Time ▾ Price ▴ Research: 09/01/2016

Thursday, September 29, 2016

VIX vs Four Lunar Month Cycle

SPY | Neural Network-Forecast | by Alphee Lavoie (HERE)

SPX vs Mercury’s Maximum Elongation East / West + MER 000 SUN

Any Mercury Maximum Elongation (e.g. maximum West on Sep 28, 2016) coincides with increased solar storminess, particularly
within a few days either way of the key points within the cycle. Superior (far side) conjunctions of the Sun and Mercury
(e.g. Oct 27, 2016) are typically indications of bursts of solar activity (solar flares, coronal holes and coronal mass
ejections (CMEs)) some two weeks later, give or take a few days either way.
Maximum Elongation of Mercury Calculators e.g. HERE + HERE

Sunday, September 25, 2016

Sandy Jadeja: September 26th Potential Market Crash

Source: Business Insider (Aug 26, 2016)

JFYI: Someone just wrote me stating that In an earlier version of the above Business Insider article
Sandy Jadeja's crash date was not September 26th but the 15th! However, couldn't find the earlier version.

Alphee Lavoie's Neural Network-Forecast for the SPY (inverted correclation - HERE)

SPX vs Mercury Speed | Geocentric + Heliocentric

Saturday, September 24, 2016

SPX vs Venus + Mercury Latitude Cycles @ MIN @ MAX @ 0°

Calculated and charted with Timing Solution.

Friday, September 23, 2016

SPX vs Combustion of Jupiter | September 27 (Tue)

The Vedic concept of combustion is summarized HERE
Charted and calculated with Timing Solution.

HERE Anand Chiney explains the combustion of Jupiter with various orbs in the example of the Indian NIFTY.

Wednesday, September 21, 2016

SPX vs Declination of Mercury + Venus

SPX vs True Node Speed = Mean Node Speed + Extremes | Review

Last prediction HERE

Friday, September 2, 2016

The FOMC-Cycle Pattern of Stock Market Returns

Source: R-bloggers

Since 1994 the equity premium in the US and in the rest of the world is earned entirely in weeks 0, 2, 4 and 6 in FOMC cycle time, i.e. in time since the last Federal Open Market Committee meeting. This likely reflects a risk premium for news (about monetary policy or the macro economy) coming from the Federal Reserve:

(1) The FOMC calendar is quite irregular and changes across sub-periods over which our finding is robust.
(2) Even weeks in FOMC cycle time do not line up with important macro releases.
(3) Volatility in the federal funds market peaks during even weeks in FOMC cycle time.
(4) Information processing/decision making within the Fed tends to happen bi-weekly in FOMC cycle time: The bi-weekly cycle is driven mainly by even week observations that follow board meetings of the Board of Governors.

Furthermore, before 1994, intermeeting target changes were common and disproportionately took place during even weeks in FOMC cycle time. High return weeks do not line up with public information releases from the Federal Reserve or with the frequency of speeches by Fed officials. Systematic informal communication of Federal Reserve officials with the media and the financial sector is a more plausible information transmission mechanism. We discuss the social costs and benefits of this method of communication.

Source: Anna Cieslak, Adair Morse, Annette Vissing-Jorgensen (June 12, 2016) - Stock Returns Over the FOMC Cycle. Duke University; 63 p. (HERE + HERE)

The Economist (Sep 3, 2016) - Meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), in which Fed governors and regional Fed presidents set interest-rate policy, can trigger rises and falls in the stockmarket [...] Usually every fortnight between FOMC meetings, fresh information is discussed in a gathering of Fed governors [...] gains in the stockmarket have occurred, on average, in the weeks of the FOMC meetings and the ones that involve the governors alone. A dollar invested only during those weeks would have grown more than 12-fold over the period. A dollar invested during other weeks would have lost half its value.

Thursday, September 1, 2016

SPX vs Presidential + Decennial + Annual Cycles | September 2016

September is the only month to show more losing months than winning months
over the past 66 years. It also sports the largest average loss (-0.68%).
October actually has a decent track record (up 41 times - or 62% of the
time - down 25 times, with an average gain of +0.80%). However, this
record is tainted somewhat as many investors - not entirely incorrectly -
have come to refer to October as "Crash Month". To wit, 1929, 1930, 1932,
1933, 1937, 1941, 1978, 1979, 1987, 1997 and 2008 all witnessed sharp
declines in the stock market during the month of October.
Calculation: www.moneychimp.com

SPX vs Jack Gillen’s Sensitive Degrees of the Sun | September 2016

"The Sun's position by itself in relation to the stock market can show you trends that are more or less active for each year, as the sun degrees
are generally fixed. They fall on about the same date every year. So this is why some periods of the year would be more of a pattern."
Jack Gillen (1979): The Key to Speculation on the New York Stock Exchange.
Upcoming turn-days (EDT):
Aug 09 (Tue) 23:50, Sep 01 (Thu) 19:58, Sep 03 (Sat) 21:30, Sep 04 (Sun) 22:15, Sep 20 (Tue) 08:07, Sep 24 (Sat) 10:13, Oct 06 (Thu) 15:05.
See also HERE

SPX vs Sunspots | 36 - 48 Hour Forecast

Current Solar Data from NOAA (HERE + HERE)

The number of sunspots in existence at any one time is continually subject to change as some disappear and new ones emerge. As the sun
rotates on its own axis, these sunspots are visible at 27-day intervals, the approximate period required for the sun to make one complete
rotation. The 27-day sunspot cycle causes variations in the ionization density of the layers on a day-to-day basis.

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