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Showing posts with label Contrarianism. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Contrarianism. Show all posts
Monday, August 17, 2026

Margin Debt Hits Record Then Drops: Classic Late-Cycle Sign | Branimir Vojcic

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Latest FIN RA data published in mid-August show  that US margin debt fell to $1.42T in July 2026 after reaching a record $1.50T in June, ma...
Saturday, August 8, 2026

BofA Bull & Bear Indicator Hits 9.7—Extreme Greed Signals Sell

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On August 5 (Wed), BofA's Hartnett Bull & Bear Indicator hit 9.7, up from 9.4 and its highest level since 2021—a strong contrarian s...
Thursday, August 6, 2026

S&P 500 Hits New ATH as Smart Money Starts Bailing

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With the S&P 500 reaching a new all-time high in early August 2026, a pronounced contrarian bearish divergence has emerged among market ...
Monday, July 6, 2026

Record-Low Skew: Crash Insurance for Pennies Signals Top | Thierry Borgeat

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The S&P put/call skew just collapsed to 0.71. Not a low. The lowest reading on record. The 10-year average is 12. The 2020 panic peaked ...
Thursday, May 7, 2026

Record Systematic Shorts: Profit-Taking Pullback Ahead | Seth Golden

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Goldman Sachs' chart, which tracks the rolling one-month change in positioning among systematic traders—primarily rule-based funds, incl...
Monday, May 4, 2026

Hedge Funds Dump Tech, While Retail Piles Into QQQ | Jason Goepfert

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Hedge funds sold US tech stocks at the second-most aggressive pace in a decade (largest net selling since 2021), according to Goldman Sachs ...
Monday, April 27, 2026

S&P 500 Dumb Money Confidence Enters Extreme Optimism | Alex Krainer

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S&P 500  Dum p Money Confidence  (red line) has risen above 70%, signaling extreme optimism historically linked to consolidations or pul...
Friday, March 27, 2026

Classic S&P 500 Smart Money vs Dumb Money Rebound Setup | Alex Krainer

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A contrarian signal is flashing for the S&P 500 near 6,477. Sma rt Money Confidence (blue line) is climbing to 0.6 while Dum b Money Co...
Saturday, March 21, 2026

S&P 500 – Bearish Structure and 7% Downside Setup | Justin Bennett

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On the 4 hour chart, a bearish  Bre ak of Structure (BoS)  confirms sellers remain in control, so the focus stays on short setups. Just bel...
Saturday, July 5, 2025

The NAAIM Index vs the S&P 500 | Branimir Vojcic

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The NAA IM (National Association of Active Investment Managers) Index is at about a level which in the past resulted in corrections.     Br...