S&P 500 Seasonal Pattern for the Presidential Election Cycle 2024 - 2027.
4 Year Presidential Cycle in line with the Decennial Cycle.
4 Year Presidential Cycle in line with the Decennial Cycle.
The chart above is an attempt to marry the decennial cycle with the four-year presidential election cycle by creating a composite of all US presidential elections that took place since 1900 in the fourth year of a decade (1904, 1924, 1944, 1964, 1984, 2004).
S&P 500 Seasonal Pattern for the Election Year 2024.
S&P 500 Seasonal Pattern for October of the Election Year 2024.
The 5th year is by far the best year of the decennial cycle. In the Dow Jones Industrial Average out of the last 14 "5th years", 12 were up averaging a return of 26% per year. The only two 5th years that have ever been negative in the history of the DJIA were 2005 (-0.61%) and 2015 (-2.2%).
See also: