Friday, June 16, 2017

SPX vs Sun - Mercury Speed Differential @ MIN | June 21 (Wed)


Jun 20 (Tue)    Summer Solstice
        Bradley CIT [geo]
        SoLunar Turn Day
        MER 120° VEN [helio]
        MER 120° JUP [helio]
        MER 180° SAT [helio]
        MER 060° URA [helio]
        VEN 120° JUP [helio]
Jun 21 (Wed)    SUN - MER Speed Dif @ MIN
        SUN 00
0° MER [geo] = MER 180° EAR [helio]
        MER @ 088° [helio]
        VEN 060° SAT [helio]
        MAR 180° PLU [helio]
        JUP - SAT Cycle Low
Jun 22 (Thu)    Bradley CIT [helio]
Jun 23 (Fri)    VEN Lat Cycle @ MIN

Sunday, June 11, 2017

Taxation of Average Income in OECD-Countries │ 2016

Data: OECD - Taxing Wages 2017 Database (SSC = Social Security Contribution).

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) analyzes how 35 countries tax wage-earners, making it possible to compare tax burdens across the world’s biggest economies. Each year, the OECD measures what it calls the tax wedge, the gap between what a worker gets paid and what they actually spend or save. Included are income taxes, payroll taxes, and any tax credits or rebates that supplement worker income. Excluded are the countless other ways that governments levy taxes, such as sales and value-added taxes, property taxes, and taxes on investment income and gains.

The highest average tax wedges for childless single workers earning the average national wage were in Belgium (54.0%), Germany (49.4%) and Hungary (48.2%). The lowest were in Chile (7%), New Zealand (17.9%) and Mexico (20.1%). The United States are in the bottom third (31.7%) - considerably below the OECD-average (36.0%). A single worker earning an average wage in Belgium ends up paying a tax rate almost eight times higher than the average single worker in Chile.


The tax wedge for families with children is lower than that for single individuals without children in all OECD countries except in Chile and Mexico, where both family types face the same tax levels. No Personal Income Tax is payable at the average wage level in Chile and no tax provisions for families with children exist in Mexico. The differences are particularly large in Canada, the Czech Republic, Germany, Ireland, Luxembourg and Slovenia. 

Major Power's Military Expenditure │ 1830 - 2007

Source: OurWorldinData.

Max Roser and Mohamed Nagdy (2016) - There are two ways in which we might want to measure military spending; the first way is spending in real terms and the second is as a percentage of GDP. Military expenditure in real terms is important since the absolute level of expenditure matters for the outcome of war. The US spending 10% of its GDP fighting a war is likely to defeat a low or middle income country spending 50% or more of its GDP. Yet, military expenditure as a percentage of GDP allows us to get a handle on the priorities and ambitions of a country. The military expenditure of a country is largely determined by the whether it is at war or not. Outside of wartime, countries continue to spend substantial sums on maintaining their military capability. [Above] are two time series plots of military expenditure in real terms; the first is in thousands of 1900 UK pounds for the period 1830-1913, the second is in thousands of 2000 US dollars for the period 1914-2007. 

The UK’s military spending as a percentage of GDP in peacetime fluctuates around 2.5%, in times of war however, military spending rises dramatically. At the height of the Second World War, the UK was spending around 53% of its GDP on its military. Such a dramatic rise is consistent with the existential danger faced by the UK during the Second World War.

Sunspot Cycle Length vs Temperature Anomaly │ Jasper Kirkby

The sunspot cycle length as a measure of the Sun's activity:
Variation during the period 1861 - 1989 of the sunspot cycle length (solid curve)
and the temperature anomaly of the Northern Hemisphere (dashed curve).
The temperature data from the IPCC.

Jasper Kirkby (1998) - The sunspot cycle length averages 11 years but has varied from 7 to 17 years, with shorter cycle lengths corresponding to a more magnetically-active Sun. A remarkably close agreement was found between the sunspot cycle length and the change in land temperature of the Northern Hemisphere in the period between 1861 and 1989 [update HERE]. The land temperature of the Northern Hemisphere was used to avoid the lag by several years of air temperatures over the oceans, due to their large heat capacity. This figure covers the period during which greenhouse gas emissions are presumed to have caused a global warming of about 0.6°C. Two features are of particular note: firstly the dip between 1945 and 1970, which cannot be explained by the steadily rising greenhouse gas emissions but seems well-matched to a decrease in the Sun's activity, and secondly the close correspondence between the two curves over this entire period, which would seem to leave little room for an additional greenhouse gas effect.

[...] The observation that warm weather seems to coincide with high sunspot counts and cool weather with low sunspot counts was made as long ago as two hundred years by the astronomer William Herschel who noticed that the price of wheat in England was lower when there were many sunspots, and higher when there were few. See also HERE  

Data: SILSO Royal Observatory of Belgium.

Thursday, June 1, 2017

SPX vs Venus Latitude Cycle @ MIN | June 23 (Fri)


On June 23, 2017 the Latitude Cycle of Venus will reach a minimum at -2.73 degrees.
 

SPX vs Jupiter – Saturn Cycle | June 2017

Upcoming Turn-Days: 
May 31 (Wed), Jun 08 (Thu), Jun 17 (Sat), Jun 19 (Mon), Jun 21 (Wed), Jun 29 (Thu), Jul 04 (Tue).

Cosmic Cluster Days | June — July 2017

Upcoming Cosmic Cluster Days are:
Jun 01 (Thu), Jun 10 (Sat), Jun 14 (Wed), Jun 15 (Thu), Jun 27 (Tue), Jul 01 (Sat), 
Jul 07 (Fri), Jul 15 (Sat), Jul 26 (Wed), Jul 28 (Fri), Jul 29 (Sat), Jul 30 (Sun), Aug 06 (Sun).
Previous CCDs are HERE 

The basic assumption here is that heliocentric and geocentric angles between planets are related to financial market movements. A signal is triggered when the composite line of all aspects breaks above or below the Average Cosmic Noise Channel

Review: SPX vs Cosmic Cluster Days April - May 2017 | Preview: June 2017.

SoLunar Map | June — July 2017


Upcoming SoLunar Turn-Days are: 
May 29 (Mon), Jun 01 (Thu), Jun 05 (Mon), Jun 09 (Fri) = Full Moon, Jun 13 (Tue), Jun 16 (Fri), Jun 20 (Tue), Jun 24 (Sat), Jun 27-28 (Tue-Wed), Jul 01 (Sat), Jul 05 (Wed), Jul 08 (Sat), Jul 12 (Wed), Jul 15 (Sat), Jul 19 (Wed), Jul 23 (Sun) = New Moon, Jul 27 (Thu), Jul 31 (Mon), Aug 03 (Thu).
We are currently in the alternated mode (second chart above).
Previous SoLunar Maps HERE

These charts depict the SoLunar bias for short-term movements of stock indices two months ahead. The markets are certainly influenced also by other planetary forces - especially longer-term - but a 3-5 day short-term rhythm and pattern is governed by the SoLunar forces (= 4 highs and 4 lows per lunar month). 

The SoLunar forces are a composite of Sun-Moon angles, orbital eccentricities, declinations and some long-term cycles. A Low in the SoLunar Map frequently is a High in the stock market and vice versa. Inversions occur, and if so, they should occur only once every 4 lunar months around a New Moon (max +/- 7 days). 

 The SoLunar Rhythm is frequently disturbed by (1.) the FED, and (2.) by sudden solar activity, altering the geomagnetic field, and hence the mass mood. This can result in the skip and/or inversion of pivots in the SoLunar Map. An increasing number of sunspots and flares have usually a negative influence on the stock market some 48 hours later, and vice versa (Ap values > 10 are usually short-term negative). A rising blue line in the SoLunar Map means the bias for the market is side-ways-to-up, and vice versa. Highs and lows in the SoLunar Map also may coincide with the start and termination of complex, side-ways correction patterns like zig-zags, triangles or flags. 

SPX vs SoLunar Map | June 2017 | Review & Preview