Saturday, January 16, 2016

SPX vs 4 Lunar Month Cycle


SPX vs SoLunar Map


SPX vs Jupiter-Saturn Cycle


SPX vs Mercury-Mars Speed Differential


SPX vs Mercury Speed


SPX vs Lunar Speed


Iris Treppner's DAX Forecast 2012-2021 - Update

HERE

Friday, January 8, 2016

DJIA In 4th Longest Bull Market Since 1900 - UBS: Sell Stocks, Buy Gold!

Bear markets are defined by a market decline of 20% and more. It’s a fact that since its March 2009 low, with 82 months and a performance of 220%, the DJIA now trades in its 4th longest and 5th strongest bull market since 1900. So from this angle alone we suggest the 2009 bull cycle has reached a mature stage [...] since 1937 the average downside in a 7-year cycle decline was 34%. 

[...] As of 2017, gold could profit from the US dollar moving in a major top and starting a bear market [...] In 2015, the bounce in gold was weaker than expected. However, in all these cases we made it clear that we just expect a bear market rally before resuming its dominant cyclical bear trend. Generally, our cyclical roadmap and our long-term call on gold of the last few years has not changed. A potential bottom in 2016 bottom could be a rather powerful bottom, since together with a four-year cycle low we have also an eight-year cycle low projection for this year. In this context we expect a potential 2016 low in gold to be the basis of a new multi-year bull market. Source: UBS (Jan 06, 2016)

Tuesday, January 5, 2016

SPX vs Declination of Mercury + Venus

Mercury parallel Venus

2016 - Presidential Cycle - Seasonal Cycle - Decennial Cycle of DJIA


Since 1834 the U.S.-stock market has been positive 10 (56%) out of 18 times in the 6th year of every decade, and the average annual gain of a 6th year was 3.74%. Since the 1970s the DJIA gained 16% to 26% during the 6th year of each decade. On average the DJIA's 6th year in the Decennial Cycle, the Annual or Seasonal Cycle and the Presidential Cycle are all positive. In the average Decennial Cycle the DJIA scores the Low of the 6th Year in late January, rises into mid July, drops into September, before surging for the rest of the year. The Presidential Cycle drops from an early January High to a late February Low, rises into early April, drops to late May, rises again into early September, drops to early October before rising into the year-end.

Credits: Seasonal Charts

Credits: www.realinvestmentadvice.com

Monday, January 4, 2016

When Not To Put Money In The Bank - Negative Interest Rates in Europe

econfix (Jan 4, 2016) - It seems that in Europe negative interest rates are common place. Below are the current rates of some central banks:
 
European Central Bank -0.3%
Swiss National Bank -0.75%;
Danish Central bank -0.75%
Swedish Central Bank -1.1%
Why are they in negative territory? For all these countries it is the exchange rate against the Euro that is important. Negative interest rates weaken a country’s currency and make imports more expensive and exports cheaper. Furthermore central banks could be trying to prevent a slide into deflation, or a spiral of falling prices that could derail the recovery.
In theory, interest rates below zero should reduce borrowing costs for companies and households, driving demand for loans. In practice, there’s a risk that the policy might do more harm than good. If banks make more customers pay to hold their money, cash may go under the mattress instead. Janet Yellen, the U.S. Federal Reserve chair, said at her confirmation hearing in November 2013 that even a deposit rate that’s positive but close to zero could disrupt the money markets that help fund financial institutions. Two years later, she said that a change in economic circumstances could put negative rates “on the table” in the U.S., and Bank of England Governor Mark Carney said he could now cut the benchmark rate below the current 0.5 percent if necessary. Deutsche Bank economists note that negative rates haven’t sparked the bank runs or cash hoarding some had feared, in part because banks haven’t passed them on to their customers. But there’s still a worry that when banks absorb the cost themselves, it squeezes the profit margin between their lending and deposit rates, and might make them even less willing to lend. Ever-lower rates also fuel concern that countries are engaged in a currency war of competitive devaluations. Source: Bloomberg

Sunday, December 20, 2015

Changes In Earth’s Day Length

www.everythingselectric.com (Dec 19, 2015)
"An ‘Earth Day’ is 24 hours long, and that more precisely it is 23 hours 56 minutes and 4 seconds long. But this hasn’t always been the case. Detailed studies of fossil shells, and the banded deposits in certain sandstones, reveal a much different length of day in past eras! These bands in sedimentation and shell-growth follow the lunar month and have individual bands representing the number of days in a lunar month. By counting the number of bands, geologists can work out the number of days in a year, and from this the number of hours in a day when the shell was grown, or the deposits put down." Credits: NASA
Immanuel Velikovsky: Worlds in Collision - HERE

Friday, December 18, 2015

China In Africa

Credits: South China Morning Post (Dec 18, 2015) - Enlarge
While the United States wastes billions on ill-advised foreign adventures and destabilizing wars of choice, China has slowly been accumulating a massive amount of resources around the world. Over the last decade, China has increasingly poured billions of dollars of foreign direct investment capital into Africa. China has now invested in 46 of 54 African countries, mainly with a focus on metals, energy, and infrastructure. So far, 2013 has been the peak of Chinese investment, with the equivalent of USD 44 billion spent. Investments in 2015 up until June have totaled USD 17.8 billion, and are on pace to reach USD 42 billion by the end of this year. 

In fact, just last week, South Africa hosted Chinese President Xi Jinping in Johannesburg for the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC). During the conference, the Chinese President announced the budget for African cooperation would be tripled to a USD 60 billion package. This includes USD 5 billion of aid and interest-free loans, USD 35 billion of preferential loans and export credit, and USD 20 billion of capital to be divided between three Africa-focused funds. China's overall trade with Africa topped USD 200 billion last year but has slowed over the past two years as the weakening Chinese economy demands fewer of the continent's oil, copper and other raw materials. Chinese-built roads, bridges and power installations are found across Africa, often paid for in resources or through loans from China. There are about a million Chinese living in Africa, mostly engaged in commercial work, according to the Chinese General Chamber of Commerce in Africa.

Natural Gas

In December 2005 Natural Gas traded at USD 15.78, and is now at its 17-year low at USD 1.79.
Natural Gas has been in a downtrend over the last two years and lost 73% of its value.
The average seasonal low should print in the first week of January January 2016.
The 4 Lunar Month cycle projects lows for Dec 20 (Sun), Dec 29 (Fri), and Jan 5 (Tue).

NDX - Repetitive Patterns

Oscar Carboni HERE

Wednesday, December 16, 2015

Mimicking The Sun - Wendelstein 7-X Helium Plasma Fusion

Fusion at 150 million degrees, promising cheap,
almost inexhaustible supply of energy
Max Planck Institute for Plasma Physics (Dec 10, 2015) - The first test of the "stellarator" has been carried out with the Wendelstein 7-X fusion device producing helium plasma. A breakthrough, according to the press release. However, horrendously expensive fusion technology and the promise for future cheap, limitless and clean energy have been entertained ever since the 1950s. Still physicists are in a worldwide race to create stable fusion devices that could not only mimic the Sun but release abundant energy, without the volumes of toxic waste generated by nuclear fission. This time around it took scientists from the Max Planck Institute for Plasma Physics in Greifswald, Germany, nine years to build the EUR 1.1 billion machine, and they have spent over a year preparing for the test. Another milestone? Fusion involves placing hydrogen atoms under high heat and pressure until they fuse into helium atoms. When Deuterium and Tritium nuclei - which can be found in hydrogen - fuse, they form a helium nucleus, a neutron and a lot of energy. This is done by heating the fuel to temperatures in excess of 150 million°C, forming a hot plasma. Strong magnetic fields are used to keep the plasma away from the walls so that it doesn't cool down and loses its energy potential. These are produced by superconducting coils surrounding the vessel, and by an electrical current driven through the plasma. For energy production plasma has to be confined for a sufficiently long period for fusion to occur. Europe has a large track record in fusion: Europe’s JET (Joint European Torus) located at Culham (UK) is the world’s largest fusion facility and was so far the only one capable of working with a Deuterium-Tritium fuel mixture. Reportedly JET has reached all its originally planned objectives and in some cases surpassed them. In 1997 it achieved a world record fusion power production of 16 MW and a Q = 0.65. Europe has also been building on the knowledge accumulated through the Tore Supra tokamak in France, the first large tokamak to use superconducting magnets; the ASDEX device in Germany with ITER-shaped plasmas; the reversed pinch device RFX in Italy and the stellarators TJ-II in Spain and the W7-X in Germany.

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Glenn Neely’s "5th Extension Terminal Impulse"

Just picked that up somewhere - good ol' Neely - always good toremember everything is possible under NEo-Wave Rules :-)

Credits: Doug Short
Insiders are still buying this market. Credits: Barron's

Monday, December 14, 2015

SPX vs Sunspots

The inverted Sunspots shifted +2 days oftentimes correlate with the stock market, and suggest: from a Monday low up into Tuesday.
The inverted Sunspots shifted +49 days hint to the current cycle's and the market's likely future direction.
The Planetary A Index < 10 is usually negative for the stock market; the inverted 10.7 cm Flux usually forecasts the market's direction.


Sunday, December 13, 2015

SPX vs Sun - Jupiter Cycle

The Sun square Jupiter on Monday morning 09:55 should help the market to stay positive for the day. Last Friday was a minor Bradley turn-day,
and the solunar bias as well as the 4 Lunar Month Cycle are both up on Monday, and down from Tuesday into Friday. There is little doubt about
the FOMC announcing higher rates on Wednesday. However, on Wednesday morning 02:09 the Sun will pass a sensitive degree on the NYSE Natal-
Chart at 24° Sagittarius. Dec 15, 17 and 18 are Cosmic cluster Days. Given the Jupiter-Saturn Cycle bottoms the same day, options expiration
Friday in this average-seasonally bullish week should finally be up. Another week with high volatility and choppiness should be expected.
Here's another interesting detail: Since 1990 when the SPX has closed lower by more than 1.5% on a Friday, Monday saw a lower low on an
intraday basis 86 of 90 times (HERE) Calculated and charted with
Timing Solution

Crude Oil

Crude Oil lost 67% since it broke down from the triangle (B) in June 2014. Seasonally Crude Oil is at a low in December-January, and the
4 Lunar Month Cycle is pointing to a low on Dec 20 (Sun). Next week a test of the December 2009 low (A) at USD 32.40 is likely before the
countertrend kicks in to send prices up to USD 45+ again. If (C) would have the magnitude of (A), it would send Crude Oil down to USD -4.19.
Though a collapse down to the lows of 1986 and 1998 around USD 10 is technically possible, the 0.886 Fib-retracement level at USD 25.37
looks like a solid support for a major low in 2017-2018. See also HERE