Bear markets are defined by a market decline of 20% and more. It’s a fact that since its March 2009 low, with 82 months and a performance of 220%, the DJIA now trades in its 4th longest and 5th strongest bull market since 1900. So from this angle alone we suggest the 2009 bull cycle has reached a mature stage [...] since 1937 the average downside in a 7-year cycle decline was 34%.
[...] As of 2017, gold could profit from the US dollar moving in a major top and starting a bear market [...] In 2015, the bounce in gold was weaker than expected. However, in all these cases we made it clear that we just expect a bear market rally before resuming its dominant cyclical bear trend. Generally, our cyclical roadmap and our long-term call on gold of the last few years has not changed. A potential bottom in 2016 bottom could be a rather powerful bottom, since together with a four-year cycle low we have also an eight-year cycle low projection for this year. In this context we expect a potential 2016 low in gold to be the basis of a new multi-year bull market. Source: UBS (Jan 06, 2016)
Showing posts with label Bear Market. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bear Market. Show all posts
Friday, January 8, 2016
DJIA In 4th Longest Bull Market Since 1900 - UBS: Sell Stocks, Buy Gold!
Labels:
Bear Market,
Bull Market,
DJIA,
Gold,
UBS,
US-Stocks
Wednesday, September 30, 2015
Contrarian Riddle
The one sentiment reading that is NOT contrarian just turned bearish (above 50 = bullish, below = bearish) ... Source: Market Vane via @Not_Jim_Cramer |
... while FT covers like this one reliably show up when market bottoms are close-by or already in. |
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)