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Showing posts with label Presidential Cycle. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Presidential Cycle. Show all posts
Monday, April 20, 2026

DJIA 2026 vs Top Three Midterm Correlated Years Since 1886 | @Fiorente2

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Plotting all 35 midterm-election years for the DJIA since 1886, the spread of outcomes is enormous: In difficult midterm years, the DJIA has...
Wednesday, March 25, 2026

April Stock Market Performance in Midterm Election Years | Jeff Hirsch

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Over the past 21 years (solid lines in the chart below), April has exhibited a pattern of steady gains starting around April 7 (Tue)(Trading...
Wednesday, February 25, 2026

March Stock Market Performance in Midterm Election Years | Jeff Hirsch

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Beginning on March 2 (Mon) (Trading Day 1) , the US stock market historically follows two distinct paths. Over the recent 21-year period (s...
Tuesday, January 27, 2026

February Stock Market Performance in Midterm Election Years | Jeff Hirsch

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According to the specific midterm data (1950–2022) indicated by the dotted lines on the chart below, the  market typically begins with weakn...
Wednesday, January 21, 2026

2026 S&P 500 Composite: Seasonal, Presidential & Decennial Cycles | NDR

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The S&P 500 Cycle Composite for 2026, developed by Ned Davis Research , is a predictive model aggregating historical seasonal, presiden...
Wednesday, January 7, 2026

January Stock Market Performance in Midterm Election Years | Jeff Hirsch

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January during midterm election years opens strong across the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Russell 2000. All of th...
Thursday, January 1, 2026

2026 US Stock Market Forecast: 25% Bear Market and Recovery | Namzes

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My base case for 2026 is a sharp but ultimately corrective bear market—approximately a 25% drawdown—followed by a meaningful recovery into y...
Monday, December 29, 2025

2026 Midterm Election Year Seasonal Patterns of US Indices | Jeff Hirsch

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Within the four-year presidential cycle, the midterm year represents the weakest phase for equities. It is characterized by low single-digit...