Current market cycles suggest near-term weakness across the NASDAQ, S&P 500, and Dow Jones. The same pattern that accurately forecasted last April’s rally now points to a pullback.
» Expect weakness in Bitcoin, gold, and stocks in the near term. Not a bear market yet,
but caution is warranted. Cycles and fundamentals together suggest a pullback is ahead. «
The 255-day S&P cycle, which has consistently identified past buy and sell points, indicates we are in a weak phase lasting into spring 2026, with the next major buying opportunity around the turn of the year.
» The S&P has a 255-day cycle. Historically, it has nailed buy and sell points
remarkably well. Right now, we are in the weak part of that cycle. «
This weakness is not expected to trigger a crash, but rather a corrective phase after a strong run, followed by a probable year-end rally. The 2025 forecast of a bullish trend and March buying opportunity proved accurate; the 2026 outlook projects early weakness, then a recovery.
Fundamentally, stocks are overvalued relative to bonds and gold, historically a precursor to declines. This reinforces caution, even without technical confirmation.
» Yes, maybe some weakness—but nothing like 1929 or 1970.
So, I wouldn’t jump to Dalio’s conclusions. «
In summary: expect a corrective phase in equities, with parallel declines in gold and Bitcoin, but no imminent bear market. Year-end rally potential remains, and cycles continue to provide reliable foresight.
Reference:
Larry Williams (September 24, 2025) - Old Dogs, New Tricks: Bitcoin and Gold, and what's next for stocks. (video)
Larry Williams (September 24, 2025) - Old Dogs, New Tricks: Bitcoin and Gold, and what's next for stocks. (video)
17:19 - NASDAQ, S&P 500, Dow Jones
20:33 - Stocks Overvalued and 80 Year Cycle?
The 13-Week Cycle in Stocks.
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