John Hampson (2012) - Secular peaks in stocks occur around every
33 years, one luni-solar cycle, and occur close to the solar maximum. Secular commodities peaks also occur around every 33 years, one
luni-solar cycle, and occur close to the solar maximum.
A secular nominal bottom, panic or crash occurs within 2 years of a solar minimum.
Peaks in inflation correspond to solar
maximums, troughs to solar minimums. The biggest peaks in inflation
correspond to commodity bull market peaks, marked C. US inflation and UK
inflation shown.
Recessions follow solar cycle peaks, corresponding to the peaks in geomagnetism that lag solar maximums.
The 4 year period from solar minimum to
solar maximum is typically one of growth and strong stock market gains.
Crashes, panics and bottoms typically occur around solar minima.
US
secular stocks bulls last around 24 years, or 2 solar cycles.
Secular
commodity bulls last around 12 years, or 1 solar cycle.
Real (inflation-adjusted) stock prices are in a long term uptrend and follow a sine-wave of 33 year repetition.
Real (inflation-adjusted) commodities are
flat over the long term, and follow a sine-wave of 33 year repetition,
but of opposite polarity to stocks.
The Dow-Gold ratio is in a long term uptrend and also follows a sine-wave of 33 year repetition.
