Showing posts with label 17 Year Cycle. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 17 Year Cycle. Show all posts

Monday, December 15, 2014

DJIA 2014 vs 1997

Calculated and charted with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution.
For the methodology see HERE
www.sentimentrader.com

The Stock Trader's Almanac Blog presented December’s typical seasonal pattern pointing to a bottom in stocks this week, possibly Monday, followed by a strong up day and then a nice rally.

www.stocktradersalmanac.com

Wednesday, April 11, 2012

W.D. Gann's Cycles for Stock Market, Soybeans & Corn



In the stock market and commodity courses that W.D. Gann published during the 1930's he had a section on cycles. Gann listed his major cycles as:

82 to 90 Years, 60 Years, 45 Years, 30 Years, and 20 Years

Some analysts state that Gann's 60-Year Cycle was his "Master Time Factor" because it is twice his 30-Year Cycle and three times his 20-Year Cycle.

Gann listed his minor cycles as:

10 Years, 5 Years, 3 Years, 2 Years, and 1 Year.

Gann taught his students to go back in time to see what the market under study was doing 82 to 90 years ago, 60 years ago, 45 years ago etc. This method of Gann Cycle Analysis is quite useful as it gives one a roadmap of what pattern may unfold during the coming year or so.

If one finds in the market under analysis the pattern that unfolded 60 years ago has comparisons to the pattern that unfolded 30 years ago, or 20 years ago, the probabilities favor a comparable pattern unfolding at the current time.

However, there are additional ways to use Gann's Cycles. Smaller intervals of Gann's Cycles are useful tools as they align with highs, lows, and accelerations.

One-fifth (the 17-year cycle) divisions of Gann's 84-Year Cycle regularly align with major highs and lows in stocks. The depression era low of July 1932 to the beginning of the post WW II bull market in 1949 is 17 years. The low of 1949 to the high of 1966 is another 17 years. From early 1966 to August 1982, it is 17 years. August 1982 to January 2000 is another 17 years. January 2000 to December 2016 will be another 17 years.

Obviously, the one-fifth (17-year) division of Gann's 84-Year Cycle is quite important in the stock market.

Various intervals of Gann's smaller cycles are just as significant.

Let's now look at Gann's 84-Year Cycle in soybean prices.

This chart shows the sawtooth, high-low pattern of one-sixth divisions of Gann's 84-Year Cycle in soybeans. In soybeans, measurements of Gann's 84-Year Cycle are taken from the spike high in soybean prices of February 1, 1918. One revolution of the 84-Year Cycle completed at the historic low of October 2001. It is amazing that after 84- Years, this interval of the cycle continues to align with historic highs and lows.

The 84-Year Cycle shows there is a one-third division to the lows and a one-third division to the highs. The only exception to the sawtooth pattern was the historical low of October 2001. The probabilities favor the turning point in 2016 will revert to the pattern and be a significant low.

Let us now take a look at smaller divisions of the 84-Year Cycle in soybeans. This chart shows an approximate 48 to 50 Week Interval of Gann's 84-Year Cycle measured from February 1, 1918.

... A major bull market in beans began on June 8, 2010 just as this interval of Gann's 84-Year Cycle bottomed and turned up.

Thursday, March 8, 2012

May 2013 = Bull Market High


The chart below shows the 13-Year and the 17 Year Cycles discussed in Bradley Cowan’s book Pentagonal Time Cycle Theory (p. 86 HERE) . It projects a bull market high to May 2013.

The 17-Year Cycle indicates that after a major high in 2013 there will be a bear market. The Major Low of June 1949 will compare to a Major Low around December 2016. From the low of June 1949, stocks entered into the great post World War II bull market that lasted for 17-Years. From that low in December 2016 a 17-Year major bull market comparable to 1949-1966 and 1982-2000 is due.

"Mark Of The Beast" Cycle of 666 Weeks (12.8 Years)


Here is wisdom. Let him that hath understanding count the number of the beast: for it is the number of a man; and his number is Six hundred threescore and six (Revelation 13:18)

The ancient Hebrew writers of the Bible were master astrologers and undoubtedly aware of the cyclicity of panics. Living with the Chaldeans in ancient Babylonia for many years, St. John brought this base of knowledge with him when he warned in the Book of Revelation to beware the number of the Beast, 666.

This is one of the most reliable stock market cycles. Every 666 weeks it rocks the stock market with panics. 1962, 1974, 1987, and 2000 were just a few examples. This cycle has a clear astronomical correlation with the Golden Triangle and the Great Pentagram identified in this book.

The chart below is showing the 13 and 17-year cycles. Since 1915, these two cycles alone accounted for many of the largest panics and bottoms in the stock market. They are very reliable and directly correlated with a fractal planetary arrangement of the inner and outer planets on the Great Pentagram.

[see Bradley Cowan http://www.cycle-trader.com/pentagonal.htm]