Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Delta-Projection - Tides - Astro-Events (Nov 1 - Feb 1)

See also HERE

Tidal CITs
2012-10-27 (Sat)
2012-11-06-07 (Tue-Wed)
2012-11-14 (Wed)
2012-11-20-22 (Tue-Thu)
2012-11-25 (Sun)
2012-11-30 (Fri)
2012-12-06-07 (Thu-Fri)
2012-12-13-14 (Thu-Fri)
2012-12-21-23 (Fri-Sun)
2013-01-01-03 (Tue-Thu)
2013-01-06-07 (Sun-Mon)
2013-01-12-13 (Sat-Sun)
2013-01-20-21 (Sun-Mon)
2013-01-30-31 (Wed-Thu)
 


Delta Points since major low on June 4  (ITD - MTD - LTD - SLTD - XXLTD) 
2012-06-04 (Mon)ITD #3 LOW  = MTD #12 = LTD #8 = SLTD #4
2012-06-11 (Mon)ITD #4 HIGH
2012-06-12 (Tue)ITD #5 LOW
2012-06-20 (Wed)ITD #a HIGH 
2012-06-25 (Mon)ITD #b LOW
2012-07-06 (Fri)ITD #6 HIGH = MTD #1
2012-07-12 (Wed)ITD #7 LOW = MTD #2
2012-07-19 (Thu)ITD #c HIGH 
2012-07-24 (Thu)ITD #d LOW
2012-07-30 (Mon)ITD #8 HIGH 
2012-08-02 (Thu)ITD #9 LOW 
2012-08-08 (Wed)ITD #10 HIGH 
2012-08-11 (Wed)ITD #11 LOW
2012-08-21 (Tue)ITD #(11) HIGH = MTD #3
2012-09-04 (Tue)ITD #1 LOW = MTD #4
2012-09-14 (Fri) + 2012-09-21 (Fri)ITD #2 HIGH = MTD #5 = LTD #9 = SLTD #5 =
XXLTD #16
2012-09-26 (Wed)ITD #3 LOW
2012-10-05 (Fri)ITD #4 HIGH 
2012-10-12 (Fri)ITD #5 LOW
2012-10-18 (Fri)ITD #a HIGH 
2012-10-24 (Wed)ITD #b LOW 

Delta Projection 
2012-10-31 (Wed)ITD #6 HIGH 
2012-11-07 (Wed)ITD #7 LOW = MTD #6 ? = LTD #10 ? 
2012-11-14 (Wed)ITD #c HIGH 
2012-11-20 (Tue)ITD #d LOW
2012-11-26 (Mon)ITD #8 HIGH = MTD #7 ? = LTD #11
2012-11-28 (Wed)ITD #9 LOW 
2012-12-03 (Mon)ITD #10 HIGH
2012-12-13 (Thu)ITD #11 LOW 
2012-12-17 (Mon)ITD #(11) HIGH

        = start of INVERSION ZONE into ITD #3 January 21st

2013-01-02 (Wed) = ITD #1 (HIGH ?)
2013-01-09 (Wed) = ITD #x (LOW ?)
2013-01-11 (Fri) or 2013-01-17 (Thu) = ITD #2 (HIGH ? )
2013-01-21 (Mon) = ITD #3 (LOW ?)
2013-01-31 (Thu) = ITD #4 (HIGH ?)

Summary: Delta - Tides - Astro-Events
George Bayer-Rules, Miles Wilson Walker's SuperTiming CITs (MWW-CIT) & Ray Merriman's Cosmic Turn-Signatures (Level 1 = major CIT / Level 2 = intermediate CIT / Level 3 = shortterm CIT) 

2012-10-29 14:49 (Mon) = Full Moon

Market Closure due to Hurricane Sandy
 
2012-10-31 (Wed)ITD #6 HIGH 
2012-10-31 (Wed) = Bradley CIT [geo]
2012-10-31 15:51 (Wed) = VEN @ Perihelium [Bayer Rule 07]
2012-11-01 (Thu) = VEN 180° URA = Level 2
2012-11-01 10:09 (Thu) = Moon @ Apogee
2012-11-03 (Sat) = Bradley CIT [helio]
2012-11-03 (Sat) = VEN 90° PLU = Level 1
2012-11-06 17:39 (Tue) = MER (R) [Bayer Rule 01]

2012-11-07 (Wed)ITD #7 LOW = MTD #6 ? = LTD #10 ? 
2012-11-06 19:36 (Tue) = Third Quarter = Tidal CIT
2012-11-07 (Wed) = MER @ 358° [helio] = MWW-CIT
2012-11-07 00:00 (Wed) = MER-MAR speed dif 00°59’ [Bayer Rule 02]

2012-11-09 (Fri) = VEN 120° JUP = Level 2
2012-11-10 (Sat) = NEP (D)
2012-11-12 (Mon) = MAR 0° Galactic Center
2012-11-12 09:33 (Mon) = MER speed @ 00°59’ [Bayer Rule 27]

2012-11-14 (Wed)ITD c HIGH 
2012-11-14 (Wed) = Tidal CIT
2012-11-14 05:22 (Wed) = Moon @ Perigee
2012-11-13 17:08 (Tue) = New Moon = SuperMoon [new] = Solar Eclipse
2012-11-13 (Tue) = Bradley CIT [geo]

2012-11-17 06:21 (Sat) = MER @ halfway retrograde place [Bayer Rule 44]
2012-11-17 10:39 (Sat) = MER (R) conjunct SUN [Bayer Rule 22]

2012-11-20 (Tue)ITD d LOW
2012-11-20 09:31 (Tue) = First Quarter = Tidal CIT

2012-11-20 22:42 (Tue) = MER speed @ 00°59’ [Bayer Rule 27]
2012-11-22 (Thu) = SUN 90° NEP = Level 1
2012-11-22 (Thu) = VEN 120° NEP = Level 3
2012-11-22 (Thu) = MER @ 88° [helio] = MWW-CIT
2012-11-22 00:00 (Thu) = VEN helio Lat Max @ 3°23' [Bayer Rule 15]
2012-11-23 (Fri) = MAR 90° URA = Level 1

2012-11-26 (Mon)ITD #8 HIGH = MTD #7 ?  = LTD #11 ?
2012-11-25 (Sun) = Tidal CIT
2012-11-25 (Sun) = Bradley CIT [helio]
2012-11-25 00:00 (Sun) = MER-MAR speed dif 00°59’ [Bayer Rule 02]
2012-11-26 (Mon) = SUN 120° URA = Level 1
2012-11-26 (Mon) = MER (D)
2012-11-26 (Mon) = VEN 0° SAT = Level 2
2012-11-26 17:54 (Mon) = MER (D) [Bayer Rule 01]
2012-11-27 (Tue) = MAR 0° PLU  = Level 2

2012-11-28 (Wed)ITD #9 LOW 
2012-11-28 09:33 (Wed) = Full Moon = Lunar Eclipse
2012-11-28 14:35 (Wed) = Moon @ Apogee

2012-11-30 (Fri) = Tidal CIT

2012-12-03 (Mon)ITD #10 HIGH
2012-12-03 22:57 (Mon) = MER speed @ 00°59’ [Bayer Rule 27]

2012-12-06 10:31 (Thu) = Third Quarter 2012-12-06-07 (Thu-Fri) = Tidal CIT
2012-12-09 (Sun) = MER @ 178° [helio] = MWW-CIT

2012-12-13 (Thu)ITD #11 LOW 
2012-12-13 (Thu) = Tidal CIT
2012-12-13 08:42 (Thu) = New Moon = SuperMoon [new]
2012-12-13 (Thu) = URA [D]
2012-12-12 18:13 (Wed) = Moon @ Perigee

2012-12-17 (Mon)ITD #(11) HIGH
2012-12-17 (Mon) = Bradley CIT [helio]
2012-12-17 (Mon) = MER 180° JUP = MWW-CIT
2012-12-17 (Mon) =  ITD #(11) HIGH = MTD #7 ?   
2012-12-16 (Sun) = VEN 90° NEP = Level 3

2012-12-18 (Tue) = SUN 0° Galactic Center
2012-12-19 (Wed) = VEN 120° URA = Level 2
2012-12-20 00:19 (Thu) = First Quarter
2012-12-21 (Fri) = Tidal CIT
2012-12-21 (Fri) = Bradley CIT [geo]
2012-12-21 (Fri) = Winter Solstice
2012-12-22 (Sat) = VEN 180° JUP = Level 2

2012-12-25 (Tue) = SUN 90° URA = Level 1
2012-12-25 16:55 (Tue) = Moon @ Apogee
2012-12-27 (Thu) = Bradley CIT [geo]
2012-12-28 (Fri) = Bradley CIT [geo]
2012-12-28 05:21 (Fri) = Full Moon
2012-12-29 (Sat) = MER 0° Galactic Center
2012-12-30 (Sun) = SUN 0° PLU = Level 3
2012-12-31 (Mon) = Bradley CIT [geo]

2013-01-02 (Wed) ITD #1 (HIGH ?)
2013-01-02 (Wed) = Tidal CIT
2013-01-02 (Wed) = Earth @ Perihelion
2013-01-03 (Thu) = Bradley CIT [helio]
2013-01-04 (Fri) = Bradley CIT [geo]
2013-01-04 (Fri) = MAR 120° JUP = Level 2
2013-01-04 22:58 (Fri) = Third Quarter

2013-01-06 (Sun) = VEN 0° Galactic Center
2013-01-06-07 (Sun-Mon) = Tidal CIT
2013-01-07 (Mon) = MAR 90° SAT = Level 1
2013-01-07 (Mon) = MER @ 268° [helio] = MWW-CIT

2013-01-09 (Wed) ITD x (LOW ?)

2013-01-11 (Fri) or 2013-01-17 (Thu) = ITD #2 (HIGH ? )
2013-01-10 05:26 (Thu) = Moon @ Perigee
2013-01-11 (Fri) = VEN 120° URA [helio] = MWW-CIT
2013-01-11 14:44 (Fri) = New Moon
2013-01-12 (Sat) = VEN 90° URA = Level 2
2013-01-12-13 (Sat-Sun) = Tidal CIT
 
2013-01-13 (Sun) = Bradley CIT [helio]
2013-01-16 (Wed) = MER par VEN = MWW-CIT
2013-01-16 (Wed) = VEN 0° PLU = Level 1
2013-01-18 03:35 (Fri) = MER (R) conjunct SUN [Bayer Rule 22]
2013-01-18 18:45 (Fri) = First Quarter
2013-01-20 (Sun) = Bradley CIT [geo]
2013-01-20 (Sun) = Bradley CIT [helio]

2013-01-21 (Mon) ITD #3 (LOW ?)
2013-01-21 (Sun-Mon) = Tidal CIT
2013-01-22 06:03 (Tue) = Moon @ Apogee

2013-01-24 03:53 (Thu) = MAR @ Perihelium [Bayer Rule 07]
2013-01-25 (Fri) = SUN 120°JUP = MWW-CIT
2013-01-26 23:38 (Sat) = Full Moon
2013-01-28 (Mon) = Bradley CIT [helio]
2013-01-29 (Tue) = Bradley CIT [geo]
2013-01-30 (Wed) = JUP (D)
2013-01-30 (Wed) = SUN 90° SAT = Level 2

2013-01-31 (Thu) ITD #4 (HIGH ?)
2013-01-31 (Thu) = Tidal CIT
2013-01-31 11:22 (Thu) = MER @ halfway retrograde place [Bayer Rule 44]
2013-02-03 08:56 (Sun) = Third Quarter

Monday, October 29, 2012

SPX vs Planet’s Declinations out of Bound

Planet’s declinations exceeding the extremes of the Sun's declination (= ± 23.27⁰ geocentric or ±7.15⁰ heliocentric) often correlates with short term market turns.  

Mars went beyond - 23.27⁰ on October 26 (Fri), and Mercury will follow on November 6 (Sun). 

Mars' Declination out of Bound 
02.13.2010 SA - 03.15.2010 MO
11.19.2010 FR - 12.29.2010 WD
07.24.2011 SU - 08.22.2011 MO
10.26.2012 FR - 12.10.2012 MO
06.29.2013 SA - 08.03.2013 SA
09.29.2014 MO - 11.21.2014 FR
06.07.2015 SU - 07.17.2015 FR

Venus Declination out of Bound 

05.06.2010 TH - 06.08.2010 TU
11.14.2011 MO - 12.14.2011 WD
04.03.2012 TU - 06.04.2012 MO
05.24.2013 FR - 06.19.2013 WD
10.11.2013 FR - 12.07.2013 SA
12.02.2014 TU - 12.25.2014 TH
04.18.2015 SA - 06.02.2015 TU

Mercury's Declination out of Bound 

06.22.2010 TU - 07.06.2010 TU
11.14.2010 SU - 12.13.2010 MO
06.11.2011 SA - 06.28.2011 TU
11.06.2011 SU - 11.29.2011 TU
01.08.2012 SU - 01.21.2012 SA
05.31.2012 TH - 06.20.2012 WD
11.01.2012 TH - 11.07.2012 WD
12.27.2012 TH - 01.15.2013 TU
05.21.2013 TU - 06.13.2013 TH
12.17.2013 TU - 01.08.2014 WD
05.11.2014 SU - 06.05.2014 TH
12.07.2014 SU - 01.01.2015 TH


(Calculated and charted with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution). 

STD Red Week (Oct 29 - Nov 2)

www.chartsedge.com
While the S&P 500 futures continue to test support at 1400, Wallstreet's floor markets will be closed on Monday as New York braces for Hurricane Sandy

However,  STD Red Weeks are usually trenders from Tuesday a.m. to Friday a.m., that is: Monday and Friday usually reverse the Tuesday - Thursday trend. 

We expect a short term high around Full Moon (that is inverted to Mike Korell's forecast). If the typical Red-Week Pattern plays out, the low of the week should print by Thursday p.m. - Friday a.m., and will be followed by another decline with lower-lows into the Election-Week. As outlined earlier, the ITD suggests the high (some Elliott-Wave #4 or #2) could be reached as early as Tuesday-Wednesday (HERE).

This week includes the last 3 trading days of October and the first 2 trading days of November during the 4th year of the Presidential Cycle, and the bias of the S&P 500 in the Election Year Seasonal Chart is up. 

Tuesday, October 23, 2012

STD Blue Week - Update

For the week we expect some sort of a W-shape:

Monday (Oct 22) morning = High 

afternoon = Low
close = High of the Day
Tuesday (Oct 23) morning into noon = retest of Low, then up into the close 
Wednesday (Oct 24) = up 
Thursday (Oct 25) morning = High
Thursday (Oct 25) afternoon = retest of Lows, turn up into end of week


Monday, October 22, 2012

STD Blue Week (October 22 - 26)

STD Blue Days are usually choppy and tricky to trade. Statistically look back, STD Blue Days and STD Blue Weeks are M-shaped or W-shaped, and the loss-trades are above average. STD Red and Green days and weeks are much better for trends to work.

Monday - Tuesday, October 22-23, may turn out to be similar or inverse to Thursday - Friday of last week. Assuming there was no inversion on the STD-red day (Sunday, Oct 21), a ST-high on Monday, followed by another swing down into late Tuesday is likely. Also consider with past Blue Week patterns, especially 4 weeks back, 4 lunar months back, and 1 lunar year back.


www.chartsedge.com

As outlined HERE, the ITD #b Low is scheduled to develop around Oct 21-23, and should be followed by a rally into the ITD #6 High around Oct 29 = Full Moon.  

This forecast also matches Mike Korrell's latest projection (HERE), but contradicts the view of Francis Bussiere: ST high on Oct 24, down into Full Moon (HERE).

www.astrocycle.net

The McClellan Oscillators and Summation Indices for NYSE and Nasdaq both point to lower prices.

The $TRIN (NYSE - Short-Term trading Arms Index) had reached the upper Bollinger Band. This alone may suggest a bounce or reversal in equities. However, MACD and Stochastic have just turned up, and support the idea of a rising $TRIN, which is the continuation of the down-trend in stocks.   

Tuesday, October 16, 2012

German DAX - FTSE - SPX - Nikkei vs Delta

German DAX: 
Intermediate-Term-Delta #5 Low = Oct 11
ITD #a High = Oct 17
ITD #b L = Oct 22-24
ITD #6 H = Oct 31 = Medium-Term-Delta # 5 H?
ITD #7 L = Nov 5

 







British FTSE:
ITD #5 H = Oct 16
ITD #6 L = Oct 21-24
ITD #7 H = Oct 31
= MTD # 5 H ?


 


S&P 500:
ITD #5 L = Oct 12
ITD #a H = Oct 16
ITD #b L = Oct 21-23
ITD #6 H = Oct 29
= MTD # 5 H ?
ITD #7 L = Nov 7


Nikkei:
ITD #6 Low = Oct 15
ITD #7 High = Oct 17
ITD #8 L = Oct 22-24
ITD #9 H = Oct 31 = MTD # 8 H?
ITD #10 L = Nov 8
ITD #11 H = Nov 14
= MTD # 8 H?

Thursday, October 11, 2012

Carl Futia - Top of Domed House ?

Credits: Carl Futia
... On October 5 the Dow put it its highest print and highest close of the bull market which started from the March 2009 low point. It is easy to see the "squarish" topping pattern characteristic of domed house tops. These usually look like lopsided head and shoulders tops. If this one runs true to form there should be a rally from yesterday's low to a lower top which would be point 25 on the chart. One fact which supports this interpretation is that the standard time count of 7 months 10 days if started from point 15 predicts a high in early October.

It is certainly possible that I am a bit early in my interpretation here. Perhaps the October 5 top will turn out to be point 21 instead of point 23.


...The strongest single piece of bullish evidence I see is that the majority of investors surveyed by AAII are bearish. I think it would be unprecedented for a bear market to start under such conditions. But precedents are made to be broken as are all statistical records. The other piece of bullish evidence can be found in the action of the bull market leaders, Google and Apple, both of which made historical highs within the past couple of weeks. Another leading sector, home building, is also at new bull market highs.

Looking at all this evidence I'd say that the bearish factors are ones which are not helpful for precise timing. The AAII sentiment number suggests that my call of point 23 is early, but as I said above that just means that the domed house will take more time to develop its top. So I think the best way to approach this market is to defer a bear market prognosis until the green trend line is broken or until another point 23 or point 27 at new bull market highs becomes visible when AAII sentiment is bullish, not bearish as it is now.  


Credits: Carl Futia

See also HERE

Wednesday, October 10, 2012

German DAX vs Delta & Space Weather

ITD #1 = Sep 5 L
ITD #2 = Sep 21 H = MTD #5 ?
ITD #3 = Sep 28 L (Full Moon)
ITD #4 = Oct 5 H
ITD #5 = Oct 10-11 L
ITD #y = Oct 15-16 H (New Moon)
ITD #z = Oct 22-24 L
ITD #6 = Oct 26-29 H = MTD #5 ? (Full Moon)
ITD #7 = Nov 7 L = MTD #6 ?


HERE + HERE + HERE
Since October 8 strong geomagnetic storms are pressing on traders' mood, and more M-class flares along with high values in the K Index should be expected into October 10-12 (HERE + HERE).

When a solar flare or CME happens, it can take up to 2 days to impact the Earth, depending on the solar wind's speed. Therefore, expecting drops in the stock market up to two days after large flares is reasonable (HERE + HERE).

www.astrocycle.net

Monday, October 1, 2012

2013 - Peaks in Solar Cycle #24, Stocks and Commodities

Credits: John Hampson
... Solar peaks occur roughly every 11 years and secular peaks in equities and commodities occur close to solar peaks. There is a sine wave in long term real stocks and an opposite-polarity sine wave in long term real commodities, both which have around a 33 year (equivalent to 3 solar cycles or 1 lunisolar cycle) duration ... Treasuries (or inverse rates/yields) move in around a 66 year cycle (2 lunisolar cycles) with peaks and troughs converging with secular commodities peaks. The result is we see two different kinds of secular commodities bulls: one set against rates moving to a peak, and one set against rates moving to nothing ...

Friday, September 28, 2012

Major Stock Market Rallies of last 111 Years Compared

www.chartoftheday.com
 
The Dow made another post-financial crisis rally late last week. To provide some further perspective to the current Dow rally (and in response to several requests), all major market rallies of the last 111 years are plotted on today's chart. 

Each dot represents a major stock market rally as measured by the Dow with the majority of rallies referred to by a label which states the year in which the rally began ... a rally is being defined as an advance that follows a 30% decline (i.e. a major bear market) ... the Dow has begun a major rally 13 times over the past 111 years which equates to an average of one rally every 8.5 years ... As it stands right now, the current Dow rally that began in March 2009 (blue dot labeled you are here) would be classified as well below average in both duration and magnitude. However, when compared to the most recent post-major bear market rally (i.e. the rally that began in 2002), the current rally has already surpassed it in magnitude and required less time to do so.

Wednesday, September 26, 2012

Relationships between Centimeter, Inch, Year, and Month

What do inches and centimeters have to do with astronomy? That's what first popped into my mind when I discovered this amazing relationship. Suppose you have a circle with a diameter measured in centimeters and a magnitude equal to exactly 10 synodic months. We'll use the value of 29.53 for the length of the synodic month. It turns out that the magnitude of the circumference of the circle, measured in inches matches the length of the tropical year in days.

Math:
10 × 29.53 cm × π = 927.71 cm
927.71 cm ÷ 2.54 cm/inch = 365.24 inches 


Credits: www.the-light.com

Wednesday, September 19, 2012

SPX vs Mars - North Node Cycle

Hard aspects between Mars and the Vedic Dragon (= Rahu = Lunar North Node) oftentimes go along with CITs in financial markets (HERE). A conjunction is due on October 2nd - the next projected 10 Day Hurst-Cycle Low.






 

















02.06.2011 00:27 (Sun) = MAR 45° North Node
03.29.2011 12:09 (Tue) = MAR 90° North Node
05.22.2011 15:00 (Sun) = MAR 135° North Node
07.23.2011 13:21 (Sat) = MAR 180° North Node
09.23.2011 12:30 (Fri) = MAR 135° North Node
12.13.2011 01:07 (Tue) = MAR 90° North Node
03.19.2012 15:27 (Mon) = MAR 90° North Node
04.30.2012 18:52 (Mon) = MAR 90° North Node
08.03.2012 07:42 (Fri) = MAR 45° North Node
10.02.2012 10:51 (Tue) = MAR 0° North Node
12.01.2012 09:01 (Sat) = MAR 45° North Node

01.24.2013 14:20 (Thu) = MAR 90° North Node
03.15.2013 22:58 (Fri) = MAR 135° North Node
05.13.2013 01:15 (Mon) = MAR 180° North Node
07.12.2013 07:56 (Fri) = MAR 135° North Node
09.10.2013 20:37 (Tue) = MAR 90° North Node
11.23.2013 10:38 (Sat) = MAR 45° North Node
07.13.2014 20:19 (Sun) = MAR 0° North Node
09.20.2014 07:18 (Sat) = MAR 45° North Node
11.20.2014 06:00 (Thu) = MAR 90° North Node
01.10.2015 14:15 (Sat) = MAR 135° North Node
 


Calculated and charted with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution. Also credits to Raj Times and Cycles

Saturday, September 15, 2012

S&P 500 Today = Eurodollar COT 1 Year Ago | Tom McClellan

In May 2011 Tom McClellan unveiled a sensational discovery:
There are some jewels in the CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders (COT) Report:  ... Commercial traders' net positions in eurodollar futures shifted forward by one year foretell the the stock market.
... Let's pause a minute to let that deep point sink in. Commercial eurodollar traders seem to "know" a year in advance what the stock market is going to do.  It is not a perfect correlation, but it is a darned good one.  I'm not sure what makes this work, but I have seen that it has worked great since about 1997 ... The term "eurodollars" should not be confused with the exchange rate between the dollar and the euro
(HERE & HERE).
Projected CITs for the S&P 500 are (since COT data is weekly, CITs are +/-):

09/13/2012 high
09/20/2012 low
10/18/2012 high
11/08/2012 low
11/29/2012 HIGH of the Year
12/20/2012 low
01/03/2013 high
etc.