Showing posts with label Larry Pesavento. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Larry Pesavento. Show all posts

Friday, November 15, 2024

Planetary Declinations as a Tool for Identifying Market Turning Points in 2025

The assumption is that extreme declinations—particularly lunar ones—represent potent energy points. The nature and magnitude of declination effects are linked to the market's position within the daily and weekly market maker cycles. This idea was elaborated upon in the works of W.D. Gann, George Bayer, Patrick Mikula, and Larry Pesavento. Below are several excerpts and charts that highlight the relationship between planetary declinations and market behavior:

 » Every parallel or contra-parallel is very important to the strength of a business chart. «
Kaye Shinker (2006) - The Textbook for Financial Astrology – Part 1.

W.D. Gann (1927) - 'Tunnel Thru the Air
In 1994, Bonnie Lee Hill presented a lecture on Gann’s book 'Tunnel Thru the Air'. She pointed out that "many hidden references to declination" appear throughout Gann’s writings. Hill focused on the repeating patterns related to declinations in Gann’s trading strategy, particularly in his analysis of cotton trading. She noted, "Today we will concentrate on the declination of the Moon – 0 South, 0 North, maximum South, and maximum North." Hill explained that Gann bought cotton when the Moon was at 0 South declination during a bull market, marking a bottom 80% of the time. She also observed that Gann sold cotton when the Moon was again at 0 South declination, signaling the market’s shift.

George Bayer (1939) – 'Preview of Markets'
Bayer describes how each planet’s declination has a unique effect on markets. He states, "Saturn crossing southward over Sun in Declination has always one effect upon wheat, but quite a different effect compared to Mercury or Venus doing it." According to Bayer, slower-moving planets like Saturn and Jupiter have a stronger influence on trends, while Mercury and Venus cause more minor fluctuations.

Bayer also noted that ancient texts from Confucius, Buddha, Mohammed, and others indicated knowledge of planetary movements, including Mercury's declination and its effects on humankind. He suggests that anyone not using planetary lines will miss crucial cycles of repetition, and after charting declinations, one can observe their impact on commodities like wheat, noting 0° positions for further analysis.
 
S&P 500 vs. Declination of Mercury and Venus:
Parallel of Declination.
 
S&P 500 vs. Inclination of the Moon.
Mikula explains that while Gann used planetary declinations, evidence from 'How to Make Profits Trading in Commodities' shows that Gann's primary focus was the Moon. Mikula's "RULE 1" advises that when the Moon reaches zero degrees declination, traders should look for other astrological events on the same day, as these often coincide with trend changes and can mark the top or bottom of minor price swings.

Patrick Mikula (1996) – 'Gann’s Scientific Methods Unveiled – Volume 2'
Mikula further asserts that Gann correlated price movements with declinations. He mentions that Gann's charts included the declinations of the Sun, Mars, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune, though Uranus and Neptune were discontinued in 1939. For the period between 1938 and 1941, Gann also plotted geocentric Venus, Mercury, and, later, Pluto.

Declination is tied to the celestial equator, Latitude to the ecliptic plane.

Larry Pesavento (1996) – 'Astro Cycles – The Trader’s Viewpoint' 
Pesavento ranks lunar phases in order of importance for short-term stock and commodity timing, with maximum/minimum and 0° declination being the most crucial. He asserts that once a market begins to turn on a specific lunar phenomenon (such as apogee or maximum declination), it remains predictable for at least one or two lunar cycles.

Larry Pesavento (1997) – 'Harmonic Vibrations' 
At the end of this book, Pesavento mentions a powerful signal he discovered that works incredibly well—"Lunar Declinations and Mercury aspects." However, he notes that traders must find the exact signal themselves, offering only hints for further exploration.

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Declinations of the Sun, Moon, and Planets in 2025.

Declinations Q4, 2024.

Declinations Q1, 2025.

Declinations Q2, 2025.

Declinations Q3, 2025.
 
Declinations Q4, 2025.
 
2025 Declination of the Moon.
 
More detailed declination ephemerides can be found, for example, [HERE],  [HERE], and  [HERE]

Monday, December 11, 2023

Geocentric Bradley Barometer │ Turning Points in 2024


2023 Nov 13 (Mon) = High
2023 Dec 17 (Sun) = Low
2023 Dec 22 (Fri) = High
2024 Jan 04 (Thu) = Low
2024 Jan 13 (Sat) = High
2024 Jan 22 (Mon) = Low
2024 Jan 29 (Mon) = High
2024 Feb 09 (Fri) = Low
2024 Feb 13 (Tue) = High
2024 Feb 25 (Sun) = Low
2024 May 26 (Sun) = High
2024 Jun 11 (Tue) = Low
2024 Jun 29 (Sat) = High
2024 Aug 19 (Mon) = Low
2024 Aug 29 (Thu) = High
2024 Sep 07 (Sat) = Low
2024 Sep 14 (Sat) = High
2024 Sep 19 (Thu) = Low
2024 Sep 27 (Fri) = High
2024 Oct 01 (Tue) = Low
2024 Oct 05 (Sat) = High
2024 Oct 27 (Sun) = Low
2024 Nov 02 (Sat) = High
2024 Nov 13 (Wed) = Low
2024 Nov 25 (Mon) = High
2024 Dec 08 (Sun) = Low
2024 Dec 18 (Wed) = High
2024 Dec 26 (Thu) = Low

[ calculated and charted for New York City (EST / EDT) with Timing Solution ]

The very well‐known financial astrology indicator known as the Bradley Barometer [or Bradley Siderograph] was created by Donald Bradley in 1947. The theory was that what is happening up in the sky affects human behavior on earth, so Bradley created a barometer that was a combination of transits. By assigning positive values to positive transits and negative values to negative transits he created a weighted net sum oscillator graph. The Bradley also includes the declination of planets. The higher in the sky that a planet appears above the horizon, the more positive the value. The lower in the sky that a planet appears below the horizon, the more negative the value. This Bradley Barometer graph correlated well to the markets even though there was no known physical correlation. The Bradley does very well in forecasting the headwinds or tailwinds of long‐term market moves that can occur over many months […] In recent years, it has shown quite a number of failures. This may be due to a variety of factors. If the Bradley Barometer measures the natural organic flow of the market, then there are certainly external artificial influences that can diminish its effectiveness. Some of these factors may include high‐frequency trading and/or government interference through central bank stimulus. Artificial inflation will cause a market to rise regardless of transits. The market will still oscillate, but with an upward bias. Another important angle to consider about the Bradley is that it designed to be taken in the context of what is happening in the market. The Bradley Barometer is an oscillator. We all know that the market does not oscillate back and forth all the time.

Over the past century, the market has trended higher. However, in between, there are cyclical bull markets and bear markets and sometimes there are consolidation periods. Everything forecast must be taken in its relative context to current market conditions. In a bull market, the down periods in the Bradley may simply mark sideways consolidation periods. It is useful to think of negative planetary transits in the face of a bull market as being nothing more than headwinds that are just a pause in the uptrend. It also follows that in a bull market the periods of the Bradley may mark the largest bull runs. In bear markets, the positive runs in the Bradley model serve as just pauses in the selling. The negative drops in the Bradley mark periods of intense selling in the market. In neutral markets, the Bradley tends to mirror market movement like an oscillator. nevertheless, the Bradley is a very popular model to this day, and many financial astrologers still use it as a backbone to get an overall picture of what the market is doing or what it made do in the future.

 
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Also consider:
New Moons typically mark beginnings of cycles, and Full Moons mark completions. 
In bull markets, New Moons are bottoms, and Full Moons are tops. 
In bear markets, New Moons are tops, and Full Moons are bottoms. 
More often than not, stocks will rise from around the 7th to around the 14th calendar day of a month, 
fall from the 14th to the 20th, and rise from the 20th to the 25th.
Major Red News Releases (NFP, CPI, PPI, PMI, FOMC etc.) and Options Expiration Dates (especially Quad and Triple Witching)
may delay or cancel typical cyclical market behavior and astro signals.

Tuesday, August 14, 2012

Geocentric Bradley Index Signal = August 13th (+/- 1 CD)

Donald A. Bradley (1950): Stock Market Prediction.
The Planetary Barometer and How to Use it.
Original

publication by the Llewellyn George Foundation for
Astrological Research; 43 pp.
In 1947 Donald Bradley wrote a small pamphlet titled Stock Market Predictions and sold it for the  astronomical price of $4.00, which in 1947 dollars was quite a bit. Bradley took the 12 planets and gave them a positive or negative rating. From this rating, he produced a sidereal graph that gave a trend for the stock market for the next year, and the next, and the next. In fact, it could go out hundreds of years. The pamphlet had only one year of the stock market (1946), but it  illustrated how well the correlation of his model to the actual price pattern worked for that year.

Unfortunately, no one ever followed up for years, and his work fell into obscurity until 1986 when Jim Twentyman and Larry Pesavento began looking at the Bradley model. They had all of the stock market data on the NYSE from 1876 (10 years after the civil war) through 1986. A 110-year sample size was statistically accurate enough to test Bradley’s theory. The results were quite amazing. Over the past 130 years (since 1876), the correlation is better than 70 percent. Remember that this model can be done years in advance. It is one small indication that the planets may have some say in what happens in the markets.

Although the
Bradley Index shows some excellent correlations between naturally occurring cycles and the stock markets, certain caveats must be mentioned:
(1) It has a tendency to invert (be a mirror image of) the regular model at certain times during the year. Sometimes, there are as many as three inversions in a year while, at other times, there are no inversions, and the model correlates quite well. Inversions can be a problem, but they also present an opportunity because the exact Bradley date (calendar date) has a very high probability of being near a significant trend change, plus or minus one day, better than 80 percent of the time.
(2) The second caveat relates to the fact that it is NOT a trading system; it is a guideline for what financial markets may or may not do between the Bradley dates. Practical experience has shown that, when the Bradley model is working, it behooves the trader to pay attention to the high correlation existing at that time.
However, when it is not correlating, it should be viewed with skepticism. So, it was never meant to be a trading system. In fact, it is still an unproven theory.

(above text is based on A Stock Market Model That "Shoots for the Stars" by Larry Pesavento, 2006)


2012-07-27 (Fri)
2012-08-13 (Mon)
2012-08-24 (Fri)