Showing posts with label Delta Cycles. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Delta Cycles. Show all posts

Saturday, November 7, 2015

SPX vs Inverted 4 Lunar Month Cycle

At times inversions in the 4 Lunar Year Cycle overlap with inversions in the Lunar Year Cycle and 4 Lunar Month Cycle. The result is conflict
and confusion in the short-term Delta count. The problem with the above inverted Delta count for the SPX is of course that the Russell 2000
closed the last week on a high. The Delta count for the Russell 2000 suggests a continuation of the up-move into Nov 11 (Wed) followed by a
decline into Nov 23 (Mon). This outlook is supported by the 4 lunar month rotation in the VIX where stochastics hint to further decline. Nov
11 is also New Moon and a turn day in the SoLunar Map. Again, a high in the SoLunar Map usually corresponds with a short-term stock market low.
Erin Heim (Nov 05, 2015) - The S&P 100 (OEX) just received a new Long-Term Trend Model BUY signal.
This signal generated when the 50-EMA crossed back above the 200-EMA.
The Annual Cycle, the Presidential Cycle, and the Decennial Cycle are all strong into mid December, while the latter two project a major low
in Q1 2016 followed by new market highs. This would be in line with Louise McWhirter's Theory of Stock Market Forecasting.

Thursday, November 5, 2015

German DAX vs Inverted 4 Lunar Month Cycle

However, the Nasdaq dropped only by -0.1% or -2.65 points on Nov 4 (Wed) while the RASI was still rising, and Thomas Bulkowski
remarks: Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 541 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's: Average
gain was 0.7% on 295 occasions. Average loss was -0.9% on 246 occasions. Expect the index to close higher 54.5% [on Nov 5].
Tekkie Suresh: "Rahu getting involved with Venus and Mars, points to a trough around November mid month, Should see  a recovery thereafter."
Jeff Hirsch (Nov 3, 2015) - In the most recent 21-year period spanning 1994 to 2014, November opens strong, peaks around the fourth
trading day, trades lower till the eighth trading day, bounces mid-month, moves sideway to down during the week before Thanksgiving
then higher to close out the month with gains ranging from just under 1.5% for Russell 2000 to over 2% for DJIA.

Sunday, October 18, 2015

Russell 2000 vs 4 Lunar Month Cycle

Since about ten days there is a growing contradiction between the intermediate Delta count (118 CD) and the medium- and long-term counts
(354 CD = 1 Lunar Year and 1417 CD = 4 Lunar Year cycle). These cycles may just have inverted their polarity (see below).

Wednesday, July 15, 2015

SPX vs 4 Lunar Year Cycle + 1 Lunar Year Cycle

The 4 Lunar Year Cycle is repeating and currently modulating the very choppy July-December 2011 correction pattern
(blue shaded areas). Should the May 20, 2015 high (#5 + #1) be exceeded, the next likely time-frames for a major top
would be August 18 (Tue) and September 8 (Tue). The ideal time frames for the major low in this correction pattern (#6
are the second week of July, August 19, the second week of October and November 6 [all dates +/- 5 CD].

Tuesday, June 30, 2015

SPX + VIX + CBOE Put/Call Ratio vs 354 CD + 118 CD Lunar Cycles

The exact length of the Lunar Year is 354.37 Calendar Days.
The third part of the Lunar Year (120°) is the Intermediate Term Delta Cycle (ITD) of 4 Lunar Months or 118.123 Calendar Days
(HERE).
The ITD Cycle inverted from the Mar 3, 2015 High to the Jun 29, 2015 Low but is now in sync with the Lunar Year Cycle.
That given, the direction of the SPX for the remainder of this week should be sideways-to-up.