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The yield curve—measured here using the 10-Year US Treasury Note minus the 1-Year US Treasury Bill—has been steepening since reaching maximu...

Bit coin futures were first included in the weekly COT Report in 2017 , and were quiet early on. In most futures, the "commercial...

The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell last week following coordinated US–Japan intervention in the yen. The drop pushed DXY back below the 100.50 s...

As of March 6, 2026, the VIX futures market is in extreme backwardation. The spo t VIX has surpassed the highest futures contract by mor...

The S&P 500 in 20 24 closely mirrors its performance in 19 80 , the year Ronald Reagan defeated Jimmy Carter in the presidential electi...

The Presidential Cycle Pattern suggests that the stock market tends to follow similar patterns during the same points in prior presidential ...

The 3-month VIX relative to the VIX (VIX3M/VIX) is below 1.0 and currently oversold. This tactical sentiment indicator signals fear heading ...

Volume in VIX puts was more than two times that of calls on Friday. That's one of the highest turnovers in 15 years. It has typically sp...

Strong NYSE breadth says liquidity is plentiful. A higher number of advancing stocks suggests bullish sentiment,  more declining stocks bear...

The final stats are in for fiscal year 2024, and the federal debt in the U.S. grew by $2.297 trillion versus a year earlier, and as of Septe...

For this study, summer is defined as the three months from June to August. Historically, the S&P 500 index tends to show modest performa...

One of the big picture forecasting tools is crude oil prices as a leading indication for the overall stock market. The first chart shows cru...

I have been writing about the Presidential Cycle Pattern since 1994, using the pattern which is derived from averaging together SP500 pric...

This is a FOR REAL breakout in Gold. Goldfinger points to a target range of 2,530 to 2,700.   Peter L. Brandt @ Twitter/X (Mar 06, 2024)   J...

Valentina V. Zharkova ( 2016 ) - We will see it from 2020 to 2053, when the three next cycles will be of a very reduced magnetic field of th...

While the Nasdaq 100 already surged to a new all-time-high last Friday, the S&P 500 Index is still below the late January 2018 high. ...

Here is another Tom McClellan approach to forecast the stock market one year ahead: In the above chart the blue line represents the Comme...

Tom McClellan's approach projects a major high in US-stocks into around June 2018, and a major low into January 2019 (see also HERE ...

Tom McClellan ( Jul 27, 2012 ) - Sunspots are a big driver for wheat prices. Various pundits are putting out stories blaming the drought i...