 weeks [see also HERE].
 
Jan Alvestad - Solar Terrestrial Activity Report

A very good illustration of this market indicator occurred on October 19, 1987, when the market dropped 505 points. Jupiter was exactly opposite the Sun, increasing solar flares and market timing--thus forcing a market turning point. Another example is October 27, 1997, when Jupiter was square the Sun. So, be aware that heliocentric aspects to the Sun mark major market turning points, both up and down.

Powerful Aspects: Certain aspects are especially powerful and will influence the market for five to seven days. Examples of powerful benevolent aspects are Jupiter or Venus in aspect to Uranus, Sun, or Mercury. Powerful negative aspects are Saturn to any planet and Mars to anything except Venus and Jupiter.

National Astronomical Observatory of Japan - Celestial Phenomena

A FEW WEEKS
The Planet Mercury: Mercury does rule trading and it alone can give you a reasonably good forecast. Whenever you see a Sun-Mercury conjunction, you may expect a high volume day that is very bullish. These happen about every six weeks. Mercury's daily motion is a very important market indicator. That is, whatever the daily motion of Mercury is increasing, the market is likely to move upward and whenever Mercury's velocity is decreasing, the market trend is downward. This has nothing to do with retrograde or forward motion.
 
Retrograde Planets Calendar

It is the increase or decrease of velocity that counts and the direction does not matter. When Mercury is stationery or nearly so, the market has a very low volume and is bearish. If Mercury is rapidly gaining in velocity, the market gains rapidly. If Mercury is gaining velocity slowly, the market is up a little. The tone of the market can be discerned by the actions of Mercury .

Seasonal Highs and Lows: The market is usually up January 9th through the 18th. This is because the Sun reaches 23°-25° Capricorn in mid-January, which produces a grand trine with Mercury at 24° Taurus in the NY Stock Exchange chart, Sun at 26° Taurus in the NYSE chart, Neptune at 20° Virgo in the chart of the USA, and Pluto at 24° Capricorn in the chart of the USA. A similar effect happens each September, when transit Sun reaches 18°-27° Virgo.
 
In fact, the degree 24°-26° Taurus is important to stock exchanges around the world. The New York Stock Exchange has Sun and Mercury in that area, Tokyo Exchange has Sun, Amsterdam Exchange has Sun and Pluto, Budapest Exchange has Venus, Lisbon Exchange has Jupiter, London Exchange has Sun, Melbourne Exchange has Venus and Uranus, Toronto Exchange has Jupiter opposite, Zurich Exchange has Venus and Pluto. It is easy to see why the markets so often act in unison.

Jack Gillen's Sensitive Degrees of the Sun

LONG TERM TRENDS
Venus Daily Motion: For longer term trends, I depend upon the increasing and decreasing of the velocity of Venus in the same way as the velocity of Moon and Mercury were used. This indicator points toward a lower 1999 than 1998. 
 
Venus' Daily Motion

The Outer Planets
: Very long term trends changes are marked by the aspects of Saturn, Jupiter, Uranus, and Neptune. A very good book about this is THE EGG OF COLUMBUS by George Bayer, which pretends to be describing a banquet or feast. If you set charts for the dates given in the book, you will find exact aspects of the outer planets. Enough said? These long-term trends have been charted as cycles of varying lengths, but for exact work, you will need to work from the helio-centric aspects of the outer planets.

HeavensAbove.com - Planet Summary

Mars Aspects: The planet Mars acts as a "trigger" for certain undesirable long-term stock market movements, whenever this planet is square or opposite one of the outer planets. That is, the outer planetary aspects set the long-term trends, but Mars produces the action. The following aspects are especially bad for the market: Mars conjunct Saturn, Mars square Neptune, Mars opposite Jupiter, Mars in opposition, regardless of the planet. In contrast, stock prices have consistently risen during the thirty days just before a conjunction of Mars with Jupiter or Mercury.

Geocentric and Heliocentric Aspect Search Engine (500BC - 2500AD)

CONCLUSION
These are some of the more important astro indicators of DJIA trends. Applying them is not a quick study. Instead, it requires several years of blending the various factors, until a certain "wisdom" develops. Above all, you should always be aware of both political and economic happenings around the world for these will provide the background for your research.

 
See also: