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Showing posts with label Seasonality. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Seasonality. Show all posts
Wednesday, September 2, 2026

September Stock Market Performance in Midterm Election Years | Jeff Hirsch

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Since 1950, September has historically delivered bearish stock market performance across major indexes, with all-year averages dropping 0.6%...
Wednesday, August 26, 2026

Third-to-Last Trading Day of August: 90.5% Bullish Record | Jeff Hirsch

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August's third-to-last trading day is a calendar favorite for the bulls. Over the past 21 years, the S&P 500 has risen 19 times—a 90...
Saturday, August 22, 2026

Price Performance vs. Zodiac Signs, Lunar Phase & Mercury Retrograde

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S&P 500 (SPX) performance by color-shaded Zodiac Signs (2016–2026), New Moon, Full Moon and rosa-shaded Mercury Retrograde periods.   S...
Thursday, July 30, 2026

The Turn-of-the-Month Effect: A Century of Empirical Evidence

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The tur n-of-the-month (TOM) stock market anomal y , where returns cluster heavily around month-end and early-month trading days, is valida...
Tuesday, July 28, 2026

Presidential Cycle Sweet Spot: Post-Midterm Election Gains | Seth Golden

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Buying the S&P 500 on US midterm election day and holding until June 30 of the following year has produced positive returns in every ins...
Saturday, July 25, 2026

August Stock Market Performance in Midterm Election Years | Jeff Hirsch

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The chart isolates August performance across Trump's first term (2017–2020), 2025, and the 2018 midterm. Returns have exceeded August...
Tuesday, July 14, 2026

July OpEx Since 1990: Friday –0.35%, Then Stabilization | Jeff Hirsch

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Since 1990, July options expiration has been choppy, with the weakest performance on expiration Friday: DJIA and S&P 500 average –0.35%,...
Monday, June 29, 2026

25-0 S&P 500 Setup for June 26 to July 15 | Wayne Whaley

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After the S&P 500 fell 1.95% in the week of June 19-26, historical analysis identified the 25 closest matching weeks from the past 50 ye...

Silver Outlook 2026: 40-Week Cycle Low and $48–$49 Retest | Namzes

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The August 2025 projection is pointing to a low forming around now, with the pink area representing the out-of-sample forecast.  Concurrentl...
Sunday, June 28, 2026

Oil Outlook 2026: Navigating the Upcoming 40-Week Cycle Low | Namzes

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18-Month Cycle & Major Lows : The 18-month cycle low that I was anticipating for mid-December 2025 arrived right on schedule (see middle...
Thursday, June 25, 2026

July Stock Market Performance in Midterm Election Years | Jeff Hirsch

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Historically one of the market's stronger months, July typically sees a consistent upward trend across all major indexes (solid lines)...