Strong NYSE breadth says liquidity is plentiful.
A higher number of advancing stocks suggests bullish sentiment,
more declining stocks bearish sentiment.
"No need to fear S&P 500 new all-time highs … until they cease."
Showing posts with label NYSE. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NYSE. Show all posts
Thursday, October 17, 2024
Wednesday, December 13, 2023
The 41-Month Kitchin Cycle in Stocks │ Edward R. Dewey
Another cycle that has done all in its power to keep cycle scientists humble is one averaging 40.68 months in length. It has been present in industrial common-stock prices since 1871 and was discovered in 1912 by a New York group of investors. These gentlemen had learned that the Rothschilds had analyzed British consols (government obligations) and had broken up the price fluctuations into a series of repeating curves that had been combined and used for forecasting. The New York group hired a mathematician to discover the secret formula of the Rothschilds, and working with the Dow-Jones Railroad Averages, he discovered a forty-one-month cycle, plus three others, which his employers used to help them invest in the market. Apparently they were very successful around World War I.
Some ten years after the original discovery, Professor W. L. Crum, of Harvard, noted a cycle of "39, 40, or 41 months" in monthly commercial-paper rates in New York. Almost simultaneously, Professor Joseph Kitchin, also of Harvard, discovered a cycle that he called forty months in six economic time series, bank clearings, commodity prices, and interest rates in both Great Britain and the United States from 1890 to 1922. As far as I know, it was not until 1935, twenty-three years after the original discovery, that this cycle was again noticed in the stock market. Our old friend Chapin Hoskins, who knew nothing of the earlier work, discovered this cycle in many series of price and production figures, including common-stock prices. Early in 1938 he made an extensive study of this cycle for one of the large investment-trust services.
Figure 38 shows the forty-one-month cycle (now refined to 40.68 months) from 1868 through 1945. As you can see, while its waves are not identical to an ideal 40.68 wave, which is represented by the broken zigzag, there is an amazing correspondence between them. This cycle persisted through wars and peace, good times and depressions.
Then, in 1946, something strange happened to our cycle. Almost as if some giant hand had reached down and pushed it, the cycle stumbled, and by the time it had regained its equilibrium it was marching completely out of step from the ideal cadence it had maintained for so many years. As you can see in Figure 39, it has regained the approximate beat of forty-one months or so, as before, but its behavior now appears upside down on our graph.
Figure 38 shows the forty-one-month cycle (now refined to 40.68 months) from 1868 through 1945. As you can see, while its waves are not identical to an ideal 40.68 wave, which is represented by the broken zigzag, there is an amazing correspondence between them. This cycle persisted through wars and peace, good times and depressions.
Then, in 1946, something strange happened to our cycle. Almost as if some giant hand had reached down and pushed it, the cycle stumbled, and by the time it had regained its equilibrium it was marching completely out of step from the ideal cadence it had maintained for so many years. As you can see in Figure 39, it has regained the approximate beat of forty-one months or so, as before, but its behavior now appears upside down on our graph.
Scores of explanations and reams of paper have been expended to explain this behavior. We are familiar with most of the possibilities, such as distortion by random behavior, two or more other cycles of near lengths, and even a general public knowledge of this particular cycle, which may have had a distorting effect on its timing. But, in truth, no one can positively explain what happened in 1946 any more than they can explain the regularity of the rhythm for all the years that preceded it.
42-Month Cycle in the DJIA (weekly bars), March 2020 - October 2023.
Quoted from:
Edward R. Dewey & Og Mandino (1971) - Cycles: The Mysterious Forces that Trigger Events.
Edward R. Dewey & Og Mandino (1971) - Cycles: The Mysterious Forces that Trigger Events.
Tuesday, December 12, 2023
Sensitive Degrees of the Sun for the NYSE in 2024 | Jack Gillen
| Date | Sun's Longitude Position | Effect on US Stock Indexes |
| 2023 12 08 (Fri) | = SUN @ 16 SAG = 256 degrees | negative = low |
| 2023 12 12 (Tue) | = SUN @ 20 SAG = 260 degrees | negative |
| 2023 12 16 (Sat) | = SUN @ 24 SAG = 264 degrees | positive = high |
| 2023 12 28 (Thu) | = SUN @ 6 CAP = 276 degrees | positive |
| 2024 01 02 (Tue) | = SUN @ 11 CAP = 281 degrees | positive |
| 2024 01 06 (Sat) | = SUN @ 16 CAP = 286 degrees | negative |
| 2024 01 19 (Fri) | = SUN @ 29 CAP = 299 degrees | negative |
| 2024 01 30 (Tue) | = SUN @ 10 AQU = 310 degrees | positive |
| 2024 02 03 (Sat) | = SUN @ 14 AQU = 314 degrees | positive |
| 2024 02 06 (Tue) | = SUN @ 17 AQU = 317 degrees | negative |
| 2024 02 18 (Sun) | = SUN @ 29 AQU = 329 degrees | negative |
| 2024 02 23 (Fri) | = SUN @ 4 PIS = 334 degrees | negative |
| 2024 02 24 (Sat) | = SUN @ 5 PIS = 335 degrees | negative |
| 2024 03 03 (Sun) | = SUN @ 13 PIS = 343 degrees | positive |
| 2024 03 11 (Mon) | = SUN @ 21 PIS = 351 degrees | positive |
| 2024 03 24 (Sun) | = SUN @ 4 ARI = 4 degrees | positive |
| 2024 03 31 (Sun) | = SUN @ 11 ARI = 11 degrees | positive |
| 2024 04 07 (Sun) | = SUN @ 18 ARI = 18 degrees | negative |
| 2024 04 13 (Sat) | = SUN @ 24 ARI = 24 degrees | negative |
| 2024 04 26 (Fri) | = SUN @ 6 TAU = 36 degrees | negative |
| 2024 05 01 (Wed) | = SUN @ 12 TAU = 42 degrees | neutral |
| 2024 05 08 (Wed) | = SUN @ 18 TAU = 48 degrees | negative |
| 2024 05 19 (Sun) | = SUN @ 19 TAU = 59 degrees | neutral |
| 2024 05 25 (Sat) | = SUN @ 5 GEM = 65 degrees | negative |
| 2024 06 06 (Thu) | = SUN @ 16 GEM = 76 degrees | neutral |
| 2024 06 07 (Fri) | = SUN @ 17 GEM = 77 degrees | negative |
| 2024 06 08 (Sat) | = SUN @ 18 GEM = 78 degrees | neutral |
| 2024 06 29 (Sat) | = SUN @ 8 CAN = 98 degrees | positive |
| 2024 07 04 (Thu) | = SUN @ 13 CAN = 103 degrees | negative |
| 2024 07 07 (Sun) | = SUN @ 16 CAN = 106 degrees | positive |
| 2024 07 10 (Wed) | = SUN @ 18 CAN = 108 degrees | negative |
| 2024 07 24 (Wed) | = SUN @ 2 LEO = 122 degrees | negative |
| 2024 07 29 (Mon) | = SUN @ 6 LEO = 126 degrees | positive |
| 2024 08 09 (Fri) | = SUN @ 17 LEO = 137 degrees | negative |
| 2024 08 10 (Sat) | = SUN @ 18 LEO = 138 degrees | positive |
| 2024 09 02 (Mon) | = SUN @ 10 VIR = 160 degrees | negative |
| 2024 09 04 (Wed) | = SUN @ 12 VIR = 162 degrees | positive |
| 2024 09 05 (Thu) | = SUN @ 13 VIR = 163 degrees | negative |
| 2024 09 20 (Fri) | = SUN @ 28 VIR = 178 degrees | positive |
| 2024 09 24 (Tue) | = SUN @ 2 LIB = 182 degrees | negative |
| 2024 10 07 (Mon) | = SUN @ 14 LIB = 194 degrees | negative |
| 2024 10 14 (Mon) | = SUN @ 21 LIB = 201 degrees | positive |
| 2024 10 22 (Tue) | = SUN @ 29 LIB = 209 degrees | positive |
| 2024 10 25 (Fri) | = SUN @ 2 SCO = 212 degrees | negative |
| 2024 10 27 (Sun) | = SUN @ 4 SCO = 214 degrees | negative |
| 2024 11 03 (Sun) | = SUN @ 11 SCO = 221 degrees | positive |
| 2024 11 21 (Thu) | = SUN @ 29 SCO = 239 degrees | positive |
| 2024 11 25 (Mon) | = SUN @ 3 SAG = 243 degrees | positive |
| 2024 12 08 (Sun) | = SUN @ 16 SAG = 256 degrees | negative |
| 2024 12 12 (Thu) | = SUN @ 20 SAG = 260 degrees | negative |
| 2024 12 15 (Sun) | = SUN @ 24 SAG = 264 degrees | positive |
| 2024 12 27 (Fri) | = SUN @ 6 CAP = 276 degrees | positive |
| 2025 01 01 (Wed) | = SUN @ 11 CAP = 281 degrees | positive |
| 2025 01 06 (Mon) | = SUN @ 16 CAP = 286 degrees | negative |
| 2025 01 19 (Sun) | = SUN @ 29 CAP = 299 degrees | negative |
| 2025 01 30 (Thu) | = SUN @ 10 AQU = 310 degrees | positive |
| 2025 02 03 (Mon) | = SUN @ 14 AQU = 314 degrees | positive |
» The Sun's position by itself in relation to the stock market can show you
trends that are more or less active for each year,
as the sun degrees are
generally fixed. They fall on about the same date every year.
So this
is why some periods of the year would be more of a pattern. «
Quoted from:
Jack Gillen (1979): The Key to Speculation on the New York Stock Exchange.
Friday, December 8, 2023
Jack Gillen's Sensitive Degrees of the Sun | December 2023
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» The Sun's position by itself in relation to the stock market can show you
trends that are more or less active for each year,
as the sun degrees are
generally fixed. They fall on about the same date every year.
So this
is why some periods of the year would be more of a pattern. «
Quoted from:
Jack Gillen (1979): The Key to Speculation on the New York Stock Exchange.
2023 12 08 (Fri) = SUN @ 16° SAG
2023 12 12 (Tue) = SUN @ 20° SAG = New Moon
2023 12 16 (Sat) = SUN @ 24° SAG
2023 12 28 (Thu) = SUN @ 06° CAP
2024 01 02 (Tue) = Sun @ 11° CAP
Solar Ephemeris.
Tuesday, June 20, 2023
L.H. Weston - Gann’s Professor | Hans Hannula
I've been told that Gann was very private about his office. He absolutely forbid anyone from entering it. He wanted to protect his secrets. But one document he kept in his safe. That document was a manuscript by Professor Weston of Washington, D. C. It was written in 1921 (part 1) and 1923 (part 2), four to six years before Gann published his Tunnel Thru the Air, Or Looking Back From 1940, Tunnel Thru the Air contains, in coded form, Gann’s explanation of how to use planetary cycles to trade stocks and commodities.
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He told his own family that it was all they ever needed to learn his market secrets. Many Gann students have labored very long and hard (yes, me, too) to decode Gann's writing. Gann loved to write in the abstract style of the Biblical mystics, whom he admired. Much of what is written in the Bible is information about planetary cycles. It is hidden in census counts, symbolic imagery, and heavily coded to escape notice of the casual reader. While one can dig out this material, it takes time, an ephemeris, and a lot of work. Gann had it much easier. What you are about to read is the paper Gann kept in his safe.
Take your time and read it carefully. It’s one of the best papers ever written on the market.
After you read it, I'll point out some interesting things about it.
[...] First, this is clearly the foundation of Gann’s use of the 10 year cycle, and its multiples. Second, this is historically a fairly early use of Fourier sequences, and far more mathematical than just using financial astrology. This is no surprise, since it is well known that Gann was a very good mathematician. It is also a source of many of his ideas that market movements follow geometric rules.
[...] It is also quite interesting that Weston actually proposed two different versions of the ten year pattern. The first is his computation, using 50 years of data, of a series composed of 20 , 28, 10, and 14 month components, to which he adds a Venus term. In this system he cites use of heliocentric positions. We'll call this first method "Weston’s Curve’.
A most interesting point made in this method is Weston’s discovery that the planetary cycles tend to slip to synchronize with the earth’s annual cycle. I discovered this in my own work, and was sure it was an original discovery. So much for that vanity!
The second method I call “Weston’s Snowflake.” In it he proposes a sequence of turning points in the Jupiter-Saturn cycle that divides it into 10 irregular parts. Interestingly, Weston claims that this is a geocentric system. We'll show in a moment that it was not. But this “false lead” may have been intended for those whom Weston feared would learn his secret. Gann obviously made good use of Weston’s methods.
A most interesting point made in this method is Weston’s discovery that the planetary cycles tend to slip to synchronize with the earth’s annual cycle. I discovered this in my own work, and was sure it was an original discovery. So much for that vanity!
The second method I call “Weston’s Snowflake.” In it he proposes a sequence of turning points in the Jupiter-Saturn cycle that divides it into 10 irregular parts. Interestingly, Weston claims that this is a geocentric system. We'll show in a moment that it was not. But this “false lead” may have been intended for those whom Weston feared would learn his secret. Gann obviously made good use of Weston’s methods.
[... Weston used] the 0, 18, 54, 90, 126, and 180 degree points of the Jupiter-Saturn cycle as turns. One can quickly see the problem with using this geocentrically. Almost all of the points are triple points, as the earth moves around the sun, giving multiple views from which to measure the angle between Jupiter and Saturn. The problem becomes one of which points to use.
[...] It took only one look at using this rule heliocentrically to convince me that Weston used it that way. Obviously, W. D. Gann watched these outer configurations to be alert for the deviations they might cause in the Jupiter-Saturn cycle. You are advised to do the same.
Quoted from:
Hans Hannula (1993) - Gann's Greatest Secret.
See also:
L.H. Weston (1921 & 1923) - Being a Treatise on the Geometrical or Chart System of Forecasting in which is explained the principles of the art, and, in this lesson no. 1, giving demonstration with the price curve of potatoes in U.S.
Thursday, November 19, 2015
Saturday, July 11, 2015
Forecasting the NYSE with the Jupiter-Saturn Cycle | L.H. Weston
[...] Diagram A is designed to show the curve of influence produced on stock market prices by the varying angular distances of Jupiter from conjunction or opposition with Saturn. It will be seen that at 0 years and 0°, which is supposed to represent the time of geocentric conjunction and opposition of the planets, the dotted curve, which is our composite price of stock in the 10-year cycle, starts a little below the mean circle; then late in year 1 when distance is about 18° between the planets it goes to maximum height; then drops low in middle of year 3 at 54°; rises to late in year 5 or 90°; drops soon to a little late in the 7th year at 126°; rises slowly to past the 9th year or 162°; lastly, comes to a little below the mean again at 10 years, 180°, same as at beginning. Then at 180° another 10-year cycle starts and repeats this movement, and so on to eternity. It is thus seen, by the dotted curve in this diagram that Jupiter and Saturn cause maximum and minimum prices in the stock market when their geocentric angular distances between each other are about as follows:
Max. Min.
18° 54°
90° 126°
162° 180° and 0°
18° 54°
90° 126°
162° 180° and 0°
This dotted curve shows positively that the planetary influence is what we call harmonic, meaning a wave-like motion, fixed in angular position like the crystals of a snow flake (hydrogen at low temperature) with 2 minor axis that join at 72°, as illustrated by the central part of diagram A." [pp. 35-36]
 |
| See also HERE |
General consensus within the astro-financial community traces the primary development of modern financial astrology to around the 1920s, when W.D. Gann mentioned a planet for the first time in a 1921 Forecasting Course and Professor J.H. Weston self published his breakthrough work 'Forecasting the New York Stock Market' (manuscript, no binding, 47 pages). Also in the early 1920s Sepharial produced most of his known 'Arcana' or 'Keys' to the markets, though he stated in his advertisements that these systems had been in development since 1898. However Professor Weston represents the earliest application of Fourier Sequences to market analysis, by breaking down component cycle waves and combining them to produce a composite model.
J.H. Weston was a regular contributor to Frederick White's journal 'The Adept' (e.g. HERE) and also one of the first to propose a 'Decennial Cycle' theory, actually with two different versions of the ten year pattern. The first is his computation based on 50 years of data, of a series composed of 14, 20 and 28 months, called the Venus term and based upon the heliocentric system. The second is a sequence which divides the Jupiter-Saturn cycle into 10 irregular parts, but follows the geocentric system. Professor Weston was a great influence on W.D. Gann, implied by his manuscript being locked in Gann's safe, and he may have been the one who introduced Gann to Fourier cycle theory, providing Gann with the foundation for his 10 year cycle with its multiples.
The Adept - The American Journal of Astrology (V20 N10 Oct 1920 - V21 N9 Sep 1921)
Tuesday, September 30, 2014
The Birth of BABA
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| HERE |
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| HERE |
After some delays matching the huge volume of buy and sell orders, the first trade of Alibaba took place at 11.54 a.m. (HERE).
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| HERE |
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| HERE |
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| HERE |
Wednesday, January 30, 2013
Jupiter Turning Direct = Short Term High
2013-01-30 (Wed) = JUP (D) = Level 3
2013-01-30 (Wed) = SUN 090 SAT = Level 2
2013-01-30 (Wed) = VEN 090 URA [helio]
2013-01-30 (Wed) = 89 CD from 2012-11-02 H
2013-01-31 (Thu) = ITD #4 (HIGH) 2013-01-31 (Thu) = Tidal CIT
2013-01-31 (Thu) = AI 7
2013-01-31 (Thu) = MER 090 JUP [helio]
2013-01-31 (Thu) = VEN 000 PLU [helio]
See also HERE
Tuesday, November 6, 2012
SPX vs Lunar Cycle, Lunar Inclination & Bradley Index
[ 40.7000° N, 74.0150° W ]
2012-10-29 15:50 EDT Full Moon
2012-11-06 19:36 EST Last Quarter
2012-11-13 17:08 EST New Moon = Total Solar Eclipse
2012-11-20 09:32 EST First Quarter
2012-11-28 09:47 EST Full Moon = Penumbral Lunar Eclipse
2012-12-06 10:32 EST Last Quarter
2012-12-13 03:42 EST New Moon
Mercury's Declination out of Bound
11.01.2012 TH - 11.07.2012 WD (more HERE)
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