U.S. Stocks in 5th strongest and 6th longest Bull Cycle since 1900

The bull market since March 2009 is the 22nd bull cycle since 1900. End of December 2013 it was in its 57th month. This is about the length of the current sunspot cycle 24. The ongoing bull market is now also the 6th longest bull cycle and with a performance of 154% (closing December 31st) the 5th strongest since 1900. 

SoLunar Tidal Forces 2014

[Eastern Standard Time (EST) -0500 UTC]

2013-12-26 (Thu) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-01-01 (Wed) = SuperNewMoon = Moon @ Perigee + Tidal Force @ MAX

2014-01-04 (Sat) = Earth @ Perihelion

2014-01-07 (Tue) = 1st Quarter

2014-01-09 (Thu) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-01-15 (Wed) = Full Moon + Moon @ Apogee

2014-01-16 (Thu) = Tidal Force @ MIN

2014-01-23 (Thu) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-01-24 (Fri) = 3rd Quarter

2014-01-30 (Thu) = SuperNewMoon = Moon @ Perigee + Tidal Force @ MAX

2014-02-06 (Thu) = 1st Quarter + Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-02-12 (Wed) = Moon @ Apogee + Tidal Force @ MIN

2014-02-14 (Fri) = Full Moon

2014-02-20 (Thu) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-02-22 (Sat) = 3rd Quarter

2014-02-27 (Thu) = Moon @ Perigee + Tidal Force @ MAX

2014-03-01 (Sat) = New Moon

2014-03-06 (Thu) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-03-08 (Sat) = 1st Quarter

2014-03-11 (Tue) = Moon @ Apogee + Tidal Force @ MIN

2014-03-16 (Sun) = Full Moon

2014-03-20 (Thu) = Equinox + Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-03-23 (Sun) = 3rd Quarter

2014-03-27 (Thu) = Moon @ Perigee + Tidal Force @ MAX

2014-03-30 (Sun) = New Moon

2014-04-03 (Thu) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-04-07 (Mon) = 1st Quarter

2014-04-08 (Tue) = Tidal Force @ MIN

2014-04-15 (Tue) = Full Moon = Lunar Eclipse

2014-04-16 (Wed) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-04-22 (Tue) = 3rd Quarter + Moon @ Perigee

2014-04-23 (Wed) = Tidal Force @ MAX

2014-04-29 (Tue) = New Moon = Solar Eclipse

2014-04-30 (Wed) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-05-06 (Tue) = 1st Quarter + Moon @ Apogee + Tidal Force @ MIN

2014-05-13 (Tue) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-05-14 (Wed) = Full Moon

2014-05-18 (Sun) = Moon @ Perigee + Tidal Force @ MAX

2014-05-21 (Wed) = 3rd Quarter

2014-05-26 (Mon) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-05-28 (Wed) = New Moon

2014-06-02 (Mon) = Moon @ Apogee

2014-06-03 (Tue) = Tidal Force @ MIN

2014-06-05 (Thu) = 1st Quarter

2014-06-10 (Tue) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-06-12 (Thu) = Full Moon

2014-06-14 (Sat) = Moon @ Perigee

2014-06-15 (Sun) = Tidal Force @ MAX

2014-06-19 (Thu) = 3rd Quarter

2014-06-21 (Sat) = Solstice

2014-06-22 (Sun) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-06-27 (Fri) = New Moon

2014-06-30 (Mon) = Tidal Force @ MIN

2014-06-30 (Mon) = Moon @ Apogee

2014-07-03 (Thu) = Earth @ Aphelion

2014-07-05 (Sat) = 1st Quarter

2014-07-08 (Tue) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-07-12 (Sat) = SuperFullMoon = Moon @ Perigee

2014-07-13 (Sun) = Tidal Force @ MAX

2014-07-18 (Fri) = 3rd Quarter

2014-07-20 (Sun) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-07-26 (Sat) = New Moon

2014-07-27 (Sun) = Moon @ Apogee

2014-07-28 (Mon) = Tidal Force @ MIN

2014-08-03 (Sun) = 1st Quarter

2014-08-05 (Tue) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-08-10 (Sun) = SuperFullMoon = Moon @ Perigee + Tidal Force @ MAX

2014-08-17 (Sun) = 3rd Quarter + Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-08-24 (Sun) = Moon @ Apogee + Tidal Force @ MIN

2014-08-25 (Mon) = New Moon

2014-09-02 (Tue) = 1st Quarter + Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-09-07 (Sun) = Moon @ Perigee

2014-09-09 (Tue) = SuperFullMoon = Tidal Force @ MAX

2014-09-14 (Sun) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-09-15 (Mon) = 3rd Quarter

2014-09-20 (Sat) = Moon @ Apogee + Tidal Force @ MIN

2014-09-23 (Mon) = Equinox

2014-09-24 (Wed) = New Moon

2014-09-29 (Mon) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-10-01 (Wed) = 1st Quarter

2014-10-06 (Mon) = Moon @ Perigee + Tidal Force @ MAX

2014-10-08 (Wed) = Full Moon = Lunar Eclipse

2014-10-13 (Mon) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-10-15 (Wed) = 3rd Quarter

2014-10-18 (Sat) = Moon @ Apogee + Tidal Force @ MIN

2014-10-23 (Thu) = New Moon = Solar Eclipse

2014-10-26 (Sun) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-10-30 (Thu) = 1st Quarter

2014-11-02 (Sun) = Moon @ Perigee

2014-11-03 (Mon) = Tidal Force @ MAX

2014-11-06 (Thu) = Full Moon

2014-11-09 (Sun) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-11-14 (Fri) = 3rd Quarter + Moon @ Apogee

2014-11-15 (Sat) = Tidal Force @ MIN

2014-11-21 (Fri) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-11-22 (Sat) = New Moon

2014-11-28 (Fri) = Tidal Force @ MAX

2014-11-29 (Sat) = 1st Quarter

2014-12-06 (Sat) = Full Moon

2014-12-07 (Sun) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-12-12 (Fri) = Moon @ Apogee

2014-12-13 (Sat) = Tidal Force @ MIN

2014-12-14 (Sun) = 3rd Quarter

2014-12-18 (Thu) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2014-12-21 (Sun) = New Moon + Solstice

2014-12-24 (Wed) = Moon @ Perigee + Tidal Force @ MAX

2014-12-28 (Sun) = 1st Quarter

2015-01-02 (Fri) = Tidal Force @ Zero

2015-01-04 (Sun) = Full Moon + Earth @ Perihelion

See also HERE

Sunspot Cycle 24: "None of us alive have ever seen such a weak cycle"

Conventional wisdom holds that solar activity swings back and forth like a simple pendulum.  At one end of the cycle, there is a quiet time with few sunspots and flares. At the other end, Solar Maximum brings high sunspot numbers and solar storms. It’s a regular rhythm that repeats every 11 years. 

Reality, however, is more complicated. Astronomers have been counting sunspots for centuries, and they have seen that the solar cycle is not perfectly regular. For one thing, the back-and-forth swing in sunspot counts can take anywhere from 10 to 13 years to complete; also, the amplitude of the cycle varies. Some solar maxima are very weak, others very strong (HERE). 

But "none of us alive have ever seen such a weak cycle [as the sunspot cycle 24]", said Dr. Leif Svalgaard of Stanford University and other prominent solar scientists at the 2013 Fall Meeting of American Geophysical Union (AGU), held on December 11, 2013 in San Francisco. This solar max is weak, and the overall current cycle conjures up comparisons to the famously feeble Solar Cycle 14 in the early 1900s (see also HERE & HERE).

John Hampson recently expected the "solar cycle 24′s flat top to end by mid-2014", and one of two possibities playing out: "One, equities peak out within the next 6 months, commodities don’t come again, and we thereafter enter the typical post-solar-peak recession (deflationary). Or, two, equities are peaking now and commodities are breaking upwards out of their large consoliation triangles since 2011 to produce a typical late-cyclical final rally and help tip the weak economy into that recession." (see also HERE).

Credits: John Hampson

Credits: Jan Alvestad

 

Credits: Jan Alvestad