Saturday, November 7, 2015

S&P 500 vs Inverted 4 Lunar Month Cycle

 
At times inversions in the 4 Lunar Year Cycle overlap with inversions in the Lunar Year Cycle and 4 Lunar Month Cycle. The result is conflict and confusion in the short-term Delta count. The problem with the above inverted Delta count for the SPX is of course that the Russell 2000 closed the last week on a high. 
 
The Delta count for the Russell 2000 suggests a continuation of the up-move into Nov 11 (Wed) followed by a decline into Nov 23 (Mon). This outlook is supported by the 4 lunar month rotation in the VIX where stochastics hint to further decline. 
 
Nov 11 is also New Moon and a turn day in the SoLunar Map. Again, a high in the SoLunar Map usually corresponds with a short-term stock market low.
  
 
Erin Heim (Nov 05, 2015) - The S&P 100 (OEX) just received a new Long-Term Trend Model BUY signal. This signal generated when the 50-EMA crossed back above the 200-EMA. The Annual Cycle, the Presidential Cycle, and the Decennial Cycle are all strong into mid December, while the latter two project a major low in Q1 2016 followed by new market highs. This would be in line with Louise McWhirter's Theory of Stock Market Forecasting.