Monday, November 24, 2014

Geocentric and Heliocentric Bradley Indices 2015

This astro-forecasting tool was developed by Donald Bradley and published in 1947 in a booklet titled Stock Market Prediction. On the book-cover Bradley coined his tool the ‘Planetary Barometer’ and inside the book the ‘Siderograph’. Today it is simply called the ‘Bradley Index’. 






















There are two versions of the index, a geocentric and a heliocentric one. Both attempt to forecast major and minor changes in the trend in stock markets indices. The Bradley Indices do not forecast highs or lows. Simply changes in the trend or non-directional turning-points. Donald Bradley wrote: 
[...] There are many [other] cycles affecting man with causes outside our immediate world. Well known among these is the electromagnetic cycle in biology which is caused by the relationship of the sun and the moon. Even tadpoles are seriously affected by this soli-lunar cycle which incidentially proves the wisdom of the oft-ridiculed practice of planting under various circumstances of the moon in the sky. What stimulates and pacifies the pollywog stimulates and pacifies the human being periodically.
“[...] At no time must the reader gain the impression that a Siderograph, as such, is a prediction of what the stock market will actually do. Nevertheless, observation proves that basic reversals in collective attitudes, clearly predicted by the line, are inevitably mirrored in stock averages.
(See also HERE)

[Eastern Standard Time (EST) -0500 UTC] 

Geocentric Bradley Index 2015
2014-11-20 (Thu) = Major Low
2014-12-09 (Tue) = High
2014-12-26 (Fri) = Low
2015-02-16 (Mon) = @ 0
2015-03-06 (Fri) = High
2015-03-11 (Wed) = Low
2015-04-03 (Fri) = High
2015-04-14 (Tue) = Low
2015-04-25 (Sat) = High
2015-05-04 (Mon) = Low
2015-05-10 (Sun) = High
2015-05-22 (Fri) = Low
2015-06-09 (Tue) = Major High
2015-06-20 (Sat) = Low
2015-06-28 (Sun) = High
2015-07-16 (Thu) = Low
2015-07-23 (Thu) = High
2015-07-29 (Wed) = Low
2015-08-03 (Mon) = High
2015-08-27 (Thu) = Low
2015-09-05 (Sat) = High
2015-10-01 (Thu) = @ 0
2015-10-09 (Fri) = Low
2015-10-26 (Mon) = @ 0
2015-11-08 (Sun) = High
2015-11-16 (Mon) = @ 0
2015-11-25 (Wed) = Low
2015-12-11 (Fri) = High
2015-12-20 (Sun) = Low
2015-12-25 (Fri) = High
2016-01-06 (Wed) = Low
2016-01-13 (Wed) = High
2016-01-18 (Mon) = Low
 
Heliocentric Bradley Index 2015
2014-11-22 (Sat) = Major Low     
2014-12-09 (Tue) = High   
2014-12-26 (Fri) = Low     
2015-02-10 (Tue) = @ 0
2015-03-04 (Wed) = High  
2015-03-12 (Thu) = Low    
2015-04-03 (Fri) = High     
2015-04-12 (Sun) = Low    
2015-04-24 (Fri) = High     
2015-05-04 (Mon) = Low   
2015-05-11 (Mon) = High  
2015-05-20 (Wed) = Low   
2015-06-09 (Tue) = Major High   
2015-06-21 (Sun) = Low    
2015-06-27 (Sat) = High    
2015-07-17 (Fri) = Low     
2015-07-21 (Tue) = High   
2015-07-30 (Thu) = Low    
2015-08-03 (Mon) = High  
2015-08-23 (Sun) = Low    
2015-09-03 (Thu) = High   
2015-09-24 (Thu) = Low    
2015-09-29 (Tue) = High   
2015-10-08 (Thu) = Low    
2015-11-06 (Fri) = High
2015-11-17 (Tue) = @ 0     
2015-12-07 (Mon) = Low   
2015-12-12 (Sat) = High    
2016-01-04 (Mon) = Low   
2016-01-13 (Wed) = High  
2016-01-19 (Tue) = Low    
 
Geocentric and Heliocentric Bradley Indices 2015
2014-11-20 (Thu) = Major Low (geo)
2014-11-22 (Sat) = Major Low (helio)   
2014-12-09 (Tue) = High (geo + helio)   
2014-12-26 (Fri) = Low (geo + helio)     
2015-02-10 (Tue) = @ 0 (helio)
2015-02-16 (Mon) = @ 0 (geo)
2015-03-04 (Wed) = High (helio)
2015-03-06 (Fri) = High (geo)
2015-03-11 (Wed) = Low (geo)
2015-03-12 (Thu) = Low (helio)   
2015-04-03 (Fri) = High (geo + helio)    
2015-04-12 (Sun) = Low (helio)   
2015-04-14 (Tue) = Low (geo)
2015-04-24 (Fri) = High (helio)    
2015-04-25 (Sat) = High (geo)
2015-05-04 (Mon) = Low (geo + helio)  
2015-05-10 (Sun) = High (geo)
2015-05-11 (Mon) = High (helio)
2015-05-20 (Wed) = Low (helio)  
2015-05-22 (Fri) = Low (geo)
2015-06-09 (Tue) = Major High (geo + helio)   
2015-06-20 (Sat) = Low (geo)
2015-06-21 (Sun) = Low (helio)   
2015-06-27 (Sat) = High (helio)   
2015-06-28 (Sun) = High (geo)
2015-07-16 (Thu) = Low (geo)
2015-07-17 (Fri) = Low (helio)    
2015-07-21 (Tue) = High (helio)  
2015-07-23 (Thu) = High (geo)
2015-07-29 (Wed) = Low (geo)
2015-07-30 (Thu) = Low (helio)   
2015-08-03 (Mon) = High (geo + helio)  
2015-08-23 (Sun) = Low (helio)   
2015-08-27 (Thu) = Low (geo)
2015-09-03 (Thu) = High (helio)  
2015-09-05 (Sat) = High (geo)
2015-09-24 (Thu) = Low (helio)   
2015-09-29 (Tue) = High (helio)  
2015-10-01 (Thu) = @ 0 (geo)
2015-10-08 (Thu) = Low (helio)   
2015-10-09 (Fri) = Low (geo)
2015-10-26 (Mon) = @ 0 (geo)
2015-11-06 (Fri) = High (helio)
2015-11-08 (Sun) = High (geo)
2015-11-16 (Mon) = @ 0 (geo)
2015-11-17 (Tue) = @ 0 (helio)    
2015-11-25 (Wed) = Low (geo)
2015-12-07 (Mon) = Low (helio)  
2015-12-11 (Fri) = High (geo)
2015-12-12 (Sat) = High (helio)   
2015-12-20 (Sun) = Low (geo)
2015-12-25 (Fri) = High (geo)
2016-01-04 (Mon) = Low (helio)  
2016-01-06 (Wed) = Low (geo)
2016-01-13 (Wed) = High (geo + helio)  
2016-01-18 (Mon) = Low (geo)
2016-01-19 (Tue) = Low (helio)

Sunday, November 9, 2014

2015 - Presidential Cycle - Seasonal Cycle - Decennial Cycle of DJIA

HERE & HERE
Lance Roberts @ www.streettalklive.com
TheChartStore.com




























Since 1834 the U.S.-stock market has been positive 12 out of 18 times in the 4th year of every decade and the 5th year was by far the best year of the Decennial Pattern. The Dow Jones Industrial Average started in 1895 and since then 11 of the last 12 5th years were up and averaged a return of almost 22%. The exception from the pattern was 2005 when the DJIA lost 0.61%.

Tuesday, November 4, 2014

AR12192 - The Biggest Sunspot in Two Solar Cycles

HERE
Measuring 130,000 kilometers wide, AR12192 is the biggest sunspot in two solar cycles. 

It first appeared on the Earth-facing side of the sun on October 16, 2014 and produced a X.1-class flare three days later. The active solar region already has produced 137 C and M-class flares including this X1 flare. AR 12192 rotated onto the far side of the sun on October 30, 2014. 

HERE



However as it evolves a new version of it rotating back into view in ten days. AR 12192 is also unusual in that it hasn't produced any noteworthy coronal mass ejections, which usually spit billions of tonnes of solar material into space. 
HERE


HERE

HERE

In the chart at left the current SC 24 is shown in red, the mean of the previous 23 cycles is depicted by the blue curve, and the current cycle SC 24 strongly resembles SC 1, which is shown by the black curve. The current cycle resembles SC 1, and should it continue to behave like SC 1, a trailing off of activity cannot be anticipated anytime soon. Indications, however, do point to a longer than normal cycle. 





























HERE










The variation in the Sun's motion about the Center of Mass is characterized by a periodicity of 178.770 years: Every 16 loops about the barycenter the Sun repeats a very similar path. The slight time derivative or torque to this 178.770 year cycle, a time dependant periodic function of +/- 1.05 years is called the torque cycle, determined by nine subsequent synodic periods of Jupiter and Saturn (9 * 19.858 years = 178.720 years) and used by Theodor Landscheidt to forecast sunspot cycles. The projection of this 178.72 Year Cycle (+/- 1.05 years) from the peak of SSC #8 in March 1837 suggests the peak of the current SSC #24 is still ahead of us and would occur in 2015-2016.
HERE