Sunday, October 25, 2015

SPX vs JUP-SAT Cycle

The Jupiter-Saturn Cycle pointed to the short term market low on Oct 15 (Thu), and to a high on Oct 23 (Fri).
Nov 02 (Mon) and Nov 09 (Mon) are likely to be lows.

M.A. Vukcevic (2004) - Jupiter and Saturn combined, contain 92% of the total planetary mass and 86% of the angular momentum. Their orbits are in a near resonance with orbital period ratio of 5:2 [...] Although the planets' gravitational forces at the center of the Solar system are small, the mass of the major planets, in particular that of Jupiter and Saturn, are still sufficiently large to have a significant effect, as the solar orbit around the barycenter confirms [...] While planetary orbits are elliptical, the solar orbit has the rather complex shape of a loop within a loop.

[...] This 'solar wobble' is a result of the combined planetary gravitational forces [...] Jupiter's magnetosphere extends well beyond Saturn's orbit. If it were not for the presence of the solar field itself, Jupiter's magnetosphere would reach the center of the Solar system. Saturn also has a large magnetosphere, approximately about one-fifth of Jupiter's. There is likelihood that the solar dynamo is affected (either directly or through a reverse feedback) by Jupiter's and combined Jupiter-Saturn magnetic fields. The resultant of these two fields is a 'magnetic channel' acting as a 'conduit' for formation of the solar current sheet. In turn the solar current sheet generates its own much stronger magnetic field carried by the solar wind, while its periodic variability properties are defined by the initialization within the 'magnetic channel'. 

[...] In order to assess the combined effect at the center of the Solar system the two main factors to consider are: Jupiter's variable influence over one solar orbital period (consisting of one major and one minor loop as described above and equaling two Jupiter sidereal periods) [...] The solar activity displays short-term randomness as well as a certain, however imperfect, longer-term periodicity. The solar periodic activity is described by the Hale cycle and represented by the sunspot number. Change of magnetic polarity during Hale cycle is most likely due to change in the angle of precession of the solar axis and its relationship to the 'magnetic depression', favoring one or the other solar hemisphere over period of the two loops making one solar orbital period [...] It appears that there is a resonant system in operation within the solar activity, the imperfection of which is demonstrated by the irregularity of its response. This in turn means that it should have a rich spectrum of sub-harmonics and higher harmonics.