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Showing posts with label Decennial Cycle. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Decennial Cycle. Show all posts
Wednesday, January 21, 2026

2026 S&P 500 Composite: Seasonal, Presidential & Decennial Cycles | NDR

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The S&P 500 Cycle Composite for 2026, developed by Ned Davis Research , is a predictive model aggregating historical seasonal, presiden...
Thursday, January 1, 2026

2026 US Stock Market Forecast: 25% Bear Market and Recovery | Namzes

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My base case for 2026 is a sharp but ultimately corrective bear market—approximately a 25% drawdown—followed by a meaningful recovery into y...
Monday, December 29, 2025

2026 Midterm Election Year Seasonal Patterns of US Indices | Jeff Hirsch

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Within the four-year presidential cycle, the midterm year represents the weakest phase for equities. It is characterized by low single-digit...
Thursday, December 25, 2025

2026 Market Forecast: Cycles, Risks, and Opportunities | Larry Williams

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Professional bears and purveyors of pessimism often emerge at this time of year with gloom-and-doom narratives. While there are indeed per...
Thursday, October 2, 2025

Unlocking the "Years-Ending-in-5" Market Signal | Jake Bernstein

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One of the most reliable patterns I’ve observed in markets appears in years ending in the number five. It is simple: take the January high o...

S&P 500 Year-End Outlook: Strong Seasonal Setup Targets 7100 | Jeff Hirsch

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The S&P 500 heads into Q4 with strong momentum after setting September all-time highs, a rare event that has almost always preceded year...
Saturday, September 27, 2025

S&P After 10%+ First Three Quarters and Positive September | Wayne Whaley

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Since 1950, whenever the S&P 500 gained 10% or more in the first three quarters and September was positive, the fourth quarter has histo...